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Seahawks vs Dolphins: Week 4 Betting Odds Analysis

Game: Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins

Location: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, Florida

Time: 1 p.m. ET

Luke Willson of the Seattle Seahawks brings in a catch against the Miami Dolphins- Seahawks vs Dolphins Betting Odds
Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images/AFP

Television: FOX 

NFL Betting Lines

Team Point Spread Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
Seahawks -6.5 -300 54½ 30½
Dolphins +6.5 +245 54½ 24 

Seahawks vs Dolphins Betting Odds:Seattle Seahawks

Betting Record

Team Record ATS Home ATS Away ATS Fave ATS O/U
Seahawks 3-0 3-0 2-0 1-0 3-0 3 Over, 0 Under

 Next game: at Dolphins

Last Game

38-31 vs Cowboys

The best player in the NFL is Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs, but the MVP leader through three weeks is Russell Wilson of the Seahawks. The Seattle quarterback is more individually responsible for his team’s success than any other player in the NFL. The Seahawks have given up over 1,200 passing yards in their first three games of the season. That hadn’t happened in the NFL in the Super Bowl era until the Seahawks earned that dubious distinction, with a weak pass rush and a depleted secondary.

Here is a look at the latest Super Bowl Odds

Wilson is outscoring opponents so that the defense’s flaws don’t matter. The 38-31 win over Dallas was a perfect example. Dallas was down 30-15 early in the third quarter but then scored 16 straight points, often on long, time-consuming drives, to put the Seahawks down 31-30 with just under four minutes left. Wilson responded under pressure, converted a fourth-and-three inside the three-minute mark, and then threw his fifth touchdown pass of the day plus a 2-point conversion to give Seattle a seven-point win. Seattle can’t stop anybody from scoring, but Wilson is piling up the points for an offense that is intentionally throwing the ball a lot more, understanding Wilson has to have the ball in his hands a lot more often.

Stats Pack

The numbers say it all for Wilson: 27-of-40 for 315 yards and five touchdowns with no interceptions. Wilson has thrown at least four touchdown passes in each of his first three games. Wilson has 14 touchdowns through three games, a rare achievement. Get this, too: Wilson’s 14 TD passes are as many touchdown passes as the rest of the NFC West (49ers, Rams, Cardinals) combined through three weeks. Wilson is unconscious.

Chris Carson rushed for 64 yards against Dallas, but the receivers were the players who really helped Wilson. DK Metcalf (110) and Tyler Lockett (100) both reached 100 receiving yards for the Seahawks, who continuously were behind the Dallas secondary. The Seahawks had three pass plays of 29 yards or longer. Two went for touchdowns, and a 62-yard pass from Wilson to Metcalf didn’t result in a touchdown only because the wideout casually jogged toward the end zone and was stripped of the ball just before he reached the goal line. Seattle should have had 45 points, not 38.

Head-to-Head

The Seahawks and Dolphins, being from opposite conferences, last played in 2016. The Seahawks won, 12-10.

The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in the sportsbook in their last five games. The total has hit the over in four of Seattle’s last five contests.

Injury Report

The Seahawks are suffering on the injury front. They had already lost safety/nickleback Marquise Blair and pass rusher Bruce Irvin for the season with injuries. Then a wave of injuries hit them against the Cowboys in Week 3: Running back Chris Carson, guard Damien Lewis, backup linebacker Jordyn Brooks, and most of all, safety Jamal Adams all were hurt. The Seahawks could handle some of those injuries, but they need Adams to hold together the secondary. They also need Carson’s running and his pass-catching out of the backfield. It’s hard to say if Adams or Carson will play; if merely one of the two is out, that’s a huge loss.

Seahawks vs Dolphins Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins

Betting Record

Team Record ATS Home ATS Away ATS Fave ATS O/U
Dolphins 1-2 2-1 1-0 1-1 0-0 1 over, 2 under 

Next game: vs Seahawks

Last Game

31-13 at Jaguars 

The Dolphins couldn’t have been much better than they showed against Jacksonville on Thursday Night Football. The Dolphins scored touchdowns on each of their first three possessions, something they have done only one other time in the past 20 NFL seasons. Miami quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick was efficient. The running game supplemented the passing game. The Dolphins’ defense smothered Gardner Minshew and the Jacksonville passing game. The Dolphins were plus-two in terms of turnover differential and plus-8:44 in time of possession (34:22 to 25:38). It was a complete performance from a team that didn’t sulk after losing a close game to the Buffalo Bills (31-28) in Week 2. This team is improving, and that has to give coach Brian Flores a lot of confidence.

Stats Pack

Fitzpatrick didn’t throw for a large number of yards against the Jaguars, only 160, but he was extremely effective, completing 18-of-20 passes. The Dolphins built a big early lead with their three touchdowns in the first three possessions. The Dolphins didn’t have to throw the ball a lot in the second half.

Running back Myles Gaskin ran for 66 yards on 22 carries. The Dolphins collected 138 rushing yards. Receiver DeVante Parker caught five passes for 69 yards to lead all Miami pass catchers. Miami forced two turnovers from Jacksonville and registered four sacks against the Jaguars.

Head-to-Head

The 12-10 loss to the Seahawks -– in the teams’ last regular-season meeting -– came in 2016.

The Dolphins are 4-1 against the sports betting spread in their last five games. The Dolphins are 6-14 straight up in their last 20 games.

Injury Report

The Dolphins are in much better injury-related shape than the Seahawks, but that doesn’t mean they don’t have any concerns at all. Linebacker Vince Biegel is out for the season. The key question is if cornerback Byron Jones, who missed the Jacksonville game with a groin injury, will be healthy enough to play. The Dolphins can use him against the Seahawks’ elite passing game. Jones hasn’t had an official designation, but expect him to be listed as questionable heading into this Dolphins vs Seahawks matchup.

Seahawks vs Dolphins Betting Odds: Betting on the Game

Point Spread: Dolphins +6.5

The Seahawks are way too banged up to be giving this many points. They might win, but this game certainly figures to be close. The Dolphins have steadily improved and are healthier by a considerable margin. It is hard to see the Seahawks pulling away from Miami.

Moneyline: Dolphins +245 

The moneyline play offers great value with the Dolphins. Their offensive line has been playing well, and Seattle has a terrible defensive line. Miami has had three extra days of rest, since it played a Thursday game on Sept. 24. So much of this game lines up well for the Dolphins. A straight-up win would not be surprising. The Seahawks can’t keep giving up large numbers of points – it will burn them sooner rather than later.

Seahawks vs Dolphins Betting Odds Over/Under: Under 54.5

This feels like a shootout… and every Seattle game feels like a shootout. The Seahawks have played three games. The lowest combined point total: 63, in a 38-25 win over Atlanta in Week 1. Moreover, the Seahawks’ injuries in their secondary make them more vulnerable to the Dolphins’ defense. The overlooks like a solid bet to make here.

 

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