The AFC West-leading Kansas City Chiefs are a good bet to earn a big road victory when they visit the Green Bay Packers on Sunday night. The Chiefs’ 4-1 road record should make them among the top NFL expert picks on Dec. 3.
The Chiefs are just 2-2 since stringing together six straight wins, but rallied from a two-touchdown deficit last Sunday to record a 31-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders.
Kansas City quarterback Parick Mahomes should have a big day against Green Bay’s defense, which has just five interceptions – the second least in the league. But Packers QB Jordan Love has made strides of late.
Green Bay has won two in a row and three of four. Love was 22 of 32 for 268 yards and three scores in a 29-22 victory over the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving.
The Chiefs are +450 to win the Super Bowl in the Las Vegas odds while the Packers are +12500.
Chiefs Defense is Key to ATS Bet
Kansas City has been known for its offense through a run that includes two Super Bowl titles in the past four years.
But the Chiefs have steadily improved defensively, allowing just 16.5 points per game to rank third in the NFL this season. Kansas City is the only team in the league to hold all of its opponents under 25 points this season.
.@RiceRashee11‘s best game on the year so far included:
– 8 catches
– 107 yards
– 4 first downs
– 1 touchdown 🍚 pic.twitter.com/pUKpdfV9kT
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) November 28, 2023
That defense, along with Mahomes and superstar tight end Travis Kelce, should make the Chiefs part of your NFL predictions for today, and in the future.
Kansas City is eighth in the league in yards per game and 11h in points, but Mahomes can dial it up like last week when needed. The Texas Tech product ended up with 298 yards and two TD passes versus Las Vegas, and rookie Rashee Rice was his top target.
The Chiefs are +200 in the NFL odds to reach a fourth Super Bowl in five years.
Packers Viable Bet to Reach Playoffs
Green Bay’s revival over the past four weeks has put it right in the middle of the race for a wild-card playoff spot.
The Packers are -110 at the sportsbook to reach the postseason, sitting just a half-game behind Minnesota for the final spot in the NFC. Green Bay also knocked off the Los Angeles Rams 20-3 and the Los Angeles Chargers 23-20 during its run. The only loss was 23-19 to Pittsburgh.
Love has thrown eight TD passes and two interceptions over the past four games with a passer rating of at least 108 in three of them. The Packers take care of the ball as well, with the sixth-least turnovers – just two lost fumbles – in the league.
Green Bay has been good on defense at times as well, allowing 20.4 points per contest to stand 10th in the league. Rashan Gary leads the defense with 8 ½ sacks – three against Detroit. Gary has been limited in practice due to a shoulder injury..
The Packers will have to run the ball better to reach the playoffs, especially as the weather gets worse in December. They are 21st in the league in yards per game on the ground if you bet on NFL.
Chiefs vs Packers Head-to-Head
Kansas City won the last matchup 13-7 at home in November 2021.
Aaron Rodgers was out with Covid-19 for that game and Love got the start, completing 19 of 34 passes for 190 yards and a TD with one interception. Mahomes threw for only 166 yards and a score in that contest. Kelce had five catches for 68 yards and a TD.
Green Bay won the previous two meetings in 2019 and 2015.
Chiefs vs Packers Betting Lines
Chiefs vs Packers Best Bets
The weather could be a big variable in this one. Whatever team can get a little bit going on the ground may have a big edge. Love and the Packers certainly have plenty of momentum, winning their last two at home after dropping two of the first three at Lambeau. Mahomes and the Chiefs find ways to win, though. The Chiefs’ ’underrated defense may make it tougher on Love. That’s why we think Kansas City will beat the NFL spread. The weather is also a key for the over/under, set at 42 ½. We would save your money on that one.
Chiefs vs Packers Game Information
- Game: Chiefs (8-3) vs Packers (5-6)
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wis.
- Day/Time: Sunday, Dec. 3, 8:20 p.m..ET
- Chiefs vs Packers Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Chiefs vs Packers Weather Conditions
Rain and snow showers are predicted for game time. Temperatures are expected in the 30s.
Questions Of The Day
Which Chiefs running back is most likely to have over 55 rushing yards?
Isiah Pacheco. The Rutgers product has rushed for at least 55 yards in the last three games and eight of 11 overall this season.
Which team has the highest probability to score more field goals?
Kansas City has 20 field goals and Green Bay 15 in 2023. Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker is likely to punch through a few Sunday.