The NFC West showdown continues this time with the Los Angeles Rams looking to bounce back against the Seattle Seahawks. The NFL betting lines have the Rams as the slight favorite although Seattle could be looking to avenge their playoff loss last season.
|Game: Los Angeles Rams (3-1) at Seattle Seahawks (2-2)
Location: Lumen Field
Date: Thursday, Oct. 7, 2021
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
|Los Angeles Rams||-2½ -110||-135||54½ -110o||28½ -115o/-115u|
|Seattle||+2½ -110||+115||54½ -110u||27 -110o/-120u|
Seattle may lead the overall series 25-22, but the Rams are 7-4 since returning to Los Angeles. Under Sean McVay, the Rams are 6-3 with their most recent win coming in the playoffs last season. The Rams are also 4-1 as an NFL pick against the spread (ATS) in their last five meetings.
Los Angeles Rams
Next game: at New York Giants
The Rams delivered as our “trap game” pick against the Buccaneers, but got caught in a trap themselves as Arizona blew them out at home. The Rams gave up 37 points, which was nearly double what they allowed on average in their first three games. Los Angeles allowed Arizona to rush for 216 yards as the visitors controlled the ball for three-fifths of the game.
No new significant injuries to report for Los Angeles. Running back Darrell Henderson (ribs) and tight end Tyler Higbee (ankle) were limited participants at practice and could still play this Thursday.
Next game: at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Seahawks went into San Francisco and upset the 49ers despite getting outgained by nearly double. Seattle forced two costly turnovers from San Francisco as quarterback Russell Wilson was able to make the most of his 23 passing attempts. The star QB made some clutch throws as Seattle held off San Francisco to even their record.
Russell Wilson is UNREAL 🤯
— PFF (@PFF) October 3, 2021
The Seahawks will miss running back Chris Carson (neck) and wide receiver Dee Eskridge (concussion) this Thursday. The pair did not practice. Star receiver D.K. Metcalf (foot) and defensive ends Darrell Taylor (knee) and Carlos Dunlap (toe) were limited participants and should still play.
Betting on the Game
These NFC West rivals should be closely matched although the online sports betting action is heavily leaned on the visiting Rams. Los Angeles beat Seattle decisively the last time they were visiting and are 3-2 ATS in their last five games on the Lumen Field.
The 2.5-point spread implies the Rams would likely win to cover, though they covered a 1.5-point spread in 2019 and still lost.
The Rams will need to restructure its defense against the run. Seattle is averaging 107 rushing yards a game, which may only be 18th in the NFL, but they have the sixth-most rushing scores (five) and the eighth-best yards per carry (4.7).
Seattle has a solid running back platoon. Even without Carson, the team can roll out Alex Collins, who looks like a breakout candidate for this season. The Seahawks may replicate the Cardinals’ game plan but the Rams should be smarter to this now.
Los Angeles has limited the Seahawks to just 18.7 points in their last three games. If they can keep pressuring Wilson and plugging holes against the run, they should beat them with no issues.
On Seattle’s end, their defense needs to get better as well. If pass rushers Dunlap and Taylor can play with no issues, the Seahawks should be able to put more pressure on Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. They will need to as allowing a fourth straight team to average over 400 yards won’t cut it.
However, Seattle has shown the ability to rise up during these national TV affairs. Seattle is 8-1-2 in its last 11 games on Thursday Night Football and has also covered nine of its last ten games as an underdog.
Seattle has shown the ability to overcome the odds so it will be a dangerous underdog in this spot.
The Seahawks are +115 underdogs after opening at +100. Given the small spread, it may be better to just take Seattle to win when betting online. Seattle has the fifth-best winning percent (55.6%) as a home underdog in the Russell Wilson era.
However, the Rams have also been money under Sean McVay. As a road favorite, Los Angeles is 18-6-0 since he took over as coach. And it bears repeating that the Rams looked like the favorites when they last played in Seattle. This game may be a lot closer than the previous one as two of the last four games in Seattle were decided by less than a field goal.
The betting action has been mostly on the over here at 54.5 points. That is likely due to the recent history between these teams. Four of their last five meetings in Seattle have resulted in the total going over. Add the fact that the last six Rams’ games have all gone over.
But the 54.5 is a lofty number and their second-biggest total in their last eleven games. We still have two prolific quarterbacks in Stafford and Wilson. Even with the Rams’ stalwart defense, Seattle is the type of team that can find ways to score even if they are failing to move the ball consistently.