AFC South Week 10 NFL Prop Bets Nov. 12: Titans Trio, Dalton Schultz Top Picks

Schultz has been a go-to target for C.J. Stroud in close games or when the team is playing from behind, both of which are possible against the Bengals. In the past four games, Schultz has seen 33 targets and is coming off a game in which he caught 10-of-11 targets for 130 yards and one touchdown. He’s also scored in four of the past five games.

While the Bengals have been stellar defensively against a number of positions, they’ve actually given up the fifth-most passing yards and seventh-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends. It’s a good spot for Schultz to shine once again, and if you’re looking for a bit of a bonus play, betting Schultz as an anytime TD scorer pays out with odds of +210.

Pick: Dalton Shultz over 49.5 receiving yards (-113)

Michael Pittman’s Heavy Workload Continues

No one has been a bigger supporter of tailing Michael Pittman’s workload with Gardner Minshew under center than I have, and sometimes it’s worked great, other times it’s been a bit frustrating. But we’re going back to the well here, as Pittman finds himself in a good spot with an over/under for receiving yards he’s shown more than capable of crushing this season.

The Patriots have allowed the eighth-most passing yards to wideouts and the fourth-most touchdowns to the position, and yet Pittman still has a modest total of 65½ receiving yards. The Colts wideout nearly topped this mark last week against one of the NFL’s best pass defenses in the Panthers, finishing with 64 yards. Prior to that, he had topped 63 or more receiving yards in two of three games and continues to get peppered with targets from Minshew.

Pick: Michael Pittman over 65.5 receiving yards (-109)

Pair of Titans Bets and One Bonus Play

The Will Levis show rolls on for the Tennessee Titans in a great matchup that sets the quarterback up with some props that have the potential to be some of the best NFL picks this week. Levis is the first of two (technically three) picks that are worth monitoring here, as the Buccaneers have allowed the fifth-most passing yards (2,356) and 13 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Best of all? Levis’ current over/under for passing yards is lower than either number he posted over his first two games as a starter. Currently set at 224½ yards, Levis threw for 238 and 262 yards the past two weeks. And in a plus-matchup, I love this spot for Levis to clear the mark, which sets up the second Titans play.

DeAndre Hopkins has been far-and-away the favorite target for Levis, catching four passes (with three touchdowns) for 128 yards two weeks ago, and 4-of-11 targets for 60 yards last game. Even with the duo missing on seven pass attempts, Hopkins still fell just three yards shy of clearing his over/under for this week, which is set at 62½. The Bucs have also allowed 1,652 yards to opposing wide receivers (No. 3 most in the NFL) and 10 touchdowns (No. 4 most to the position).

Pick No. 1: Will Levis over 224½ passing yards (-114)

Pick No. 2: DeAndre Hopkins over 62½ receiving yards (-114)

Titans Bonus Prop Pick

Proceed with some level of caution here, but one interesting tidbit that stood out over the past two games was the emergence of 2022 fifth-round draft pick wide receiver Kyle Phillips. He has more receiving yards in the past two games than all of last season (92 vs. 78) and prior to Levis getting the nod as the starter, Phillips had caught 1-of-3 targets for six yards this season.

It appears as though Phillips is emerging as a safety valve of sorts for Levis, as he’s caught 3-of-3 targets two weeks ago for 24 yards and 4-of-5 targets last week for 68 yards. If Phillips sees even three targets he should be able to top his current over/under for receiving yards, currently set at 21½.

Pick: Kyle Phillips over 21½ receiving yards (-114)

Questions of the Day