The North Texas Mean Green is looking to snap their four-game losing streak facing the visiting Marshall Thundering Herd on Friday in a Conference USA matchup. College football odds show Marshall (3-3, 1-1) listed at -11 on the point spread and the game’s over/under set to 66½. North Texas (1-4, 0-2) is +320 on the moneyline.
|Game: Marshall (3-3) at North Texas (1-4)
Location: Denton, TX – Apogee Stadium
Date/Time: Friday, 7 p.m. ET
Television: CBS Sports
Marshall has not faced North Texas since October of 2016.
Marshall Thundering Herd
Next game: vs FIU
The Thundering Herd weren’t close to covering the spread against Old Dominion as 21-point favorites last week. Marshall wasn’t able to score a touchdown until the fourth quarter, tying the game at 13 following the extra point with 33 seconds left in regulation.
With a low-scoring first half of mostly field goals and a scoreless third quarter, it was pretty evident the game would remain significantly under the total of 62½ despite heading into overtime. Marshall quarterback Grant Wells secured a 22-yard TD pass in overtime to seal the win 20-13, marking the second consecutive game Marshall lost against the spread (ATS) and its second consecutive game under the game total.
Running back Knowledge McDaniel is suspended and out indefinitely after being arrested for a drug warrant this past Friday.
Next game: vs Liberty
North Texas put up a decent fight in its 48-35 loss against the Missouri Tigers last week. North Texas’ defense kept the Tigers scoreless in the third quarter and its offense outscored Missouri 21-7 in the fourth, covering the college football spread of 18½, and marking the first over in any of the Mean Green’s five games.
WR Lorenzo Thompson, LB Kevin Wood and DB Quinn Whitlock are all questionable for Friday’s game.
Betting on the Game
Marshall opened at -10½ and is currently at -11 if you wish to bet online. The issue with North Texas is its struggle to score, particularly in the first half. The other issue is that it’s difficult to predict how much offense North Texas can produce in two quarters.
Outside of its first game against Northwestern State, the Mean Green has yet to score more than seven points in the first half of any game. North Texas averages 22.8 points per game but that is misleading considering it put 44 points on Northwestern State and scored 28 points in the second half against Missouri after the Tigers had a comfortable lead.
I can see Marshall having a comfortable lead against North Texas that is eventually cut in the second half. The Thundering Herd are 2-4 ATS and a late push with a potential comeback by North Texas seems possible. If Marshall’s line moves to -11½, that may be a good time to pounce and pull the trigger at the sportsbook.
Marshall is a -400 moneyline and in all likelihood should win this game outright. North Texas has a projected win percentage of 32.2 percent based on each team’s current FPI.
Expect a big discrepancy in points between these two teams until the fourth quarter when North Texas makes a push for a comeback.