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Back Lions, Chiefs, Cowboys as Top ATS Picks

The NFL playoffs are getting closer by the second people, which makes the Week 14 slate of games that much more interesting for all NFL betting odds aficionados looking to make a few bucks for their Christmas shopping plans.

With a slew of very intriguing matches this coming weekend, let’s break down my three NFL expert picks for best against the spread (ATS) games of the week.

Back Lions, Chiefs, Cowboys as Top ATS Picks
Aidan Hutchinson #97 of the Detroit Lions walks off the field/Chris Graythen/Getty Images/AFP


With the NFL Lines so Low, Take Lions to Cover

Christmas has come early for anybody looking for a steal in Week 14 of the NFL season. Considering the Detroit Lions are only 3½-point favorites over the Chicago Bears in the game’s online betting spread, it almost feels like a shame not to take this pick.

Detroit (9-3) is coming into this game with a strong 8-4 ATS record after a win against the New Orleans Saints in Week 13 and holds a three-game lead in the NFC North divisional race. Chicago is coming off its bye week after collecting a rather lowly and lackluster win against the Vikings in Week 12.

If Jared Goff and his offense strike early and strong, it won’t take long for Detroit to cruise to a win. So take Detroit to cover and start counting your wins.

NFL Pick: Detroit Lions -3 ½ (EV)


Always Roll with Chiefs at Home as Betting Favorites

Show me a Kansas City Chiefs game at home in Arrowhead where they are not NFL betting lines favorites. It doesn’t matter who they are facing. As long as KC is at home and has Patrick Mahomes calling the shots on offense, the locals will always be favorites.

For Sunday, when Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills show up, I’m expecting fireworks. But not just that, I’m expecting both Mahomes and Allen to go into an offensive shootout that could easily make this the game of the week.

At the end of it all, though, one of my best NFL bets today is to go with the safe route and take the Chiefs ATS.

After suffering an immense upset to the Packers last weekend that shook NFL betting pundits all around, KC is not about to lose a second consecutive game.

NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-110)


It ‘Hurts’ to say, but Pick Cowboys to Cover

While I just said the Chiefs and Bills showdown at Arrowhead could easily turn into the game of the week, my mind is sold on Philadelphia visiting Dallas as the top candidate for said title. I mean, you have all the components to make up a great game for online NFL lines fans.

On the one hand, you have a Dallas Cowboys squad who is on a four-game winning streak, and just one game away from tying the Philadelphia Eagles for the NFC East lead.

Plus, for Dallas, there’s always an extra something added to the idea of beating Philly, especially at home.

On the other hand, you have Philadelphia, which is coming into this game after going through its most humbling defeat of the season last weekend against one of the NFC’s top

Super Bowl LVIII odds favorites, the San Francisco 49ers.

With NFL news pointing toward Jalen Hurts starting for Philly, even while being in concussion protocol, I can’t help but wonder if playing Hurts is really the best option for the Eagles here.

Considering Dallas’ defense is one of the top units when it comes to pressuring and sacking QBs this season, whether it’s Hurts or Marcus Mariota who gets the start here, I can’t see the Cowboys losing at home.

I’m a firm believer that Dallas will likely choke when push comes to shove toward the end of the season and in the playoffs. It’s the Cowboys, that’s their gimmick and it apparently never grows old.

With that said, though, I don’t see them losing here, so pick Jerry Jones’ team to cover the spread in NFL odds this week as the Cowboys beat Philly and heat up the race in the NFC East that much more.

NFL Pick: Dallas Cowboys -3 ½ (-105)


Questions Of The Day

What are the key player matchups to watch for?

For Week 14’s best ATS games to be betting on, two key player matchups that all fans should keep an eye on are Philadelphia’s QB against Dallas’ Micah Parsons, and KC’s Patrick Mahomes against Buffalo’s defensive line.

What are the weather conditions expected for the Bills vs Chiefs game?

Playing at Arrowhead Stadium, one of the hardest venues in the NFL, the Bills should expect a cold afternoon of football against the Chiefs, with the forecast predicting temperatures of between 31 and 40 F.

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