The most exciting of the interconference NFL matchups this week is the marquee afternoon game on Sunday’s Week 11 card. The Indianapolis Colts play host to the Green Bay Packers and the sportsbook has already seen a lot of action. Don’t make your NFL picks until you’ve checked out our Packers vs Colts Week 11 betting analysis for this matchup on FOX.
| Game: Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Indianapolis Colts (7-2)
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Television: FOX |
Packers vs Colts Week 11 Betting Analysis: Lines
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
| Packers | +2½ | +115 | 51½ | 24½ |
| Colts | -2½ | -135 | 51½ | 27 |
Head-to-Head
The Indianapolis Colts enjoy a 6-3 record over the Packers. The earliest of those nine games involved the Rod Dowhower coached Colts against the Forrest Gregg-coached Packers in 1985 after the team relocated and played in what they called the Hoosier Dome. Past games have no relevance here, and these teams play each other every four years.
Green Bay Packers
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | Home ATS | Away ATS | Fave ATS | Dog ATS | O/U |
| Packers | 7-2 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 4-1 | 4-3 | 2-0 | 5-4 |
Next game: vs Chicago Bears
Last Game
Green Bay played on numerous survivor-pool selections, countless parlay cards, and also host to the Jacksonville Jaguars. It was all fun and games until the Packers fumbled at their own two-yard line, stalled a drive on fourth down and then threw an interception. The Jags consequently took a fourth-quarter 20-17 lead.
Obviously, the Packers stood no chance of covering the 14-point spread hung on them by the books, and bet down by the market to 13½. The total fell to the under, after crashing from an open of 53 down to 47.
The mass of under bets seemed doomed with Jacksonville putting up a fight and a combined total of 27 first-half points. Thanks to an ineffective third-quarter Packers’ performance, the game did go under the total, Green Bay winning 24-20 and not for a second covering the spread in this week 10 matchup.
Injury Report
A mid-game ankle injury to WR Davante Adams drew gasps from observers, andmore when he returned to catch the game-winning touchdown. Otherwise, the Packers haven’t reported any additional injuries from last Sunday.
In positive NFL Covid-19 news, RB A.J. Dillon and ILB Krys Barnes have been removed from the COVID-IR. Also, WR Allen Lazard was designated to return from injured reserve.
So glad you're back! You have been missed like crazy @AllenLazard! Love You.❤ pic.twitter.com/xrDSd4QSbX
— Teresa Chambers (@TeresaC12713009) November 18, 2020
Indianapolis Colts
Betting Record
| Team | Record | ATS | Home ATS | Away ATS | Fave ATS | Dog ATS | O/U |
| Colts | 6-3 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 5-4 |
Next game: vs Tennessee Titans
Last Game
Indianapolis caught nothing but support in the betting market as they played the Tennessee Titans in last Thursday’s NFL matchup. The Colts opened as a two-point underdog turned short favorite by kickoff. Remarkably, having given up seven first downs by penalty (that’s a ton) and turned the ball over twice on fourth down, they somehow won by a 34-17 final.
The dominance of the Colts’ second-half effort, an unanswered 21 points, carried the total to the over to the chagrin of the market that bet it from an open of 50 down to 48½.
Injury Report
In NFL injury news, Colts’ CB Kenny Moore got banged in the ribs hard enough to have missed snaps last game. He’s apparently had an MRI, which is never promising, but in light of the extra rest, the team is declaring him day-to-day. The Colts also just activated DE Kemoko Turay from injured reserve.
Packers vs Colts Week 11 Betting Analysis: Betting on the Game
Point Spread
Oddsmakers respected the Colts enough to install them as a 1½-point favorite, and bettors did so enough to bet them up to 2½. Until the practice reports come in, we don’t expect this line to move much further, and based on the injury profiles there’s not any current player uncertainty. Slight lean towards the Packers at +2½, guessing that it won’t go higher under the circumstances.
Moneyline
Indianapolis opened on the moneyline at -145, and money came in this case for the Packers taking the buy back price of +125 down to +115 where it sits currently. (The moneyline is posted after the spread, so bettors already took the Colts before that.) We’d pass the Packers’ straight-up price here, as it’s cheap in comparison to the spread.
Over/Under
The opening total of 49 got popped up to 51, and now sits at 51½. We’d lean under 51½ where it’s a key number and don’t expect it to climb much higher than that. Certainly under 52 would be a play if the line move didn’t come as the result of some news or roster development.
