We’ve got an NFC East vs NFC South matchup, Philadelphia Eagles vs. Atlanta Falcons. Jalen Hurts will face off against Matt Ryan, in a sure-to-be high-scoring game. Don’t blink or you might miss a touchdown by Heisman-winner DeVonta Smith. Let’s take a look!
|Game: Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Location: Mercedes-Benz StadiumDate: Sunday, September 12th
Time: 1 p.m. ET
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
These teams played in 2019, and although fairly recent, some things have changed. Mainly, the Eagles are no longer led by Carson Wentz, instead, Hurts runs the offense. In 2019, Ryan still had his best target at WR, Julio Jones. He no longer has his big outside target and has lost a step since 2019.
The Falcons won their last meeting and covered the spread where the sportsbook favored Philadelphia -1. It looks as if the spread hasn’t changed much here, aside from the Falcons being the favored team this time around.
Next game: vs. San Francisco
The NFC East was such a mess in 2020, the Washington Football Team entered the playoffs with a 7-9 record. Philadelphia was far behind them at 4-11-1, which is pretty awful. They spent some time in the offseason working out the kinks. The main problem was former Head Coach Doug Pederson, who Philadelphia moved on from. The end of 2020 meant pressing the reset button for the Eagles.
The Eagles were awful against the spread in 2020. In the last 10 games of the 2020 season, the Eagles covered the spread 4 times. Even with the help of the spread they were unable to cover, leaving bettors with little confidence.
Offensive Tackle Jack Driscoll and Defensive Back Josiah Scott are on Injured Reserve. This will leave Jalen Hurts without some much-needed protection. The Eagles’ secondary will also suffer without Josiah Scott in the lineup.
Next game: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
To say the Atlanta Falcons had a rough 2020 would be a gross understatement. The team suffered across all levels and ended the season with a 4-12 record. Essentially, the Falcons were the forgotten team of the NFC South, especially with Tom Brady in Tampa Bay. They fell into obscurity which led to the firing of former Head Coach Dan Quinn.
Much like the Philadelphia Eagles, the Atlanta Falcons were unreliable against the spread in 2020. In a game against Tampa Bay to close the season, they were spotted 7 points and lost the game, 44-27. Eventually, the Atlanta Falcons found themselves off of bettors tickets, for good reason. As the year went on, the more unreliable the Falcons became at the sportsbook.
The Atlanta Falcons are healthy.
Betting on the Game
There is a narrow margin separating these teams. More importantly, the line hasn’t moved since the betting line first opened. This means that most sportsbooks believe this game is pretty straight up. The Eagles come in with just a 3.5-point margin of error, if they lose by a field goal, they won’t cover. Be sure to consider that when betting here.
The Falcons performed slightly better against the spread in the backstretch of the 2020 season. Still, you have to remember the piece they lost on offense in the offseason. Losing a downfield threat such as Julio Jones isn’t easy to overcome. Pairing that with Ryan’s age playing a factor and you have a recipe for an underwhelming offense.
A bet that looks interesting is Philadelphia Eagles +145 Moneyline. Sure, the Falcons are the favored but think about the youthful Eagle offense. They’ve got a young quarterback anxious to prove himself, a shifty running back, and a strong receiving corps. Between these two offenses, the Philadelphia Eagles have a distinct advantage.
Perhaps the biggest advantage the Eagles have is on defense. They took a step back in 2020, but before that were regarded as one of the league’s best. Even in 2020 when their offense suffered they held teams to the under. In seven of their last ten games last season, the total was under what the sportsbook set the line at. Expect them to limit the output of Atlanta’s offense on Sunday afternoon as well.