NFL Championship Sunday began with the Philadelphia Eagles winning the NFC Championship Game over the San Francisco 49ers to punch their ticket to Super Bowl 57. Then, the Kansas City Chiefs claimed the AFC Championship title at the expense of the Cincinnati Bengals to book their spot opposite the NFC champs in the Super Bowl.
The stage is now set, the betting online odds are down to the respective AFC and NFC Conference champions in a blockbuster Super Bowl 57 showdown with the Lombardi Trophy on the line.
It’s the last chance to bet on the NFL this season (sniff!). Who will win is among the many questions facing bettors, of course. But another question that bears careful consideration is: Where is the value on the NFL odds board? Is it on the money line? The handicap? Or the Total? And that then brings up another question: Is it better to pull the trigger now or later?
Join us as we size up the numbers at early doors and determine where (if at all) it is best to Super Bowl bet now or later. For exclusive offers on betting on Super Bowl 57, click here.
Let’s check the latest Super Bowl picks, stats, injury reports, and Super Bowl odds. We’ve got plenty of Super Bowl lines for you to consider.
Super Bowl 57 – Chiefs vs Eagles
- Point Spread: Eagles -2½ (-110)
- Moneyline: Chiefs +115 | Eagles -135
- Total: O 49½ (-110) | U 49½ (-110)
Opening NFL Odds
On the heels of a stellar NFL Conference Championship on Sunday, the markets, powered by BetUS sportsbook, went to press with their initial serving of Super Bowl odds.
As it is, the Eagles opened as the favorites at -140 on the moneyline, even though it is head coach Nick Sirianni’s and quarterback Jalen Hurts’ maiden trip to the Super Bowl.
This isn’t Andy Reid’s or Patrick Mahomes’ first foray, after all. The pair is poised to make their third appearance in the Big Game, going 1-1 in their previous two appearances. And yet, they’re tipped at the disadvantage at +115 after opening at +120. (What?)
The stage is set. #SBLVII@Chiefs | @Eagles pic.twitter.com/FoKA914sxS
— NFL (@NFL) January 30, 2023
The point spread is delicately posed on a 2½-point line with the Eagles to the good, while the total is projected to 49½ with the over and under juiced to -110, respectively.
Bet Now: Chiefs +115 / Chiefs +2½
It is somewhat surprising to see the Kansas City Chiefs tipped at the disadvantage on the moneyline and point spread, especially given the different paths the NFC and AFC Championship games took.
Yes, the Eagles romped to a 31-7 win over the formidable San Francisco 49ers, but that win was helped in a big way by the subsequent injuries to starting quarterback Brock Purdy (elbow) and backup journeyman quarterback Josh Johnson (concussion). It was hardly a fair fight, let’s be honest.
The Chiefs, on the other hand, took it to the Bengals, who were riding a three-game winning streak against them. It was a complete team win in all three facets of the game against an emerging AFC powerhouse.
Mahomes was stoic despite a high ankle injury that visibly bothered him and prevented him from playing at his full potential. Travis Kelce was enigmatic, the undeniable X-factor that propelled the offense. Special teams made big plays when it mattered the most, and the defense really stepped it up, applying the pressure and thwarting Joe Burrow and the high-octane Bengals offense in the 23-20 win.
Reid, Mahomes and the many players on the Chiefs’ roster know what it takes to win high-stakes games. Since 2018, they’ve made five consecutive AFC Championship games and three Super Bowls. That kind of championship pedigree is nothing to sniff at.
If nothing else, Kansas City has the intangible edge over the Eagles.
Importantly, Mahomes will have two weeks to heal his ankle. That’s not good news for the Eagles, who’ve played one of the easiest schedules in the league and haven’t faced an elite quarterback of Mahomes’ ilk all season long.
So, for those looking to back the Chiefs to win, grab them now as the +115 underdogs before the public bets this line down.
See you in Arizona, @Eagles! #SBLVII | #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/VJcjHcYQZi
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) January 30, 2023
Bet Later: Total O/U 49½
The markets went to press with a high 49½ point total. This isn’t surprising considering the big numbers that the Eagles have posted throughout the season, the Chiefs’ overall track record with Mahomes as their signal caller and the sum total of all the individual talent contained in both camps.
Public expectations play an additional factor in the makeup of this market. Everybody loves an exciting, nerve-biting, offensively explosive game with back-and-forth action. It’s infinitely more satisfying than a defensive slugfest, that’s for sure. That fact can lead to markets posting higher totals in anticipation of the popularity of the over.
That said, the last time the total went over was Super Bowl 52, which was won, ironically, by the Eagles. Super Bowl total betting trends have seen the total fall under projected totals in the last four seasons.
- Super Bowl 56: Rams 23 vs Bengals 20 – Under 49½
- Super Bowl 55: Buccaneers 31 vs Chiefs 9 – Under 56
- Super Bowl 54: Chiefs 31 vs 49ers 20 – Under 53
- Super Bowl 53: Patriots 13 vs Rams 3 – Under 55½
- Super Bowl 52: Eagles 41 vs Patriots 33 – Over 49
Whether bettors will be swayed by either of these offensive-minded teams to pound the over or if the recent trends will prompt bettors toward the under remains to be seen. That’s why waiting to see how early betting impacts this market and the direction the line takes is advisable.
Waiting and betting the total later is also going to be helpful for other reasons as well. Namely, as we don’t know the aftermath of Sunday’s games fully yet. The Eagles appear to have escaped unscathed, but the Chiefs have several concerns. Obviously, Mahomes’ ankle is going to be the biggest question mark, but injuries to key players such as receivers Mecole Hardman and Kadarius Toney still need to be assessed.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
