Gambling on the Ground Game
Week 13 features a matchup between the Houston Texans and Cleveland Browns, who will debut quarterback Deshaun Watson after his 11-game suspension to start the season.
Cleveland rolls in as a heavy favorite (-7½) and is priced at -320 on the moneyline. Plus, the projected total stands at 47. Prop bets could be the best way to win big in this matchup. Here are three props to take in the Cleveland and Houston collision.
Let’s check the latest NFL odds, stats, injury reports, and NFL lines for Browns vs Texans. We’ve plenty of Vegas NFL odds and NFL week 13 picks for you to consider.
Browns vs Texans Props
- Nick Chubb First Touchdown Scorer +350
- Dameon Pierce Total Rushing Yards, O/U 72.5
- Amari Cooper Total Receiving Yards, O/U 66.5
Nick Chubb First Touchdown Scorer (+350)
Running back Nick Chubb is poised for a massive game against the Texans. Houston has the NFL’s worst run defense and ranks 29th in allowed rushing touchdowns per game. Chubb ranks second with 12 rushing touchdowns, and Cleveland averages 1.6 rushing touchdowns (second).
It feels like a no-brainer that Chubb scores in the game, but will he be first is the only question? Watson’s last game was on Jan. 3 of 2021. The Browns’ quarterback will show rust against his former team, meaning Cleveland will run the ball early and often. This has been a run-first offense with an elite offensive line. There’s no reason to stray away from that against Houston, especially against a terrible run defense.
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Dameon Pierce Total Rushing Yards, O/U (72.5)
Rookie running back Dameon Pierce is the heartbeat of Houston’s offense. Over the last two games, the Texans have gone away from the run game as Pierce has only 15 combined carries for 16 rushing yards. During that span, Houston is averaging only 13 points.
It’s evident the Texans find little success when abandoning the run. Last week, Houston had no option as the Miami Dolphins stormed out to a large lead early. However, the Browns will be looking to establish the run as well, giving the Texans a chance to hang around.
Also, Cleveland has one of the league’s worst run defenses (26th in allowed yards per carry). Pierce has been a force when given the chance, ranking fifth in yards after contact.
Amari Cooper Total Receiving Yards, O/U 66.5
Don’t expect Cleveland to come out with an air-raid offense, attempting over 40 passes. However, there should be enough opportunities for wide receiver Amari Cooper to go over his projected receiving yards.
After he was traded for a bag of chips (fifth-round pick), Cooper has remained a formidable No. 1 wideout. He has been on fire in the last two games, posting a combined 15 receptions for 207 yards. Houston will likely be without its top cornerback, Derek Stingley. In addition, the Texans are 26th in allowed yards per pass attempt.
Throwing to Cooper, one of the NFL’s best route runners, will be Cleveland’s best bet for getting Watson quickly acclimated.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.