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Bills vs Chiefs ATS Picks, Prediction and Odds for AFC Title Game on January 26

 

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs can make postseason history by beating Josh Allen’s Buffalo Bills a fourth straight time in the playoffs. It’s never been done before, particularly with the same quarterback matchup. But you can trust no team better than the Chiefs in a high-stakes playoff matchup. Given the NFL betting lines, the Chiefs can even be had for a comfortable price.

Bills vs Chiefs ATS Picks: Bet KC in AFC Title Game on January 26
Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs / David Eulitt/Getty Images/AFP

 

Bills vs Chiefs Game Information

  • Game: Buffalo Bills (15-4), Kansas City Chiefs (16-2)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, Jan. 26, 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • Bills vs Chiefs Live Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Check the latest Bills vs Chiefs betting trends here.

 

Bills vs Chiefs Odds and Spreads

Bills
Chiefs
+1 Ev
Spread
-1 -120
+105
Moneyline
-125
O 47½ -110
Total
U 47½ -110

Place your Bets on Bills vs Chiefs at BetUS Sportsbook!

 

ATS, Prop Picks for Bills vs Chiefs AFC Championship

1. Chiefs -1 (-120)

The Chiefs’ one-point NFL spread is almost like a moneyline bet (which is -125). Kansas City only has to win this game by more than a point. And as many close games as these teams have produced, not a single one came by a point.

There is less than a 1% chance this margin decides this. And even if it is, you still don’t lose laying a point unless Buffalo wins, which it won’t.

Buffalo will have to dismantle the Kansas City Chiefs or get the referees to call the game for the Bills in a tight finish. While the Bills beat the Chiefs (30-21) without controversy in the regular season, this is the NFL playoffs. One team has a quarterback-coach combo that just knows how to win. The other is a franchise adept at finding ways to lose on top of having a head coach who can get too tight on important play-calling.

There are also the referees to contend with. It’s gotten to a point where fans and media alike have discussed, albeit playfully, a “conspiracy” to keep letting the Chiefs win. They are becoming a global brand for the NFL, especially with you-know-who still their unofficial ambassador.

The Chiefs will win by two or more points. Bet online and lay it on KC.

Bet on Kansas City Chiefs -1 (-120)

 

2. Buffalo Bills +0.5 1st Half (-110)

While we like the Chiefs to win the game, the first half may be dead even. We can see Buffalo winning the first half or a tie. Thus, our NFL prediction is backing the Buffalo Bills. That 0.5 means Buffalo covers by winning or tying KC after 30 minutes. That’s doable as the Bills start faster than the Chiefs.

Per Bills vs Chiefs stats, Kansas City has won the first-half moneyline in seven of its last nine home games. But Buffalo has either beaten or tied KC in the first half of their last six matchups. These teams are almost evenly matched and the Bills have the more dynamic offense. Back the Buffalo to cover the first-half spread.

Bet on Buffalo Bills 1st Half +0.5 (-110)

 

3. NFL Prop: Chiefs To Win By 1-6 Points (+300)

Consider this NFL prop pick as a “hedge” of sorts if you’re all in on the Chiefs. In the event, we get a one-point Chiefs win, we cash +300. Of course, KC could blow Buffalo out along with this prop. But that won’t happen as the Chiefs’ lack of explosiveness will keep this game close.

Seven of the Chiefs’ 16 wins this season have been by six points or fewer, according to NFL betting trends. Add two more that were decided by a touchdown and that’s more than half their wins coming around this margin. This is worth betting on.

Bet on Winning Margin – Chiefs to win By 1-6 Pts (+300)

 

More Bills vs Chiefs Bets and Picks for AFC Conference Championship

 

Questions of the Day

How many Super Bowl rings does Patrick Mahomes have?


Patrick Mahomes is a three-time Super Bowl champion.

What is Buffalo’s ATS record when playing as the playoff underdog?


Buffalo is 1-3 against the spread in the playoffs when lined as the underdog.

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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