We have been smashing NFL props all season. Since the start of October, my player prop bets have been hitting over 60%. Naturally, I wanted to find a way to share more picks with everyone, so here we are with six weeks left in the regular season. I plan to deliver the best NFL player props today to you.
Looking ahead to NFL odds for Week 13, we’re attempting to get the best number for our picks. Tracking injuries in the NFL is crucial.
Another important factor to consider is the weather. This week in particular, there looks to be a handful of games where Mother Nature will make a slight impact. These factors are key, especially when you’re wagering on the player prop markets, but I’ve done all that work for you.
We have some interesting matchups in the NFL this Sunday. Russell Wilson and the red-hot Denver Broncos travel to Houston to take on the rockstar rookie C.J. Stroud and the Texans. Jared Goff will lead the Detroit Lions against the New Orleans Saints on the road and is eager to get back in the win column to keep pace with the top NFC contenders.
Meanwhile, the New York Jets are desperate to get a win when they play host to the Atlanta Falcons, as they got the news earlier this week that a potential return to action for Aaron Rodgers is possible this season.
All eyes will be on the clash between the Philadelphia Eagles and San Fransisco 49ers in the late afternoon as both franchises look to establish dominance as we approach the regular season’s final month.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) December 1, 2023
As we enter Sunday’s Week 13, there are numerous storylines and plenty of potential profit to be made in the process. Despite the offensive struggles throughout the league this season, I will always trust that research and bankroll management will be the primary keys to success at the end of the season. The good news is we have plenty of info on every NFL team we can use with our best NFL prop bets today. It’s wild how quickly the NFL season flies by, so we must take advantage of every opportunity we have left on the calendar.
Sunday’s Best NFL Player Props
Jameson Williams Over 23.5 Receiving Yards
I have made money multiple times backing the Lions’ young wide receiver, and I expect us to again this Sunday.
Goff’s struggles playing outdoors have been well documented, but this game will be played in the Superdome, where the Lions’ offense won’t be faced with any weather.
The Saints’ secondary has been playing without Marshion Lattimore, and there’s a chance they will also be without safety Marcus Maye.
Goff will pick apart the Saints’ defense because they rank 28th in pressure rate over the last month. The Lions have an implied team total of 25.5 points, so I expect their offense to roll against a shorthanded Saints squad.
The Saints’ defense ranks in the bottom half of the NFL in yards per attempt and completion rate. New Orleans has always done a good job slowing down perimeter receivers, but Williams will move in and out of the slot. This week, Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson indicated that the former first-round pick would continue to see increased usage for the rest of the season.
Williams’ snaps continue to be on the rise, and he has exceeded this number in back-to-back games. Amon Ra St. Brown is the focal point of the passing game, but I’m confident that Williams will see more targets moving forward. The talent is just too good.
Antonio Gibson Over 2.5 Receptions
The Washington Commanders running back has hit this line in four straight games and in 7 of 12 games.
Gibson has cut into Brian Robinson’s snap share as the season progresses, and the Commanders are nearly double-digit underdogs at home against the Miami Dolphins this Sunday.
Gibson is the clear pass-catching back between the two, and I expect the Commanders to be down early versus the potent Miami offense. The best thing about reception props like this one is that garbage time counts just as much as the first quarter.
Sam Howell is averaging a league-high 45 pass attempts per game. Miami has given up the second-fewest receptions to opposing backs, but I’m willing to make an exception in this spot. Trust Gibson to hit this over.
Najee Harris Over 54.5 Rushing Yards
It hasn’t been fun backing any Steeler this season. With Matt Canada gone, the offense for Pittsburgh looked like a viable unit last week. I will buy into the new-look offense and Kenny Pickett coming off a career-best showing last week.
On Sunday, they will go up against a poor Arizona Cardinals defense that has been getting torched lately. The Cardinals’ rotation in the secondary is a revolving door, and they will likely be without at least two starters in the back end. Upfront, they have been just as bad in the trenches, allowing the most rushing yards per game to opposing running backs over the last month.
— Steelers Depot 7⃣ (@Steelersdepot) November 29, 2023
It is forecast that this game will have some rain. This leads me to believe the Steelers lean on their backfield duo even more this week. Arizona is the third-worst defense in success rate at stopping the run this season.
Jaylen Warren is the more exciting player, but Najee is quietly being equally productive. Over the last six weeks, Harris has averaged over 15 touches per game and ranks fourth in explosive run rate. He has gone over this line in three of his last four games, and I expect Harris to receive plenty of volume in this environment. I’m ready to trust the Steelers again.
Questions of the Day
Which are two Top Player Prop Bets that offer the best value?
Two top player prop bets that offer the best value are Antonio Gibson, over 2.5 receptions, and Jameson Williams over 23.5 receiving yards.
Which NFL player props are catching your eye for Sunday's games?
The NFL player props catching my eye for Sunday’s games are Najee Harris to go over his rushing total and Jameson Williams to go over his receiving total.