Usually, wild outcomes in Week 1 look like anomalies as the season rolls on. However, the 2022 NFL season is becoming more and more unpredictable. For the third consecutive week, Sunday was full of surprises. Juggernauts fell, unexpected contenders continued to impress and major upsets occurred.
Week 4’s NFL Power Rankings feature many significant shifts.
Last Week: 30
The Houston Texans had a good shot of defeating the Chicago Bears. Instead, they remain winless. In the 23-20 loss, quarterback Davis Mills was up and down yet again. His interception late in the fourth quarter sealed the loss. In addition, rookie safety Jalen Pitre had an incredible performance: eight tackles, one sack, two tackles for loss and two interceptions. Rookie running back Dameon Pierce made some plays too, posting 80 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Texans have been in close games but they cannot find a way to seal the deal.
- +50000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 28
It appeared the Seattle Seahawks could be better than expected after they beat the Denver Broncos in Week 1. Since then, the Seahawks have played as expected, like one of the NFL’s worst teams. Week 3’s 27-23 loss to the Atlanta Falcons was another poor showing. The defense has allowed nearly 400 yards in back-to-back games. Quarterback Geno Smith has played well, but the defense, especially against the run, has been too bad. Seahawks fans have been given a reality check.
- +50000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 29
The New York Jets could not upset another AFC North foe this week. The offensive line struggled, the pass rush did not produce and New York had four turnovers. The Jets were easily defeated (27-12) by the Cincinnati Bengals. After quarterback Joe Flacco’s shaky performance, Zach Wilson is surely the starter once healthy. In addition, the offense is going away from the run too much. Breece Hall and Michael Carter are a promising tailback duo. They must be utilized. Rookie cornerback Sauce Gardner continued his great play.
- +25000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 32
The Atlanta Falcons took advantage of a bad opponent in Week 3 as they defeated the Seattle Seahawks 27-23. Head Coach Arthur Smith finally heard the criticisms. He got tight end Kyle Pitts the ball. Pitts finished with 87 receiving yards and averaged 17.4 yards per catch. Atlanta’s offense is putting up big numbers ranking fifth in rushing yards per game (156.7). Quarterback Marcus Mariota is playing good enough and rookie wideout Drake London is staying consistent. The Falcons are staying competitive and will win more games if the defense steps up.
- +30000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 31
The Carolina Panthers got a huge win (22-14) over the divisional rival New Orleans Saints. Carolina’s offense wasn’t much better. The Saints’ three turnovers were the difference maker. Defensive end Marquis Haynes’ 44-yard scoop and score was a big boost. Wide receiver Laviska Shenault’s 67-yard touchdown finally gave the offense an explosive play. If quarterback Baker Mayfield’s struggles continue, the Panthers will rarely win, even with running back Christian McCaffrey playing well.
- +12500 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 27
In the Chicago Bears’ 23-20 win over the Houston Texans, All-Pro linebacker Roquan Smith was fantastic with 16 tackles and two tackles for loss. It was only fitting that Smith made the game-winning play as he jumped a route and grabbed an interception with 1:05 remaining, which put Chicago in field goal range. The passing offense continues to struggle as quarterback Justin Fields posted a 27.7 passer rating. Fortunately, the run game was dominant with 281 rushing yards on seven yards per carry. Running back David Montgomery sustained a knee injury. Khalil Herbert had 157 rushing yards in his absence.
- +20000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 25
The Washington Commanders were dominated (24-8) from start to finish by the Philadelphia Eagles. This was the Carson Wentz most expected for the 2022 season. Wentz held onto the ball too long and averaged only 4.9 yards per attempt. The offensive line was manhandled, allowing nine sacks and 17 QB hits. Some of these sacks and hits were on Wentz, but the O-line still had a terrible game. Furthermore, the secondary was shredded, allowing over 300 passing yards. When facing playoff-caliber teams, these same problems will hurt Washington.
- +12500 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 19
Quarterback Mitch Trusbisky had his best game of the season, but the Pittsburgh Steelers still lost to the Cleveland Browns 29-17. This defense is not nearly the same without T.J. Watt. The Steelers rarely generated pressure as Cleveland picked their secondary apart. In addition, Pittsburgh could not stop the run with the Browns averaging 4.5 yards per carry with 171 rushing yards. Overall, the offense was decent and did enough. A bad offensive line turned in a solid performance and the Steelers finally hit some deep shots in the passing game. However, the defense is lost without Watt.
- +12500 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 14
After several flashy offseason moves, the Las Vegas Raiders projected as a playoff team. After the 24-22 loss to the Tennessee Titans, the Raiders are off to the worst possible start at 0-3. Since 1979, only six teams that started 0-3 made the playoffs. Panic mode is officially in effect. Las Vegas is struggling to find its starting offensive line, the pass rush has been an extreme disappointment and quarterback Derek Carr has been mediocre.
- +7500 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 20
Following the 23-16 loss to the Dallas Cowboys, the New York Giants have lost 10 of the last 11 meetings against their NFC East rival. The offense had some success as running back Saquon Barkley totaled 126 scrimmage yards and a touchdown. Plus, QB Daniel Jones played well considering the offensive line’s terrible play. The defense allowed 17 points in the second half as Dallas’ receivers consistently got open. The Giants’ offensive line must be better or scoring will be scarce.
- +10000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 21
The Detroit Lions nearly pulled off an upset over their NFC North rival, the Minnesota Vikings. The Lions’ offense has been great, but the defense is struggling as it ranks last in points allowed per game (31 points). Rookie linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez has been a pleasant surprise and cornerback Jeff Okudah is coming into his own. Ultimately, the defense folded in the fourth as the Vikings went on a 14-0 run to win the game (28-24). The injuries to running back D’Andre Swift and wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown are big problems.
- +10000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 18
In the 37-26 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, the New England Patriots’ offense had its best showing of the season. It totaled over 400 yards and hit several explosive passing plays. However, quarterback Mac Jones cannot find consistency. He made some impressive throws but also threw three interceptions. On defense, edge rusher Deatrich Wise had a massive three-sack performance. New England is in trouble as Jones will miss several games with a high ankle sprain.
- +7000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 22
The Tennessee Titans’ offense finally came alive against the Las Vegas Raiders. Running back Derrick Henry was effective, averaging over four yards per carry. The offensive line was much better compared to Week 2. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill was solid and wideout Robert Woods had 85 receiving yards. Tennessee’s second-half no-shows are becoming a concern, but Week 3’s 24-22 win keeps the Titans alive in the AFC South.
- +6600 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 16
The New Orleans Saints cannot stop turning the ball over. They have the worst turnover differential (-6) in the NFL with nine giveaways and three takeaways. The Saints lost the turnover battle 3-0 against the Carolina Panthers, which ultimately led to the 22-14 loss. Turnovers have wasted the defense’s good play, which has held opponents to under 300 yards in back-to-back games. Rookie wideout Chris Olave’s 147 receiving yards stood out in the loss.
- +6000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 23
The Cleveland Browns’ offense took another step forward in Week 3’s 29-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett had a good game and wideout Amari Cooper continued to make a difference as he posted 101 receiving yards. Running back Nick Chubb did the usual with 113 rushing yards. On defense, Cleveland has concerning issues. Cornerback Denzel Ward is off to a rough start and the pass rush has been mediocre. Starting linebacker Anthony Walker will be out for the season (quad) and All-Pro defensive end Myles Garrett could miss time following a car accident.
- +4000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 15
The Arizona Cardinals simply cannot beat the Los Angeles Rams. The 20-12 loss was their third straight defeat at the hands of LA. Arizona must finish drives. The Cardinals had 365 yards of offense but kicked four field goals with no touchdowns. Quarterback Kyler Murray was decent and wideout Marquise Brown was electric (140 receiving yards). Arizona’s run game struggled at three yards per carry and the defense was up and down. The Cardinals’ underwhelming start continues.
- +6600 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 24
Most counted out the Indianapolis Colts against the Kansas City Chiefs. Of course, the Colts took down the Chiefs (20-17) when everyone least expected it. It’s only fitting Week 3 gave us another puzzling outcome. Is Indianapolis really that good or was it a fluke? The Colts have playoff upside but showed none of it in Weeks 1 and 2. Quarterback Matt Ryan easily had his best game of the season. Plus, the defense held strong by allowing 315 yards. Indianapolis has a long way to go, but the Colts deserve plenty of credit for the win, especially without linebacker Shaquille Leonard.
- +4000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 26
How about the Jacksonville Jaguars? Their 2-1 start has been one of the NFL’s biggest surprises. Following the 24-0 thrashing of the Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville destroyed (38-10) the Los Angeles Chargers. Second-year quarterback Trevor Lawrence had another outstanding performance, posting a 115.5 passer rating. Running back James Robinson keeps shining as he totaled 100 rushing yards. The offensive line dominated a talented Chargers defense. Furthermore, the defense had another fantastic game. Linebacker Devin Lloyd is an early favorite to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+450). The Jags are legit contenders (+200) for the AFC South title.
- +5000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 17
The Dallas Cowboys had the same recipe for success in their 23-16 win over the New York Giants. The pass rush dominated with five sacks and 12 QB hits. Defensive end Demarcus Lawrence had three sacks while Micah Parsons generated pressure against double-teams. On offense, quarterback Cooper Rush keeps impressing. The backup QB has not been a liability; instead, he’s becoming the reason for wins. Dallas’ receivers had several inexcusable drops — CeeDee Lamb muffed a potential 52-yard touchdown. The unit turned it around late. Lamb (87 yards) and Noah Brown (54 yards) had solid showings.
- +3300 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 12
Unlike last week, quarterback Kirk Cousins stepped up in Week 3. The Minnesota Vikings got a hard-fought win (28-24) over the Detroit Lions. The passing game took over in the fourth quarter as Minnesota outscored the Lions 14-0. Wideout K.J. Osborn reeled in two crucial catches on the game-winning drive. The Vikings are fortunate the offense stepped up because the defense continues to be a thorn in their side. Minnesota ranks 30th in allowed yards per game (413.3).
- +2200 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 10
The San Francisco 49ers fell to the Denver Broncos (11-10) in an uneventful Sunday Night Football matchup. For most of the night, San Francisco’s defense was dominant, holding Denver to 3.7 yards per play. But when it mattered most, the unit allowed a game-winning 80-yard drive. Furthermore, QB Jimmy Garoppolo had a poor showing that included stepping out of his own end zone, causing a safety. Going forward, the big concern is All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams’ health. He sustained a high ankle sprain that will cause him to miss time.
- +1800 Super Bowl odds
11. Denver Broncos
Last Week: 13
If not for a game-winning drive late in the fourth quarter, coach Nathaniel Hackett would be hearing an earful again. Honestly, Hackett will still probably hear it since the offense looks so dysfunctional. The run game was mostly ineffective, pass protection was shaky and Russell Wilson missed several throws. On the game-winning drive, the offense finally looked sharp as Wilson consistently made plays.
- +2500 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 3
The injury bug has hit the Los Angeles Chargers hard. Quarterback Justin Herbert was already dealing with a rib injury. Wideout Keenan Allen was out with a strained hamstring. In the Chargers’ embarrassing 38-10 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, All-Pro left tackle Rashawn Slate sustained a season-ending bicep injury. Defensive end Joey Bosa was ruled out of the game with a groin injury. Moreover, the run game is a complete mess. Los Angeles must bounce back in Week 4.
- +2000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 9
Lamar Jackson, take a bow. The superstar QB had another absurd game with a 110.3 passer rating, five touchdowns and 107 rushing yards. Jackson is making his run for MVP with +375 odds. Also, running back J.K. Dobbins got limited work (nine touches) in his return from injury. While the Baltimore Ravens’ offense is rolling, the defense is struggling. The secondary has been horrible, allowing 353.3 yards per game (32nd).
- +1600 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 11
The Cincinnati Bengals are back on track after beating (27-12) the New York Jets. Quarterback Joe Burrow easily had his best game of the season with 275 yards and three touchdowns. While wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase was mostly ineffective, Tyler Boyd (105 receiving yards) and Tee Higgins (93 receiving yards) had big games. After averaging only 2.5 yards per carry, the run game is becoming an issue. One of the league’s best run stuffers, defensive tackle DJ Reader, went down with a knee injury.
- +2800 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 6
The Los Angeles Rams’ dominant streak over the Arizona Cardinals continues. After Sunday’s 20-12 win, the Rams have now beat Arizona in 11 of the last 12 meetings. The offense had its moments. Quarterback Matthew Stafford was solid and running back Cam Akers had a nice second half. Ultimately, the defense won the game as it did not allow a touchdown and consistently generated pressure.
- +1200 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 4
Tom Brady simply has no one to throw to right now. Once wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin return, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be scary. The defense is playing lights out. It got off to a shaky start in the first half but held the Green Bay Packers scoreless in the second. Brady looked good despite his lack of targets. He led an 89-yard touchdown drive in the final minutes. Tampa attempted a two-point conversion to tie the game, but a crucial delay-of-game penalty led to a 14-12 loss.
- +850 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 8
In the game of the week, the Miami Dolphins proved they are legit. The offense had its huge game in Week 2. This time, it was the defense’s turn. Buffalo racked up the yards, but drives kept stalling. In the fourth quarter, the defense stopped the Bills on a fourth-and-goal. Later in the quarter, the special teams’ massive mistake, coined the “butt punt,” led to a safety. The defense held yet again as Buffalo ran out of time. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa excelled in the 21-19 win. The hype keeps building in Miami.
- +1600 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 7
After going up 14-0, the Green Bay Packers were on their way to a convincing win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, the offense would not score again. While the run game struggled, QB Aaron Rodgers played great and rookie WR Romeo Doubs (73 receiving yards and one touchdown) had a breakout performance. For most of the game, the defense’s front seven was dominant. The Packers hope to get cornerback Jaire Alexander back quickly after he sustained a groin injury. Green Bay avoided overtime thanks to Tampa Bay’s two-point conversion mistake. The Packers got a massive victory in Week 3 and the passing game showed signs of life.
- +1000 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 2
What does the 20-17 loss to the Indianapolis Colts mean? The coming weeks will reveal if the Colts are actually good. Let’s not panic too much over one loss. The Kansas City Chiefs remain a Super Bowl contender. Special teams cost Kansas City the game. The Chiefs muffed a punt and failed a fake field goal attempt. Plus, kicker Matt Ammendola missed an extra point and a crucial 34-yard field goal attempt in the fourth quarter. Kansas City’s defense was solid and the receivers improved, but the special teams were too bad in the end.
- +750 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 5
Taking care of business on the road is always a challenge in the NFL. Yet, the Philadelphia Eagles made it look easy against the Washington Commanders as they won 24-8. Philly’s stock is through the roof. Jalen Hurts looked fantastic with 340 passing yards, three touchdowns and a 123.5 passer rating. His receivers certainly deserve praise too. A.J. Brown made another big impact and DeVonta Smith erupted with 169 receiving yards. On defense, the Eagles’ pass rush was unreal. Philadelphia is flying high with the Jacksonville Jaguars as its next opponent.
- +800 Super Bowl odds
Last Week: 1
While the Buffalo Bills lost 21-19 to the Miami Dolphins, they are still the league’s best team. With a thin secondary, the Bills held the Dolphins to only 212 yards. Buffalo probably should have won this game. In the fourth quarter, Josh Allen missed a wide-open Isaiah McKenzie for a go-ahead touchdown on a fourth-and-goal. Buffalo got another chance after Miami’s “butt punt.” However, the Bills ran out of time once they got into field goal range. A handful of mistakes must be cleaned up, but the Bills remain at the top.
- +450 Super Bowl odds