Fresh off back-to-back losses, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ hold on the NFC South is looking more and more tenuous every day. So, it’s fair to say Tom Brady and Co. need a win as they play host to the New York Giants on Monday Night Football. The Giants’ playoff hopes look slim at the moment but the NFC overall is pretty top-heavy, so a Wild-Card berth isn’t completely out of the cards.
Even with their recent struggles, the Buccaneers are big favorites on the NFL betting lines.
New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Lines
|New York Giants||+11 (-110)||+400||o49½ (-110)|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-11 (-110)||-500||u49½ (-110)|
The Giants have had plenty of success against Brady, especially in Super Bowls, and they’ve done well against the Buccaneers before he left the New England Patriots. Tampa Bay won the last meeting, in November 2020, by the score of 25-23 as he threw for 279 yards and two touchdowns. Tampa Bay sacked Daniel Jones three times and picked him off twice in the win.
Overall, New York leads the historical head-to-head series 16-8.
New York Giants
Next game: vs. Eagles
Joe Judge’s team had a nice bounceback victory against the Las Vegas Raiders the Sunday before their recent bye week, winning 23-16 as they came back from a halftime deficit and picked Derek Carr off twice (both by Xavier McKinney). The Giants didn’t exactly light things up offensively — Daniel Jones threw for just 110 yards and New York mustered up only 247 yards from scrimmage — but they did enough defensively to escape.
New York Giants won straight-up as three-point home underdogs. The under (47 points) was never really in doubt.
The Giants, as they have been all year, are dealing with the injury bug. Running backs Saquon Barkley (ankle) and Devontae Booker (hip) were limited in practice on Thursday and are questionable. Wide receiver Sterling Shepard (quadriceps) and tight end Kaden Smith (knee) both didn’t practice Thursday and are also questionable.
New York should get offensive lineman Andrew Thomas (ankle) back from injured reserve, which helps an embattled offensive line. But, cornerback Logan Ryan is newly questionable as he didn’t practice on Friday because of COVID protocols.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Next game: at Colts
The Buccaneers’ recent skid continued on Sunday with a shocking 29-19 loss to Taylor Heinicke and the Washington Football Team. Brady threw two interceptions and was visibly upset at his team after Tampa Bay went down 16-3 in the first half. The Buccaneers came back to make it a game but Heinicke (256 yards and a touchdown) and Antonio Gibson (64 rushing yards and two scores) were too much.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost outright as 10-point road favorites. The over (51 points) almost cashed but it just ran out of time.
Tampa Bay is pretty banged-up too, as wide receivers Antonio Brown (ankle) and Chris Godwin (foot) were limited in practice this week and are questionable. The Buccaneers are extremely thin in the secondary, as cornerbacks Richard Sherman (calf), Carlton Davis (quadriceps), Rashard Robinson (hamstring), and Dee Delany (concussion) are all unlikely to play on Monday. Sean Murphy-Bunting (elbow) has been practicing but he is questionable to be activated off injured reserve.
Defensive tackle Vita Vea (MCL sprain) is questionable as well.
Betting on the Game
It’s never easy to beat Tom Brady but it’s harder to beat Tom Brady after two bad losses. That’s part of why the Buccaneers are so heavily favored for this game as is Tampa Bay’s 4-0 at home this season. Maybe the only thing going the Giants’ way is that the Buccaneers could be missing a bunch of their key playmakers. If you’re making NFL picks against the spread, you should keep a very close eye on both teams’ injury reports.
The Buccaneers actually opened as 11½-point favorites on the BetUS Sportsbook before the line moved down to 10½ before settling in at 11, where it’s likely going to stay until kickoff. That seems to be a fair spread considering the matchup.
Tampa Bay shouldn’t have trouble putting points on the board against the middle-of-the-pack Giants defense which is 25th in yards allowed. Conversely, it could be tough for New York to score much against the Buccaneers, even with their defensive injuries. Tampa Bay’s passing defense has struggled a lot but the rushing defense — second in yards and yards per attempt — has been fantastic, which hurts the Giants who can’t really rely on Daniel Jones because of his inconsistency and turnover issues.
If you’re betting online and don’t love the spread in either direction, the Giants at +400 on the moneyline could be interesting value. Of course, any +400 underdog is a big longshot pick but that’s a lot of juice for a veteran team that has won two of its last three games and has a coach in Judge who worked for the Patriots — when Brady was there — for many years.
As for the over/under, the number is a little high considering that only two Giants games this year have reached the 50-point threshold. Tampa Bay is a little more over-prone but it could be tough for the over to hit if the Giants are able to grind out long drives offensively and force the Buccaneers to run the ball more when New York is on defense.