The Tennessee Titans will look to shake off their loss against the New York Jets last week as they visit the Jacksonville Jaguars as slight favorites, per Las Vegas’ NFL odds. The Titans have had Jacksonville’s number in recent meetings and the Jaguars are in disarray. Tennessee can either exploit the dysfunctional Jaguars or they are in for another letdown.
|Game: Tennessee Titans (2-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-4)
Location: TIAA Bank Field. Date: Sunday
Time: 1 p.m. ET
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
|Tennessee||-4½ -110||-210||48½ -110o||27 -110o/-120u|
|Jacksonville||+4½ -110||+175||48½ -110u||21½ -125o/-105u|
This has been a one-sided series lately with Tennessee winning nine of their last 11 meetings. The Titans are 32-21 against Jacksonville overall. They swept them last season and are 5-1 against them under coach Mike Vrabel. Jacksonville has been the underdog in nine of their last 10 meetings.
Next game: vs Buffalo Bills
It was a game to forget for the Titans as they fell to the New York Jets as 5½-point favorites last week. This dropped Tennessee to 2-2 straight up or as an NFL pick against the spread (ATS). The loss also marked the third time in four games where the Titans failed to cover as a favorite.
Wide receiver Julio Jones (hamstring) and punter Brett Kern (groin) were out of practice and remain doubtful to play this Sunday. Several others join them on the sidelines including offensive linemen Aaron Brewer (knee) and Taylor Lewan (toe) and linebacker Jayon Brown (knee).
Next game: vs Miami Dolphins
The Jaguars were closer than expected, but still lost to the Cincinnati Bengals in last week’s Thursday Night Football. They dropped to 0-4 for the season, making them the only winless team in the AFC. On the plus side, they finally covered their spread as they lost by a field goal as 7½-point underdogs.
The Jaguars will be without wide receive DJ Chark Jr. (ankle), who has been placed on the injured reserve. Defensive lineman Roy Robertson-Harris (ankle) is also not practicing and should miss Sunday’s game.
Betting on the Game
To no one’s surprise, the money has been squarely on the Titans here. The spread has stayed at 4½ points even with Tennessee coming off a loss against the Jets. The Jaguars have been a trainwreck and first-year coach Urban Meyer has become the laughingstock of the league.
The embattled coach was caught in a scandal and not only is his job security now questioned, but folks can even bet online if he gets fired before Jacksonville wins a game. The Jaguars are +175 to win here.
Jacksonville is only 2-3 ATS in their last five games as underdogs against Tennessee. One of these covers was a 1½-point spread. As it stands, the Jaguars have one of the worst offenses in the league and their defense is allowing opponents with the third-longest time on field and fourth-most yards per play.
Translation? The Jaguars have a tough time scoring points and can’t get their opponents off the field. The Titans will use the “big dog,” Derrick Henry, and his league-leading rushing yards to minimize any damage rookie QB Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars’ offense can.
Rush Yard leaders this season
Derrick Henry 510
Derrick Henry After Contact 365
Nick Chubb 362
Joe Mixon 353
Ezekiel Elliott 342 pic.twitter.com/YAG6pV3JN8
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) October 4, 2021
But be wary with Tennessee. This team did lose against the Jets, the worst offense in the NFL. The Titans have a swiss cheese defense, as evidenced when they allowed the Jets to score more points against them than New York’s three previous opponents combined.
Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has also been subpar and has posted lackluster numbers: 6.98 yards per attempt and an 86.9 passer rating. But the Titans have been banged up on offense. Star receiver A.J. Brown will return and that should mitigate their issues, but Jones is still out as are some of their offensive linemen.
But while both teams are shaky on the online sports betting lines, betting on the over of 48½ could be the play here. Two of their last three meetings have gone over, with the average total being at 55.3.
Eight of Tennessee’s last nine road games have also gone over and it is the second-best team in the NFL, behind Las Vegas, when cashing over tickets since last season.
This would be a great spot for Tennessee to get its passing game going and for Jacksonville to look good, even if the Jaguars’ entire organization has been anything but.