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Super Bowl 58 Betting: How the 49ers Got Here

It wasn’t easy, but the San Francisco 49ers played their way into the franchise’s eighth Super Bowl as the 49ers get a chance to end a nearly 30-year title drought.

While San Francisco won its seventh straight postseason home game, the 49ers failed to cover for the second straight game when Detroit scored in the final minute. The 49ers did win the game outright, 34-31, against the Lions. They will meet Kansas City in the Super Bowl with the Super Bowl odds favoring San Francisco as a two-point favorite.

Super Bowl 58 Betting: How the 49ers Got Here
George Kittle #85 of the San Francisco 49ers | Ezra Shaw/Getty Images/AFP

The game is set for Feb. 11 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Kickoff will be shortly after 6:30 p.m. ET and will air on CBS. The total is currently at 47.5.

Here’s a look at how the 49ers returned to the Super Bowl for the first time since 2020.

 

The Road to Las Vegas

San Francisco took control of the NFC West race with a 30-23 road win against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 2. That was part of a 5-0 start. Things got interesting when the 49ers dropped three straight games, two coming against AFC teams before winning seven of the next eight games. With the division title and top seed in the NFC playoffs already secured, San Francisco rested some key players in a 21-20 loss to the Rams in the regular-season finale.

Even though San Francisco was tied with the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions for the best record among NFC teams, San Francisco played at home throughout the NFC playoffs.

San Francisco was listed by the sportsbook as a 10½-point favorite against visiting Green Bay after receiving a bye into the divisional round of the NFL playoffs.

The Green Bay Packers missed a field goal that would have given them a seven-point lead. San Francisco responded with a 12-play scoring drive with Christian McCaffrey’s touchdown giving the 49ers the lead with just over a minute to play.

 


Detroit passed on a pair of second-half field goals to go for it on fourth down, and that came back to haunt the Lions in a three-point loss.

 

A Look At the Numbers

San Francisco did not perform particularly well as a favorite this season, posting a 9-10 record against the spread when favored.

The 49ers were favored in every game and it is looking like that will also be the case when looking at the Super Bowl betting line.

If the Chiefs become the favorite in the Super Bowl, it would be the first time since the 2023 NFC Championship Game that the 49ers are listed as the underdog.

The 49ers are third in the NFL, with 11 of their games landing over the total.

 

 

Living Up To the Hype

Coming into the season, only the defending NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles had better NFL odds of representing the NFC in the Super Bowl than the 49ers.

San Francisco had +375 odds to reach the Super Bowl. That was well ahead of the +600 odds for the Lions when looking at the NFC playoff field.

The 49ers were priced at -180 in the odds of winning the NFC West Division title. The 49ers won the division by two NFL games ahead of the Los Angeles Rams.

The 49ers were 5-1 in the NFC West, and they came through for those who took San Francisco at +135 to go over 4½ division wins.

Coming into the season, the 49ers had +750 odds to lose in the Super Bowl and were at +1000 to win the Super Bowl.

Those Super Bowl odds were fourth behind Kansas City (+600), Philadelphia (+700) and Buffalo (+900).

 

Super Bowl History

The last time San Francisco played in the Super Bowl was on Feb. 2, 2020. Kansas City, favored by 1½ points, won 31-20, with the game finishing just under the 53-point total.

On Feb. 3, 2013, the 49ers were favored by 4½ points against the Baltimore Ravens, only to lose 34-31. The game finished over the 47½-point total.

When San Francisco won the last of its five Super Bowl titles, it came in Super Bowl XXIX following the 1994 season.

The 49ers blasted the San Diego Chargers 49-26 as 19-point favorites. They haven’t been favored in the playoffs by more points since that game. The 49ers almost went over the 54-point total without any help from the overmatched Chargers.

San Francisco won its first five trips to the Super Bowl before losing the last two.

 

 

Questions Of The Day

What is San Francisco’s Super Bowl record?


The 49ers won their first five trips to the Super Bowl and have a 5-2 record in the game.

How have the 49ers fared as a favorite in the postseason?


The 49ers have won eight straight postseason games when the Las Vegas odds have them listed as the favorite. The playoff loss as the favorite came in 2013.

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