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Back Underdogs Chiefs in Week 18 Vs Chargers

You know it’s the end of the season when the Kansas City Chiefs, who are locked as the No. 3 seed in the AFC playoff picture, are coming into their final game of the season against the Los Angeles Chargers as NFL lines underdogs.

Coming into Sunday’s game as 3 1/2-point road underdogs according to our NFL betting spread, one can’t help but wonder if, with KC looking to rest most of its starters, does LA truly feel like a favorite here?

Back Underdogs Chiefs in Week 18 Vs. Chargers

In all fairness, I ask you faithful and loyal NFL betting fans, would you rather take a Chiefs team without most of its starters, but with Andy Reid calling the shots and an overall dominance, in the matchup?

Or would you go with a Chargers team that looks like they were done after the Las Vegas Raiders 63 point thrashing?

While you make up your mind, let me break down my expert NFL picks for the best betting options this AFC West showdown has to offer.


Chiefs vs Chargers Game Information

Here’s something you don’t regularly hear. The 10-6 Chiefs, perennial NFL betting odds favorites, are underdogs for a change, and against the 5-11 Chargers. Yes, that Chargers team that looks like a group of overpaid professionals that picked up a copy of “Football for Dummies” and decided to wing it this season.

Was I rude there? Probably, but tell me I’m wrong.

As Kansas City gets set to square off against the Bolts at SoFi Stadium in California on Sunday, our NFL online betting spread has the home team as a favorite with a field goal and some change as the point margin.


  • Game: Chiefs vs Chargers
  • Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
  • Day/Time: Sunday, January 7, 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Chiefs vs Chargers Live Stream: NFL Game Pass


With KC most likely giving the vast majority of its starters the day off, or at least most of the game off, will LA come through with one last win?

Chiefs vs Chargers Odds and Spreads

  • The Chargers hold a 2-2-0 record as home favorites this season.
  • The Chiefs hold a 5-2-0 record playing on the road this season.
  • Kansas City holds an 8-7-1 ATS record this season.
  • Los Angeles has a 6-10-0 ATS record this season.
  • The Chargers have won two games and lost two more as ATS home favorites this season.
  • Kansas City has a 3-2-0 ATS record in AFC West games this season.
  • The point total has gone over in five of sixteen KC games.
  • The point total has gone under in eleven of sixteen LA games.

Over/Under Pick: Over 35

For my first NFL pick, even if KC does decide to rest the majority of its starters, I still think going with the over in the point total is the way to go here. Mainly because, at the end of the day, Kansas City’s backups have more talent than whatever the Chargers can put on the field.

With a low point total to work with, a team looking to work on its offense as the playoffs get near, and the Chargers wanting the season to end as fast as possible but willing to go one last round, going over 35 points doesn’t seem that farfetched to achieve.

ATS Pick: Chiefs +3½ over Chargers

Take it as a spoiler for the rest of this piece if you want, but my argument in this game will stay the same. Even if KC decides to play with second- and even third-stringers, this team  has more overall talent than what LA can offer.

Slated as 3½-point underdogs, KC should have no issue beating said number, but going for the win and coming through with a rather expectable NFL betting lines upset to finish.

Moneyline Pick: Chiefs (+160)

Come on. Say it with me now. Kansas City has a better roster, no matter who takes the field on Sunday than LA. If you repeat that to yourself enough times you’ll end up seeing why taking the Chiefs’ moneyline in this game might just be the best NFL bet today.

Team Prop: KC Total TDs Over 1.5 (-132)

Kansas City’s offense needs to put in some much-needed work to try and iron out any kinks and flaws that could end up hurting the Chiefs when the playoffs start. That’s why, if you’re looking for an NFL prediction to further strengthen your betting strategy for this game, believe me when I tell you taking this Chiefs prop for its over in total TDs is a lock.

With one game left in the season to try and get something going offensively, I expect the Chiefs to try out as many ideas on offense as possible.

So take this prop and don’t look back.

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Chiefs vs Chargers Score Prediction

Chiefs 24, Chargers 15

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