The 2020 NFL season is heading into the final stretch with multiple division and conference battles for postseason position ramping up. Specifically, the NFC is an interesting mix of teams who appear to be surging (or on the verge of surging), with others who have struggled to get things rolling this year. We’re going to take a look at the top NFC Week 11 underdog betting picks and see if the Packers on the road make sense for bettors, considering the team is getting points.
A total of six teams have six or more wins, and it’s highly likely those six are going to be the top teams to watch (along with the NFC East winner) for your online betting when the playoffs roll around. The Green Bay Packers, New Orleans Saints, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have all won seven games but only two of the three are favored by online NFL odds in Week 11.
NFC Week 11 Underdog Betting Picks
Green Bay Packers (+2) vs Indianapolis Colts
The Indianapolis Colts have played well, jumping out to a 6-3 start, and they’re 3-1 on their home field. But betting against the Green Bay Packers and quarterback Aaron Rodgers is a tough call. With Green Bay actually getting points on the road against the Colts, this makes sense as a spot to consider.
Although Indianapolis has played well on its home field, the Packers are 7-2 year and have gone 4-1 on the road. They’re also fresh off a 24-20 NFL Week 10 matchup win over the Jacksonville Jaguars that was fairly underwhelming. This could be a prime bounce-back spot for the Packers to put together a big showing.
It’s a story of great offense vs. great defense here, as the Packers have averaged 407.9 yards per game while the Colts are giving up just 306.7 yards to opposing offenses.
Atlanta Falcons (+5) vs New Orleans Saints
Betting against the Saints when they’re at home can be daunting, but because of one of last week’s biggest NFL injuries, the team will be without quarterback Drew Brees, meaning backup signal-caller Jameis Winston will run the show. Winston is known to throw a lot of interceptions (30 last season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers).
The New Orleans Saints may also potentially use both Winston and Taysom Hill at quarterback. What is noteworthy about this game is that the Falcons have played much better since parting ways with head coach Dan Quinn.
While the Saints are a tougher opponent than those three, and the Falcons may not pull out the win, I think the rivalry heats this up a bit, and we see one side win by a field goal.
Dallas Cowboys (+7½) vs Minnesota Vikings
Although the Dallas Cowboys are not a playoff team or anything close to a contender without quarterback Dak Prescott, their near-upset of the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 9 was impressive. The team easily covered a double-digit spread with Garrett Gilbert at quarterback, and whether it’s Gilbert or Andy Dalton who starts in Week 11, the Cowboys should keep this close.
After a 2-7 start, the Cowboys need a win to turn their season around and stay within striking distance of the top of the NFC East. The Minnesota Vikings have won three straight games after a 1-5 start, and each came against a divisional opponent. Each victory was tough, and two of the three came by six points.
I do believe Vikings running back Dalvin Cook is in store for a big game against a Cowboys defense that’s allowed 157.0 yards per game on the ground, but Dallas looked like a different team in its last outing. The Cowboys’ defense appears to be much improved, and if the offense can manage to find the end zone a few times, Dallas will push the Vikings for a possible upset, making them one of the NFL picks you should look at.