Tom Brady has won five of his last six games at MetLife Stadium, and he’ll return Monday night as a member of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brady has astoundingly been one of the NFL’s best quarterbacks at age 43. He has led the Buccaneers to a 5-2 record. The Bucs thrashed the Los Vegas Raiders in a Week 7 matchup, 45-20, sit atop the NFC South, and signed free agent WR Antonio Brown to a one-year deal. How do we think Brady will hold up? Let’s get into our Buccaneers vs Giants Week 8 betting prediction breakdown.
Tampa Bay faces a New York Giants team that has had its fair share of struggles but is still in the NFC East picture. Daniel Jones tripping before the end zone on an 80-yard run in their Week 7 matchup is an apt metaphor for the Giants’ 22-21 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. They blew a lead that, if held, would have put them tied at the top of the division, but instead they head into Week 8 with a 1-6 record. Currently, the sportsbook lists the Bucs as 11-point favorites. Let’s take a look at some of the major lines and intriguing props from this Giants vs Bucs matchup.
|Game: Tampa Bay (5-2) vs NY Giants (1-6)
Location: MetLife Stadium
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
NFL Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
Moneyline: Buccaneers -550 | Giants +425
Both of Tampa Bay’s losses have come to winning teams, in the New Orleans Saints and Chicago Bears. While Tampa has struggled against the Giants, losing seven of its last eight, it has never had a quarterback quite as good as Brady. Plus, the Bucs’ defense has anchored them in recent weeks. In NFL Week 6 they held the 5-0 Green Bay Packers to 10 points in a 38-10 blowout victory. If this defense can stop Aaron Rodgers, I’d bet on them being able to stop Daniel Jones as well. The Bucs have been one of the NFL’s best teams and this is certainly a game they should win, sports betting fans.
Buccaneers vs Giants: TB to Win
Point Spread: -11 Buccaneers
Tampa is an 11-point favorite, on the back of two straight wins against solid teams by a combined 53-point margin. The Buccaneers currently sport the NFL’s second-best average scoring margin at +11.4 points per game.
Giants head coach Joe Judge was with the Patriots for eight seasons during Brady’s tenure, and that could potentially give the Giants a bit of a boost. The Bucs are 3-2 ATS as favorites but the Giants have fared well as heavy underdogs. As seven-point or more underdogs, they’re 2-0 ATS. But, it’s hard to bet against the Bucs, as they’re playing some of the best football now and have averaged a 26.5 point-win margin in their last two games. The Giants, have averaged under 12 points per game in their four non-divisional games and I think they’ll have a similarly rough time against the Bucs.
Buccaneers vs Giants Prediction: TB to Cover
Over/Under: 46 points
Tampa’s defense has been excellent in the last couple of weeks. Its opponents have averaged 15 points per game in the Bucs’ last two and they’ve given up the fewest rushing yards in the league. Meanwhile, the Giants rank in the top half of the league in scoring defense.
Both teams have relied on their passing game and the Giants still rank 30th in passing yards per game and 31st in points per game. Bucs RB Ronald Jones II is fourth in the league in rushing yards, with 506 on 4.6 yards per carry. He’ll have a tough time against a Giants run defense that is top five in opponent yards per carry.
Tampa has also been good at stopping the pass and it ranks in the top 10 in opponent passing yards per game. I don’t think the Giants will be able to muster up enough points for the over to hit.
Buccaneers vs Giants Week 8 Betting Prediction: Under
Buccaneers vs Giants: Props Talk
A Team to Score Three Unanswered Times
The Bucs have blown out the last two teams they’ve played and they’re playing one of the most offensively challenged teams in the league this week. That combined with the Bucs defensive prowess should mean the Giants go long periods without scoring while Tampa racks up the points.
1st Half Total TDs Scored Over/Under 2½
In their last two games, Tampa has scored 3.5 touchdowns per game in the first half. It’s certainly possible this prop can be a winner without the Bucs needing any first-half scoring help from the Giants. Tampa is fourth in the league in first-half points, with 18.1, and Brady and his excellent cast of receivers should able to pick apart this Giants defense from the get-go.
Team to Score Longest Field Goal
Giants kicker Graham Gano has hit 14 of his 15 field goals. He is 4-of-5 on kicks of 50 or more yards. Meanwhile, Bucs kicker Ryan Succop has only attempted two field goals of 50 or more yards. This is a function of the Bucs’ offense consistently imposing its will on defenses. The Giants are averaging more made field goals per game than touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Bucs have scored twice as many touchdowns as field goals.
Tampa Bay 31 New York Giants 10