Clustered in the tight NFC Wild-Card race, the Minnesota Vikings and San Francisco 49ers duel Sunday in an important game for playoff positioning. Both teams are coming off big wins last weekend and need to keep winning to stay alive in a conference that has really tightened up in recent weeks.
The NFL betting odds like the 49ers by a few points at home but that’s a spread that could change between now and kickoff.
- Game: Minnesota Vikings (5-5) at San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
- Location: Levi’s Stadium
- Day/Time: Sunday, Nov. 28, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Television: FOX
|Minnesota Vikings||+3 (Ev)||+145||o49 (-110)|
|San Francisco 49ers||-3 (-120)||-165||u49 (-110)|
These teams have split their two meetings since Kyle Shanahan was hired by the 49ers, with San Francisco winning 27-10 in the Divisional Round of the 2020 playoffs in the most recent game and Minnesota winning 24-16 in 2018 in the most recent regular-season matchup. Neither Kirk Cousins nor Jimmy Garoppolo played well in their playoff meeting as the 49ers relied on Tevin Coleman (105 yards and two touchdowns) and their defense to shut down Cousins & Co.
The 49ers lead the head-to-head historical record, 24-23-1.
Next game: at Lions
Minnesota survived against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, blowing a few late leads only to prevail on a Greg Joseph field goal as time expired to win 34-31. Cousins was almost perfect, throwing for 341 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, and Dalvin Cook all reached paydirt at least once while the Vikings were able to outscore Green Bay despite Rodgers throwing for four touchdowns of his own.
The Vikings won outright as 1½-point home underdogs. The over (47 points) was in question for a while but hit during a high-scoring fourth quarter.
Minnesota is banged-up on defense. Defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson (undisclosed) is out and star linebacker Anthony Barr is questionable. Cornerback Bashaud Breeland and safety Camryn Bynum are questionable as well. Defensive lineman Michael Pierce (elbow) and Danielle Hunter (pectoral) are still on injured reserve.
Wide receiver Bisi Johnson was just placed on injured reserve as well, so he’s out.
San Francisco 49ers
Next game: at Seahawks
San Francisco put together its second-consecutive impressive performance with an easy 30-10 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend. The 49ers jumped to a 17-0 lead and never looked back, as Garoppolo threw touchdown passes to Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle while Deebo Samuel ran for 79 yards and a touchdown. San Francisco held the Jaguars to 200 yards of total offense and forced (and recovered) two fumbles.
The 49ers easily covered as 6½-point road favorites. The under (45½ points) looked to be in trouble early in the third quarter, but it ended up cashing comfortably.
There are few teams as injured as the 49ers. Running back Elijah Mitchell (rib/finger) and JaMycal Hasty (ankle) were limited in practice this week and are listed as questionable. Defensive end Dee Ford and linebacker Dre Greenlaw are battling through injuries but could make their returns to play from Injured Reserve.
Offensive guard Laken Tomlinson and cornerback Josh Norman are questionable, as is defensive tackle Maurice Hurst.
Betting on the Game
The Vikings have been playing good football for a while, winning four of their last six games. Even their recent losses — a four-point loss to the Dallas Cowboys and overtime defeat against the Baltimore Ravens — have been close games, so Minnesota’s .500 record underrates how good the Vikings have been.
San Francisco opened as three-point favorites on the BetUS Sportsbook and the line has stayed the same. It might change a bit in the 49ers’ favor considering how their spread is at -120 at the moment, which is a sign that the public and Vegas are more confident in San Francisco than the line might suggest.
Minnesota’s offense has been a lot better than its points scored suggests. The Vikings are seventh in total yards and in the top 11 in both passing and rushing offense. Cousins also has 21 passing touchdowns compared to two interceptions, which has allowed the Vikings to have the league’s lowest offensive turnover rate. He has been a revelation this season for Minnesota.
Minnesota on the moneyline is a good value at +145 and it’s a bet you should strongly consider. The Vikings and 49ers are pretty evenly matched, so that kind of juice on a moneyline bet is really enticing.
As for the over/under, the over might be the way to go. The 49ers have a really good scoring defense and are good at defending the passing game, but they can be gashed on the ground and the Vikings have one of the best running backs in football with Dalvin Cook. On the other end, Minnesota has given up the fifth-most yards in the NFL so San Francisco should be able to move the ball easily. Samuel, Kittle, and Aiyuk are top-flight weapons that Garoppolo will be able to use against a weak Minnesota defense.