Last weekend’s NFC Championship Game was a snooze-fest thanks to an injury to San Francisco 49ers third-string quarterback Brock Purdy. It was the second blowout victory in a row for the Eagles, who drubbed the New York Giants in the Divisional Round.
Now that they are on the final boss level, do they have one more big win in them? Let’s take a look at the Eagles’ path here and make some Super Bowl predictions.
Eagles Hot Out of the Gate
I don’t care what level of NFL prognosticator you are, you didn’t predict the Eagles were going to come out to an 8-0 start or have a 13-1 record heading into Week 16. Philly also went 5-3 against the spread to start the season.
Philly’s performance through the first 15 weeks of the season was terrific. Had it not been for a shocking loss to the Washington Commanders, the worst team in the NFC East, the Eagles would have been undefeated after 15 weeks.
Their betting record was never excellent, but it never dipped too far into the red. Maybe that is why the Super Bowl lines for this game are in Philly’s favor.
Philly Down to End Regular Season
The fun was not to last, however, and the Eagles lost two of their last three games of the regular season – to the Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints.
The Cowboys game was understandable, as they were considered Super Bowl contenders, but losing to the Saints was tough. The Eagles lost both games against the spread and ended up finishing the regular season on an 0-4 ATS losing streak. Something to keep in mind while you make your Super Bowl picks.
Eagles Made Most of Easy Postseason Path
This is not exactly a knock against the Eagles, as their schedule is created by the league, not the team. Unlike college, teams do not influence who they play or when.
But, sometimes, you just get lucky.
The Eagles were fortunate in the playoffs to face the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers. Both were playoff teams, but the Giants were outgunned and the 49ers suffered terrible luck when both their quarterbacks were hurt.
The Eagles’ schedule hasn’t been easy during the playoffs. The Eagles have not beaten a really “good” quarterback in weeks. Davis Webb, Daniel Jones and the combo of Josh Johnson/one-armed Brock Purdy were the last quarterbacks they beat.
Now, Philly is up against Patrick Mahomes, playing some of the best football we’ve seen in years.
Eagles 2-0 ATS in Playoffs
Despite not having the best betting record to speak of, the Eagles were at least profitable during the regular season – if only barely. Loyal bettors would have walked away with a whopping profit of 0.10 units. Not a grand sum, but still better than the -4.20 units the Chiefs provided.
Once the playoffs started, however, the Eagles turned on the afterburners and blew the doors off their opponents. They beat the 49ers by 24 points as -2½ favorites and ran the Giants out of the building with a 31-point win as -8 point favorites.
For the math nerds out there, the Eagles’ previous two wins were by an average of 27.5 points, and they covered by an average of 22.25 points. This makes Philly a tempting Super Bowl bet.
It’s a small sample size against two teams who, for very different reasons, were in over their heads. But the Giants and 49ers are still NFL teams, and a win is a win.
It’s difficult to imagine a world where the Eagles win by 20+ points again, but as -2 favorites, they don’t have much work to do to cover the spread for the third playoff game in a row.
The Eagles are also 2-0 ATS after a bye, which they will have this week and 10-5 following a win.
With the Super Bowl odds in their favor, the Eagles are a solid bet to soar over the Chiefs. For exclusive offers on betting on Super Bowl 57, click here.
