Once again, it’s time to look back at a wild week in the NFL and dissect the results in the context of NFL betting action.
By the stats: The favorites had a stellar outing in Week 13, going 12-2-0 straight up (SU) and 8-6-0 against the spread (ATS). Home favorites went 7-7-0 SU and 6-8-0 ATS and the total split down the middle, going 7-7-0 in over and under betting through the first 14 games.
Below, we dive into the week’s action. In the main, we’re spotlighting the bad beats and backdoor covers that shaped key outcomes at the sportsbook betting exchange. Basically, the good, the bad and ugly of Week 13 NFL picks against the spread, straight up and in totals.
Week 13 NFL Betting Highlights
- The Dallas Cowboys (-11) were the biggest home favorites to win and cover in a 54-19 win over the Indianapolis Colts.
- The Cleveland Browns (-9) were the biggest road favorites to win and cover in a 27-14 win over the Houston Texans.
- The Cincinnati Bengals (+2½) were the biggest home underdogs to win and cover in a 27-24 win over the Kansas City Chiefs.
- The Denver Broncos (+10) were the biggest road underdogs to cash in a 10-9 loss to the Baltimore Ravens.
- The highest total to cash on the Over was the 51-point total in the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions game that resulted in a 40-14 win for the Lions.
Garoppolo Suffers Season-Ending Injury
Jimmy Garoppolo’s season-ending foot injury isn’t a bad beat in the context of NFL betting terms, per se. After all, the San Francisco 49ers defeated the widely respected Miami Dolphins 33-17 behind rookie Brock Purdy.
But it’s literally a bad beat in the broader context of the season. For a side that until this Sunday was a bona fide Super Bowl bet contender, a team that nobody wanted to play against in the playoffs, it’s hard to imagine where San Francisco goes from here. Can the Niners even stay competitive down the stretch?
For those bettors that jumped on the Niners’ bandwagon, putting a flutter on their Super Bowl odds, this latest setback (and second at the quarterback position this season) might be one hurdle too many for Kyle Shanahan to coach his way out of. Even if his side is loaded talent-wise in every other aspect.
49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo suffered broken foot, expected to miss rest of season. pic.twitter.com/yQiwbB4kYh
— NFL (@NFL) December 5, 2022
Jets Squander Multiple Opportunities
The Minnesota Vikings must have nine lives or something because they continue to carve out wins under extreme conditions. Kirk Cousins and Co. had their backs against the wall, in real danger of losing to the New York Jets multiple times only to cheat defeat – yet again. Of course, their backers, who profited straight up and against the spread following Minnesota’s 27-22 win, aren’t complaining.
The same can’t be said for Jets backers, who were on tenterhooks throughout the game and watched with increasing alarm as countless scoring opportunities dwindled down to a field goal. The Jets put up a whopping 486 yards of offense but managed just one touchdown. The bulk of their points came from field goals, five in total to be exact
The real bummer came toward the end of the game as the Jets saw two perfectly good drives end in disappointment. The first was a 14-play, 83-yard drive that saw New York’s three attempts to punch the ball in from the 1-yard line fail. Then, a six-play, 24-yard drive that brought the Jets to the Minnesota 19 ended in a game-ending interception.
Take a Look at Other 2 NFL Special Articles For This Season
- Looking at How the East Divisions Took Over the 2022 NFL Season
- Is Dallas Ready to Tame the Colts on Sunday Night Football?
Texans Shoot themselves in the Foot
The Houston Texans closed as the nine-point road underdogs at BetUS sportsbook, but they shot themselves in the foot and gift-wrapped the 27-14 win to the Cleveland Browns, who weren’t any better performance-wise on the day.
Had it not been for the complete and utter collapse of the Texans’ offense mainly, the outcome might have fallen in line with the NFL odds – small consolation though that might be right now.
The Texans got off to a promising start as Deshaun Watson struggled in his season debut. The Browns’ offense went punt, fumble, interception, and safety in their first four drives to give the Texans the 5-0 lead. However, the momentum swing came soon thereafter as Donovan Peoples-Jones returned a punt 76 yards for a touchdown.
With the game delicately poised 7-5 at the start of the second half, the Browns scored one of the easiest touchdowns of the season. At Houston 1, Darius Ward scooped up a fumble and skipped into the end zone to lift the Browns to the 14-5 lead. Several plays later, Kyle Allen’s interception was returned for a touchdown to advance Cleveland’s lead to 24-8.
Bears Can’t Catch a Break
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers defeated the Chicago Bears 28-19, delighting their fans and backers by coming through both straight up and against the spread. In the process, Bears fans were left bewildered.
Chicago had gotten off to a good start and ahead 19-10, they just needed to hold it together for a little bit longer to clinch the win over their rivals. But as has been the case in previous weeks, the fourth quarter is the quintessential witching hour. When wins become losses and losses become wins.
The Bears were well on their way to victory, But in hindsight, three promising drives that resulted in field goal attempts, one of which they missed, proved to be the deal-breaker. That and a rally from Rodgers to extend his domination over the Bears.
Aaron Rodgers: Owner of Chicago pic.twitter.com/d0Dg9m81Gw
— PFF (@PFF) December 5, 2022
Commanders, Giants Tie
Nobody likes a tie, but to go without any scoring after tying the game and sending it into overtime is a sin.
Taylor Heinicke rallied the Commanders in a last-gasp drive to tie the game 20-20. However, the ensuing final minutes of the game and 10 minutes of overtime produced absolutely nada.
Giants side bettors got lucky and cashed as New York pulled off the cover as the 2½-point home underdogs. Under bettors were also super lucky because the score fell just a smidgen under the 40½-point closing total.
The bettors worst hit by the scoreless overtime had to be Over bettors. All they needed was a field goal to push them over the line but instead, they were left tearing their hair out.