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49ers at Giants: Expert Betting Advice

The San Francisco 49ers play at MetLife Stadium for the second time in as many weeks as they take on the New York Giants in NFL Week 3. The 49ers battered the New York Jets 31-13 in Week 2, as Jimmy Garoppolo sat out the second half due to a high ankle sprain. In lieu of traveling West, the 49ers set up camp at West Virginia’s famed Greenbrier Resort in preparation for the Giants. Daniel Jones and the Giants mounted an impressive second-half comeback against the Chicago Bears in Week 2, cutting a 17-0 deficit to 17-13, but it wasn’t enough to earn their first win of the season. The 49ers will be confident of picking up a second straight win in the Meadowlands and the Giants will go for that elusive first win. 

Let’s take a look at some of the most intriguing lines and props in the sportsbook.

Braxton Berrios of the New York Jets is tackled by Fred Warner and Jimmie Ward of the San Francisco 49ers
Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

 

Game: 49ers (1-1) at Giants (0-2)
Location: MetLife Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm., ET
Television: FOX

NFL Betting Lines

Moneyline: 49ers -200 | Giants +170

The absences of Sterling Shepard (turf toe) and Saquon Barkley (torn ACL) for the Giants and Garoppolo (ankle sprain) and Raheem Mostert (sprained MCL) for the 49ers will give both offenses less firepower.

Nick Mullens will start at quarterback. He started eight games in his rookie year in 2018, going 3-5, and went 8-for-11 with 71 yards and an interception last week against the Jets. Giants QB Jones will miss two of his best offensive weapons and will be expected to shoulder more of the offensive load. 

It’s a testament to the Niners quality that they are tied for the most offensive turnovers in the league, yet they are only a fourth-quarter blown lead, to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1, away from being 2-0. They’re still being touted as strong competitors to win the NFC West, and despite their absences, this is the kind of game they have to win to make the playoffs.  They’ll certainly miss their best defensive player, Nick Bosa, who suffered a season-ending ACL injury against the Jets, but they’re still a better team than the Giants.

San Francisco is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games, while in that same span the Giants are 4-16 SU. The Giants are dead last in the league with an average of 14.5 points per game and they have an abysmal 104 total rushing yards, 2.7 yards per carry. Their passing game has fared better, but the 49ers are fourth in the league in passing defense so far. Expect the 49ers to sweep the New York teams this season. 

Pick:  49ers to Win

Point Spread: 49ers -4

The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, while the Giants are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games at home. Both the Niners and the Giants are 4-2 ATS in their last six games. 

While I don’t expect this one to be a blowout, it’s hard to see how the Giants will generate enough offense to keep the game close enough to cover the spread. Take San Francisco to cover. 

Pick:  49ers to Cover

Over/Under: 41½ points 

Both passing defenses have been stellar, ranking in the top 10 in terms of yards. The Giants pretty much have no choice but to try to pick apart the Niners’ astute secondary, with Barkley out and their disappointing run game. They may find some success trying to exploit CB Ahkello Witherspoon in Richard Sherman’s absence, but don’t expect a huge day from Jones and the Giants receivers. San Francisco will give running back Jerick McKinnon a lot of carries with Mostert and Tevin Coleman banged up and an unproven QB. As a result, expect a low-scoring game and take the under. 

Both of the Giants’ games have gone under the points total while the under has hit in one of San Francisco’s opening games.

Pick: Under 41½

Props Talk for 49ers at Giants

This should be a defensive battle, with the 49ers and the Giants allowing 18.5 and 21.5 points per game respectively. With so many talented offensive players out on both sides, touchdowns might be hard to come by. 

Total TDs in the Game: Over/Under 4½ TDs

Over -110

Under -120

The Giants have scored three touchdowns. Garoppolo threw four passing touchdowns through the first three halves of the Niners’ season but in eight career starts, Mullens has only averaged 1.6 passing TDs per game. The under looks attractive here. 

Team To Score Longest TD

49ers -135

Giants +105

The Giants look to be a nice value pick here. They’ve allowed the second-fewest passing yards in the league through two games and it’s hard to see Mullens airing it out too much. It’s definitely not a guarantee, but it’s more than possible we see a long passing touchdown from Jones, as he’s thrown 7 TDs of 30 yards or more during his short career. The Niners gave up a 34-yard touchdown in Week 1 that was reversed and ruled down at the one. Mostert ran for an 80-yard score last week for the Niners against the Jets, but he’ll be out this week.

A Team to Score Three Unanswered Times

Yes -185

No +155

This has happened in each of the Giants’ games and in the 49ers’ game against the Jets. It has the looks of a low-scoring game, but the Giants offense is prone to long stretches without scoring, and this week shouldn’t be any different. 

Final Score: 49ers 23, Giants 13

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