With five weeks remaining in the regular season, five Super Bowl bet contenders stand above the rest. The NFL betting lines favor Buffalo and Kansas City out of the AFC, while Philadelphia, Dallas, and San Francisco lead the NFC. The Super Bowl LVII winner is likely one of this quintet.
While vulnerable in recent weeks, it is possible that none of them win. Before any contender lifts that Vince Lombardi Trophy, it will have to address a potentially fatal flaw.
Let’s check the latest NFL picks, stats, injury reports, and NFL predictions. We’ve plenty of NFL expert picks for you to consider.
Top Five Super Bowl LVII Contenders Against The Field
Buffalo: Winning the Close Games
- Buffalo Bills: +400
- Any Other Team: -600
The Bills continue as Super Bowl favorites because they’re so darn good on both sides of the ball. Even the loss of elite edge rusher Von Miller and star safety Micah Hyde shouldn’t slow down Buffalo. It is 9-3, with a 124-point differential, but the fact remains that since last season, the Bills are just 2-9 in one-score decisions, and 0-4 in overtime.
Hopefully Bills/Josh Allen have corrected their red zone issues. in the 3 game win streak(CLE, DET, NE) Allen has 5 TD’s and 1 INT in red zone. Previous 3 games(GB, NYJ, MIN) he had 2 TD and 4 INT
— Howard WGR (@hsimon62) December 3, 2022
Also concerning has been quarterback Josh Allen’s penchant for throwing picks/fumbling in the red zone this season. It’s been tough to watch at times. While Allen’s arguably more skilled than anyone at the position, he and Buffalo have not consistently produced when it matters.
Kansas City: Beating Joe Burrow
- Kansas City Chiefs: +450
- Any Other Team: -650
Taking a page out of Aaron Rodgers, quarterback Joe Burrow owns the Chiefs. Despite Kansas City’s prowess, it just lost to the Bengals again, 0-3 against Burrow. He’s been unstoppable, literally, with a completion rate of 79 percent (1,018 yards, eight touchdowns, zero interceptions).
The Chiefs have also lost against Allen and Lamar Jackson’s Ravens in recent seasons. Kansas City is surrendering the second-highest passer rating (101.4), even though they’re generating the pressure (24.4 pressure rate). The secondary leaves much to be desired and may hold KC back.
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Philadelphia: Jalen Hurts’ Legitimacy
- Philadelphia Eagles: +500
- Any Other Team: -800
You don’t need an elite quarterback to win a Super Bowl, and the Eagles know that (where’s Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles now?). You will need a quarterback to go ‘mano a mano’ with an opponent who’s elite. Hurts is 1-2 against the Dak Prescott Cowboys, 0-1 against the Chiefs, 1-1 against the 49ers and 0-1 against the Buccaneers.
It’s difficult to see the third-year pro get “practice” at beating such teams since Philly plays an easy schedule this season. It may be a similar NFL prediction as the 2015 Panthers that saw Cam Newton win the MVP, then fold in the Super Bowl.
Dallas: Ghosts of Playoffs Past
- Dallas Cowboys: +650
- Any Other Team: -1200
Dallas may be the best team “on paper” in the NFL this season, since not only does this team lead the league in point differential (+127), but few to no weaknesses. It has as good a defense as anyone, and a potent offense by any air/ground measure. The onus is now on Dak Prescott to deliver as needed.
The 29-year-old is 1-3 in the playoffs, with a passer rating of just 87.9. His worst playoff performance was when he rolled by the 49ers last season. It’s not only Prescott, as the Cowboys are just 4-11 in the playoffs since winning their last Super Bowl in 1996. They haven’t made it past the divisional playoffs, regardless of the quarterback.
San Francisco: Quarterback
- San Francisco 49ers: +1000
- Any Other Team: -4000
Take the Cowboys or the Bills, then replace their respective quarterbacks with a third-stringer. That’s where the 49ers are as of now. They’re down to Brock Purdy, “Mr. Irrelevant” as the last pick of this past draft.
While Purdy acquitted himself well in his relief of the injured Jimmy Garoppolo against Miami, he’d need to be the next Tom Brady (who knew?) or Kurt Warner (again, who knew?) to lead this stacked team to the title. Diehards may put their faith in him by betting online with San Francisco at 10-1, since crazier things have happened on the online sports betting front.
We’ve got plenty of Super Bowl betting for you to consider the odds to win the Super Bowl.