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Chiefs vs Panthers NFL Week 12 Picks: Bet the Big Underdog 11/24

 

The Carolina Panthers have won two straight and are coming off a bye. Yet they face massive NFL odds as an 11-point underdog. While most folks will bet on them to lose badly to the Kansas City Chiefs, we’re going the other way. The Chiefs are not the type to blow out opponents. While KC should comfortably win this, the spread is too wide and it gives us a chance to ride with the dog.

Chiefs vs Panthers NFL Week 12 Picks: Have Faith, Bet the Big Underdog
Bryce Young #9 of the Carolina Panthers | Sven Hoppe/dpa Picture-Alliance via AFP

 

Chiefs vs Panthers Game Information

  • Game: Kansas City Chiefs (9-1), Carolina Panthers (3-7)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1 p.m. ET
  • Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
  • Chiefs vs Panthers Live Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Get the latest Chiefs vs Panthers betting trends here.

 

Chiefs vs Panthers Odds and Spread

Chiefs
Panthers
-11 -110
Point Spread
+11 -110
-650
Moneyline
+475
O 43 -110
Total
U 43 -110

Place your Bets on Chiefs vs Panthers at BetUS Sportsbook!

 

2 Betting Picks for Chiefs vs Panthers in Week 12

1. Panthers Take it to the Chiefs?! Bet Panthers +11

We’ve lost our minds. The Panthers will not only cover against the Chiefs but will hang around the game. It’s not crazy if you look at the Chiefs’ previous results. Eight of Kansas City’s wins have come by seven points or fewer. If we applied the 11-point spread in all their games, the Chiefs would be 1-9 against the spread (ATS). That’s not worth an NFL pick here.

The Panthers, on the other hand, are starting to improve. The defense is getting healthier, Bryce Young is playing better, and the offensive line is playing well. Carolina has won back-to-back games and has allowed an average of 22.3 points in its last three games. On top of that, running back Jonathon Brooks will debut.

Young is getting more comfortable with the system and Carolina now sports two young studs at running back. There is enough offense here to keep the Chiefs on their toes. And even with a 3-7 record, the Panthers are not out of the playoff race. With the Falcons losing consecutive games, the division is still up for grabs. There is still a lot to play for.

This is about the continued progress, Bryce looking more and more confident,” Panthers head coach Dave Canales told NFL news outlets. “Just an aggressiveness to his play…and of course the end result, winning.

Kansas City has also continued to cost backers money. Patrick Mahomes may still be an MVP candidate, but he’s not lighting up opponents. The Chiefs, with Mahomes as the starter, have only covered 39% of spreads as a favorite of 10+ points. As a road favorite of 10+, they are only 0-3-1 ATS.

Many will say the Chiefs will “wake up” with a loss to Buffalo. They’ll be pissed and eviscerate Carolina. Maybe they will. Or maybe this will be another game like the ones against the Raiders or Falcons where Kansas City is always in control but the score stays within the spread. Bet online on Carolina with this number.

Bet on Carolina Panthers +11

 

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2. Running Game, Defense Keep Total Low

The Chiefs are built on defense. Outside Mahomes and Travis Kelce, their best players are on this side of the ball. Kansas City has held opponents under 20 points on average since last season. Hence, most Chiefs games have gone under the total. We don’t see why these NFL betting trends change here.

The total has gone under on 64% of KC’s games as a favorite since 2023 (9-16). And in November, when the weather gets cold and the Chiefs start to ramp up for the postseason, the total has gone under in 10 of their last 15 games. Carolina can get frisky here. But it will struggle to score just as every team but Buffalo has.

Carolina also has an offense that will be running-dependent. The Panthers will utilize Chuba Hubbard and Jonathan Brooks often even against the stalwart Chiefs rushing ‘D’. Young has started to throw the ball deeper. But against the Chiefs, we may see Young resort to short-yardage plays and screen passes.

Kansas City will also run the ball often against Carolina. Starting RB Isaiah Pacheco could return and will give the Chiefs a three-pronged attack from this position. Carolina has improved defensively but still given up 167+ rushing yards in four of its last five games.

Our NFL prediction is for the Chiefs to control the clock and wear Carolina down with its running game. The more time it takes to score, the harder it is to go over the 43 points in the total. Bet the under.

Bet on Chiefs vs Panthers Under 43

 

Questions of the Day

What are the Carolina Panthers’ ATS record as a home team this season?


Carolina is 2-3 against the spread (ATS) as a home team in 2024.

What is Kansas City’s record against the Panthers?


Kansas City is 5-2 against Carolina since their first meeting in 1997.

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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