The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks are NFC West rivals whose seasons are rapidly heading in opposite directions as they meet Sunday. The 49ers have won three games in a row (and four of five) as their offense has started to click despite a host of injuries, while the Seahawks have lost three games in a row (and six of seven). Seattle, even with Russell Wilson back healthy, just can’t find ways to score.
The current NFL point spreads like the 49ers as a little bit more field goal favorites on the road.
- Game: San Francisco 49ers (6-5) at Seattle Seahawks (3-8)
- Location: Lumen Field
- Day/Time: Sunday, Dec. 5, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Television: CBS
|San Francisco 49ers||-3½ (Ev)||-170||o46 (-110)|
|Seattle Seahawks||+3½ (-120)||+150||u46 (-110)|
The Seahawks have firmly controlled this series as of late, winning the last three meetings and four of the last five. Earlier this season, in Week 5, Seattle won 28-21 at Levi’s Stadium behind a pair of passing touchdowns from Wilson and rushing scores from both Wilson and Alex Collins. Trey Lance played well as he replaced an injured Jimmy Garoppolo for the second half but the Seahawks were able to hold on.
Seattle leads the all-time head-to-head record 29-17.
San Francisco 49ers
Next game: at Bengals
San Francisco used a big third quarter to race past the Minnesota Vikings in a 34-26 win on Sunday. The 49ers won this game in the first four minutes of the second half, as they scored on a Deebo Samuel run to go up by seven, immediately picked off Kirk Cousins, and then scored again on the next play from scrimmage (an Elijah Mitchell run). That gave them control of the game. Mitchell ran for 133 yards and a TD and Samuel rushed for 66 yards with two scores.
The 49ers covered as four-point home favorites while their huge scoring outburst right after halftime cemented the over cashing out (total was 49 points).
The 49ers have been banged-up all season and their big loss right now is Samuel, who’s expected to miss some time with a groin injury. Running backs JaMycal Hasty (ankle) is questionable and Trey Sermon (ankle) is doubtful as he didn’t practice on Thursday.
Linebackers Dre Greenlaw (abdomen), Marcell Harris (concussion), and Fred Warner (hamstring) all missed practice on Thursday as well and their statuses for Sunday aren’t looking good. Defensive lineman Maurice Hurst (calf) was a limited participant and is questionable. Defensive end Dee Ford (back) is still on injured reserve).
Next game: at Texans
The Seahawks’ anemic offense failed them against the Washington Football Team on Monday, as Seattle lost 17-15 and failed to crack 300 yards of total offense. Seattle actually had a chance to tie Washington at the end of regulation but Wilson’s two-point conversion pass to Freddie Swain was picked off. Wilson led an incredible 10-play, 96-yard scoring drive down the field but it was all for naught. The Seahawks only gained 34 yards on the ground all night.
Seattle lost outright as 1½ point road favorites. The over (46½ points) never had a chance.
The injury situation isn’t much better for the Seahawks, as running back Alex Collins (abdomen) is questionable and starter Chris Carson is still out for the season. Offensive linemen Brandon Shell, Kyle Fuller, Gabe Jackson, and Damien Lewis are all questionable as well. Offensive tackle Jamarco Jones (back) and cornerback Tre Brown (knee) are both still on injured reserve.
Betting on the Game
If you’re making NFL picks against the spread, it’s tough to side with Seattle. The Seahawks are 25th in scoring offense and haven’t looked all that better since Wilson came back from his finger injury. The lack of a running game — Seattle is 31st in carries and 25th in rushing yards — doesn’t help and the Carson injury is probably the biggest reason for that.
On the other hand, San Francisco seems to have figured things out on both sides of the ball, but not having Samuel limits what the 49ers can do offensively. So, it makes sense that the 49ers are just 3½ point favorites on the BetUS Sportsbook right now. The 49ers are the better team but with all of their injuries — especially to their entire linebacker group — the Seahawks do have a legitimate shot at an upset win.
The betting markets in general have had a lot of line movement with regards to this game. Early markets opened with the 49ers as 2½ point favorites and then it moved down to 3½ points before settling at three points at certain shops. Look for 3½ points to end up being the magic number in general.
Seattle at +150 on the moneyline is a good value for an underdog pick for all the reasons mentioned above. Both teams are going to be missing a bunch of starters but the 49ers will be without their best offensive playmaker and multiple Pro Bowl-caliber defenders. That leaves the door open for the Seahawks and that’s more than enough juice to take a flyer on them.
The under seems like the right move for this game. Seattle’s defense has been good overall — sixth in fewest points allowed — and, even with the injuries, San Francisco’s defense is still really talented and should be able to get a lot of pressure on Wilson. If you’re betting online, it should be a defensive showdown especially with the projected temperature being 37 degrees Fahrenheit. It will be a cold one in the Pacific Northwest.