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NFL Injury Impacts: Betting Line Moves to Target

There are some pretty big names showing up as questionable this week including Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson, Miami Dolphins receiver Tyreek Hill and young running backs Travis Etienne and Breece Hall of the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets. Some of that can be chalked up on teams trying to get their ailing stars through the season. If players are still out of practice heading into the weekend, that could impact the best NFL bets for Dec. 10.

The matchup between the Houston Texans and New York Jets joins the Jacksonville-Cleveland and Tampa Bay-Atlanta showdowns as three games that could feature late line movement depending on who is in and who is out. The week started with the Pittsburgh Steelers, minus injured quarterback Kenny Pickett, losing to the New England on Thursday.

NFL Injury Impacts: Betting Line Moves to Target
Tank Dell #3 of the Houston Texans | Sam Hodde/Getty Images/AFP

The Arizona Cardinals and Washington Commanders don’t play in Week 14 as this is the final of the bye weeks for the 32 NFL teams.

The Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans and Minnesota Vikings are the road teams favored according to our sportsbook this week.

The 10-2 Philadelphia Eagles have the best record in the NFL and are also tied with Baltimore, Dallas, Indianapolis, Jacksonville and Miami for the top winning percentage (.667) against NFL betting lines this season. When looking at the totals, Dallas, Detroit, Indianapolis and Washington have all seen eight games finish over the total.

When looking at the NFL futures odds, there are two games on Sunday between teams with winning records. Jacksonville meets Cleveland in a key AFC clash while the NFC East showdown between Philadelphia and Dallas on Sunday night features two of the front-runners for the best odds of winning the Super Bowl.

Regarding the best picks for the NFL in Week 14, we look at three games most likely impacted by injuries.

Houston Texans vs New York Jets

  • Sunday, Dec. 10, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Houston has been one of the biggest surprises this season. However, the injury bug is starting to feast on some of the top players for the Texans.

Rookie receiver Tank Dell will miss the rest of the season. Now rookie edge rusher Will Anderson is slowed by a shoulder injury, tight end Dalton Schultz is trending in the wrong direction and a knee injury has linebacker DenzelPerryman listed as questionable.

For the Jets, running back Breece Hall and defensive lineman John Franklin-Myers are dealing with ankle injuries while a hamstring issue is hampering tight end Tyler Conklin. Second-leading tackler Quincy Williams is questionable as a result of a knee injury.

In a span of four days, the Vegas odds went from the Texans being favored by six points to being a 3½-point favorite.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

  • Sunday, Dec. 10, 1 p.m. (CBS)

It’s not a good sign when not only a team’s starting quarterback and running back pop up on the injury report, but so are their top backups.

It looked like a potential season-ending lower-body injury when quarterback Trevor Lawrence went down in last week’s game against Cincinnati. He avoided a major injury but has some work to do if he plans on playing this weekend.


Backup C.J. Beathard is dealing with a shoulder issue. For those wondering, the third Jacksonville quarterback is Nathan Rourke and he has never thrown a pass in a regular-season game.

Running back Travis Etienne fought through a rib injury to play against the Bengals and he has been limited in practice this week as well. His backup, D’Ernest Johnson, is dealing with a knee injury.

Jacksonville will be without leading pass catcher Christian Kirk and it is uncertain if Zay Jones will be able to go.

For Cleveland, receiver Amari Cooper (concussion), running back Kareem Hunt (groin), quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (concussion), safety JuanThornhill (calf) and cornerback Denzel Ward (shoulder) are all questionable.

When looking at our NFL odds this week, Jacksonville has gone from being a three-point favorite to a three-point underdog, with more possible line movements on the horizon.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

  • Sunday, Dec. 10, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Tampa Bay got some good news when linebacker Lavonte David was listed as a full participant at practice. However, cornerback Jamel Dean (foot), defensive lineman Vita Vea (toe) and linebacker Devin White (foot) are all questionable.

Vea has been playing through the injuries but White has missed two games and Dean has been out for three games

Offensive lineman Cody Mauch is another injured starter to keep an eye on.

For Atlanta, cornerbacks Jeff Odukah (ankle) and A.J. Terrell (concussion) are both questionable. That is not good news with dynamic receiver Mike Evans coming to town.

Third-leading tackler Nate Landman is questionable with a knee injury.

The line has moved from Tampa Bay being a 2½-point underdog to a 1½-point underdog according to the Vegas NFL odds.

 

 

Questions Of The Day

How do NFL team injuries affect their projected win totals?


The absence of a key player, especially a quarterback, can result in a major shift in the point spread in a game.

Which injured player has a better opportunity to have a great comeback?


Keep an eye on the status of Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence as he appears to have avoided a major injury.

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