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AFC South Week 14 Prop Bets: Unique Wide Receiver Picks Headline Top Plays

The AFC South enters Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season set to face some daunting matchups in key positions for players with less-than-ideal NFL odds this week. While it’s made it tough to target a few of the bigger names across the board, it’s also set up some interesting names and unique players to target.

We also have a primetime Monday Night Football matchup for the Tennessee Titans and rookie quarterback Will Levis, and they’ll need an incredible showing to potentially save their season against a Super Bowl favorite in the Miami Dolphins.

AFC South Week 14 Prop Bets: Unique Wide Receiver Picks Headline Top Plays
AFC South Week 14 Prop Bets: Unique Wide Receiver Picks Headline Top Plays

Here’s a look at some NFL odds to consider!

New WR2 for Colts Checks in Too Low

The targets for Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce are officially back, as he’s seen six in the past two weeks, catching seven passes over that stretch. In the two weeks prior to that, he had put prop bettors on a bit of a hiatus catching one pass on three targets, snapping a stretch in which he had 14 over three games before that.

While he had just 27 yards the week before last, Pierce checked in with 100 yards and a score last game. The Colts draw a Cincinnati Bengals team that’s allowed North of 2,000 yards to wideouts, ranking them just outside of the top 10 in the NFL for the highest. I think Pierce’s high volume continues and he clears an attainable 29½ receiving yards.

NFL Pick: Alec Pierce over 29½ receiving yards (-126)


Tank Dell Replacements? Noah Brown Has High Appeal

Among the best bets for NFL Week 14 out of the AFC South, it’s hard not to like Noah Brown in this spot. Following the brutal injury to Dell, I was curious how Brown’s over/under for yards would look. It’s a tough matchup against arguably the NFL’s best secondary in the New York Jets, but I expect Brown to act as a safety valve for quarterback C.J. Stroud.

We saw Brown play out of the slot similar to the fashion he will against the Jets back in Weeks 9 and 10 when Nico Collins was out, and we saw him go wild over the two-week span. Brown caught 6-of-6 targets for 153 yards and one touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 7-of-8 targets for 172 yards against the Cincinnati Bengals.

While the Jets defense is on a different level, the Texans are going to air it out still and Brown is going to be a focal point, so I’ll happily grab him and the over on 38½ receiving yards.

NFL Pick: Noah Brown over 38½ receiving yards (-124)


Buying Stock in Derrick Henry’s Bounce Back

Last but not least, I’m going to buy into Derrick Henry’s turnaround — at least when it’s priced this low. Henry has stepped up in a big way for a Tennessee team that’s desperately needed an injection of life, totaling 76 and 102 yards the past two weeks while scoring twice in both games. The Titans could easily be 2-0 in those games if not for a miscue late against the Colts.

And while I do have concerns about a few previous weeks from Henry, he checks in here needing just 56½ rushing yards in a Monday Night Football matchup with the Dolphins. We’ve unquestionably seen Henry put up some monster performances on the national stage over the years, so asking for 57 yards is far from unrealistic.

NFL Pick: Derrick Henry over 56½ rushing yards (-114)

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Longshot AFC South Prop Bet of the Week

If you want a longshot target for this week, I like the spot for Texans tight end Brevin Jordan, who’ll again be filling in for an injured Dalton Schultz. The Jets have still been good against tight ends but find themselves near the middle of the pack in terms of yards allowed, and have given up six touchdowns to the position, tied for the second most in the league.

Jordan stepped into his bigger role last week and caught 3-of-5 targets for 64 yards, and while the Jets defense should force Stroud to throw it early and utilize Brown, Jordan could be a player to benefit there as well. But the longshot play I’m looking at here is a touchdown from Jordan, who checks in with beautiful +325 odds.

NFL Pick: Brevin Jordan anytime TD scorer +325

Explore the excitement of the upcoming NFL matchups with the latest NFL Lines and Vegas NFL odds!



Question Of the Day

Which Titans player, besides Derrick Henry, could emerge as a fantasy football star this week?

A: I’m interested in seeing what the Titans do with Henry’s backfield mate, running back Tyjae Spears, who had 16 carries for 76 yards and caught four passes last game.

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