Week 12 of the NFL season is complete. The Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers have evened out and are tied for the top spot in our NFC Super Bowl rankings for the second week. Over the last few weeks, we have seen the Eagles and 49ers jockeying for the top spot in the NFC.
Oddsmakers have the two powerhouses in lockstep with the Kansas City Chiefs as Super Bowl favorites as we head into Week 13. Both teams won again in Week 12, setting up a colossal clash that will likely decide which team is the Super Bowl favorite for the rest of the season. Even the best NFL expert picks will need help deciding who will walk away with the win.
If you look back at the NFC Championship it wasn’t really the San Francisco 49ers..
They’ve been circling this game against the Philadelphia Eagles for a LONG TIME pic.twitter.com/DZSw4kTPBZ
— Pat McAfee (@PatMcAfeeShow) November 28, 2023
Every NFC team has had its ups and downs in the first half of the season, and the Eagles and 49ers are no exception. Philadelphia has been the more consistent team, thanks mainly to health on both sides of the ball. The Eagles own the best record in the NFL at 10-1.
The Eagles are winners of five straight. They defeated the Miami Dolphins in Week 7 and followed it up with a comeback win over the Washington Commanders on the road in Week 8. The Eagles went into their bye on a high note after they defeated the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9. They came out of the bye with a massive win in Week 11 in the Super Bowl rematch versus the Kansas City Chiefs. This past Sunday, they overcame a double-digit deficit again to defeat the Buffalo Bills in overtime.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys took care of business and steamrolled the Washington Commanders. The Cowboys have crushed their opponents over the last month and have built up plenty of confidence for the previous six weeks of the season. The Detroit Lions were upset on Thanksgiving Day and saw their Super Bowl odds drop drastically. The NFC is not as deep as the AFC, but a few teams are genuine Super Bowl contenders in 2023.
There has been plenty of movement in our NFL Super Bowl odds as we head into the final month and a half of the NFL season. Let’s break down the latest NFC Super Bowl rankings ahead of Week 13. Who is the favorite to represent the conference in the 2024 Super Bowl at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on Feb. 11, 2024?
San Francisco 49ers (+450) Tied Atop Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week Tied 1, + 450)
Since the 49ers’ bye in Week 9, they have looked like the juggernaut we’ve grown accustomed to seeing. San Francisco lost three straight games in October but have since dominated three consecutive weeks. They regrouped during their bye in Week 9 and have looked unstoppable in November. They have handily defeated some difficult opponents over this recent stretch. Their Super Bowl odds are tied at the top with the defending NFC champion Eagles as we head into Week 13.
The 49ers were 5-3 heading into their bye, and they found themselves behind the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC West. Since then, the 49ers got back All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams and star wide receiver Deebo Samuel. The three wins over the AFC South-leading Jacksonville Jaguars on the road, a gritty Tampa Bay Buccaneers squad, and the Seattle Seahawks on Thanksgiving Day. The win over Seattle marked their tenth consecutive win over NFC West opponents.
The 49ers crushed their division rival Seahawks in Week 12 by a score of 31-13. The 49ers have scored at least 27 points in every win this season and continue to crush their opponents. San Francisco improved to 8-3, and Brock Purdy continued his excellent play. Purdy has completed 74% of his throws for 838 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception during the three-game winning streak. His recent play has him fifth in MVP odds priced at +1600.
The 49ers’ defense has been phenomenal this season, holding opponents to a league-low 15.5 points per game. The NFC West leaders made a splash at the trade deadline when they acquired defensive end Chase Young to join forces alongside Nick Bosa, and he is already paying dividends for their incredible pass rush. San Francisco finished Week 12 with six sacks. The 49ers now have 15 sacks since they added Young to the group.
The Niners’ offense continues to ride running back Christian McCaffrey. He feasted on Thanksgiving night, rushing for 114 yards and two touchdowns. His incredible touchdown streak ended in Jacksonville, but he has quickly started a new streak. McCaffrey remains the highest non-QB in NFL MVP future odds at +2000.
— Up & Adams (@UpAndAdamsShow) November 28, 2023
Up next for the 49ers is a massive clash with the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday in an NFC Championship Game rematch. Last season, the Eagles knocked off the 49ers 31-7 on their way to the Super Bowl. Purdy was injured early in the game, so the 49ers have a point to prove as they look to stake their claim as the best team in the NFC. If forced to make a Super Bowl prediction now, I would choose the 49ers.
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Philadelphia Eagles (+450) Co-Leaders in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week Tied 1, + 450)
The Eagles are tied with the 49ers for the top spot in our NFC Super Bowl ranks. The Eagles own the best record in the NFL at 10-1, and despite the record, they haven’t necessarily played their best yet. Philadelphia walked out of Arrowhead victorious in the Super Bowl rematch in Week 11, which was by far the most significant win of any team in the NFL this season, and followed it up with a defiant comeback win over Buffalo in overtime in Week 12. They can silence any lingering doubters with their matchup against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday.
The difference between the 49ers and the Eagles is their paths to victory. The 49ers have put together some flat-out dominating performances, but the Eagles haven’t had that same success yet. The 49ers’ average margin of victory is 20 points, whereas the Eagles is just seven points. Still, the Eagles find a way to get the win week after week, and none have exemplified that more than their overtime win over the Bills in Week 12.
A week after the Eagles defeated the Chiefs in the Super Bowl rematch, there was concern about a letdown spot in Week 12. The Eagles were booed off the field at the end of the first half against Buffalo as they were down 17-7, but Jalen Hurts and the offense rallied from the double-digit deficit. Hurts showed why he should be considered one the most clutch quarterbacks in the NFL today, accounting for five total touchdowns in the 37-34 win over Buffalo.
Hurts struggled through the rain in the first half but overcame it all, throwing for 200 yards and three touchdowns. He also added two rushing touchdowns in the win. Hurts finds himself alone at the top of NFL MVP odds, priced at +175 as we head into Week 13. It was an all-around win for Philadelphia as it had contributions from everyone on the team, including kicker Jake Elliott, who sent the game to overtime, hitting an improbable 59-yard field goal in the wind and rain.
#Eagles K Jake Elliott:
• 4/4 from 58+ yards in his career.
• 8/8 with under 2 minutes or in OT to tie or give Philly a lead.
This kick, in these conditions, in that situation…? Not a stretch to say it’s of the great kicks in regular season history. pic.twitter.com/MKO9wtn9Ds
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) November 27, 2023
The Eagles’ defense has struggled this season, particularly its secondary, which showed against Josh Allen. The Bills quarterback threw for over 300 yards and two touchdowns against their secondary. They nearly lost the game in overtime when Gabe Davis got loose for what would have been a game-winning touchdown, but he turned over the wrong shoulder as Allen’s throw flew by. Still, the Eagles find ways to win. At the end of the day, that matters most.
The stage is set for the matchup with the 49ers, which will likely decide who is the favorite in Super Bowl betting as we near the postseason.
Dallas Cowboys (+900) Super Bowl 58 Odds Slightly Improve
(Last Week 3, + 1000)
The Dallas Cowboys finally saw their Super Bowl odds get a boost following their most recent victory in Week 12. The Cowboys knocked off the New York Giants in Week 10 by a score of 49-17 and followed that by crushing the Carolina Panthers 33-10. On Thanksgiving Day, they continued to roll when they cruised past the Washington Commanders 45-10. The Cowboys improved to 8-3 with the win, and their odds have slightly improved.
Dak Prescott continued to play well, finishing the game with 331 passing yards and two touchdowns. It was his fifth consecutive game with at least two touchdown passes. Over this stretch, Prescott has 17 touchdown passes and just two interceptions. He has played himself into the MVP conversation with odds of +800.
A week after DaRon Bland tied an NFL record with his fourth pick-6 of the season, he set the NFL record with his fifth pick-6 on Thanksgiving. Bland is in consideration for Defensive Player of the Year with his play through the first three months of the season.
— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) November 27, 2023
The Cowboys’ schedule hasn’t been daunting over the last few weeks, but they must be credited for taking care of business in these matchups. Each win has been a blowout. They didn’t overlook who was in front of them, which is vital for any top contender to do.
Over the last five games, the Cowboys have averaged 39.6 points. The Cowboys will look to stay hot with the home cooking that has seen them win 13 straight games at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys will host the struggling Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 13. Dallas is a 9 ½-point favorite coming into the week.
Detroit Lions (+1600) Fall in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 4, + 1200)
The Detroit Lions fell to 8-3 after losing to the Green Bay Packers on Thanksgiving Day. It was a demoralizing defeat to their NFC North rivals. The Lions managed a comeback win over the Chicago Bears in Week 11 and had all of the momentum coming into their game in Week 12. They held a commanding lead in the NFC North but somehow underestimated the Packers.
Jordan Love tied a career high with three touchdown passes, and the Green Bay defense forced three turnovers. The Lions’ offense is always aggressive with Dan Campbell, and they went four for five on fourth downs. The Lions found themselves chasing the Packers all afternoon, and they couldn’t muster up the same magic for a comeback as they did over the Bears a week prior. Jared Goff was under pressure for the entire game as the Packer defense played exceptionally well.
.@packers defense is absolutely dominating this game.
— NFL (@NFL) November 23, 2023
Despite the loss, Detroit sits at the top of the NFC North and is set up to win the division after its biggest threat, the Minnesota Vikings, also lost this week. Detroit is looking to host its first-ever playoff game at Ford Field and the first-ever home playoff game since 1993. Detroit is poised to make a deep run in the NFC playoffs in 2023, and there is even a realistic shot that the NFC Championship Game will go through the Motor City.
The Lions have won 16 of their last 21 games overall, and their schedule remains easy until Week 17 when they face the Dallas Cowboys on the road. Detroit will look to bounce back against a reeling New Orleans Saints team that is dealing with many injuries entering Week 13.
Questions Of The Day
Which NFC teams are currently leading the Super Bowl rankings?
The NFC teams currently leading the Super Bowl rankings are the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers.
Which NFC team offers the best value for betting to win the Super Bowl?
The NFC team currently offering the best betting value to win the Super Bowl is the Detroit Lions.