Colts vs Titans Picks for Week 6: Bet Tennessee in AFC South Duel 10/13
- The Colts and Titans are poised for a high-scoring affair as both offenses have firepower
- Tennessee’s defense may limit Indy, but turnovers could still drive up the total
- The BetUS sportsbook offers exciting opportunities with the latest NFL lines
We have an entertaining showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans. These AFC South teams can light up NFL scoreboards as they try to catch Houston in the division standings. As such, the best NFL pick here is to take over the total of 42½ points. This is a low total given Indianapolis’ defensive struggles and offensive firepower. The spread is also tight and could shift depending on the Colts’ starting quarterback.
FLACCO HAS WHEELS 😭
📺: #INDvsJAX on CBS/Paramount+
📱: https://t.co/waVpO8ZBqG pic.twitter.com/4rjwH9S4zk— NFL (@NFL) October 6, 2024
Colts vs Titans Game Information
- Game: Colts vs Titans
- Date/Time: Sunday, Oct.13,1 p.m. ET
- Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
- Colts vs Titans Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Colts vs Titans Odds and Spread
2 Betting Picks for Colts vs Titans
1. Colts Will Score, Give Up Points
The Colts may be the best NFL bet for betting overs. Indianapolis can score in bunches, thanks to Joe Flacco at quarterback. But the defense is also among the worst and will consistently give up points in return. As such, the total has gone over in the last two games Flacco played of second-year starter Anthony Richardson, who could return.
“I’ve been in that spot once. It was my last year in Baltimore. I hurt my hip and, man, I did not wanna let Lamar (Jackson) get out there,” Flacco said. “That’s for sure. That was my team, and that was very hard.”
Colts head coach Shane Steichen maintained that Richardson is the starter when healthy. But given how he’s often injured and playing poorly, we’ll take his comments with a grain of salt. Flacco has outperformed his younger counterpart. And for the sake of the total, Flacco needs to start. Otherwise, it might be best to pass on this NFL line.
Speaking of embattled young QBs, Will Levis returns under center for Tennessee. The mayo-loving starter leads the NFL with nine turnovers (six interceptions). He consistently throws a touchdown for the other team, which helps the case of this total going over.
WILL LEVIS PICK SIX ‼️
His 6th turnover this season 😬
(via @NFL)
pic.twitter.com/cL4umP0vaV— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) September 22, 2024
Tennessee has an underrated defense. It leads the NFL in yards allowed per game (243.8) while ranking second in third-down conversion rate (27.5%) and red zone conversion (TD) percentage (42.9%). Had Levis not thrown pick-sixes, the Titans would have given up under 17 points per game.
Having a bye could help Levis get more organized. Tennessee has too much talent to be averaging under 20 points a game. Indy gives up the most yards (417 per game) and is in the bottom third in the NFL in most defensive categories. We’re betting online for Levis to be good enough to push this total to go over.
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2. Tennessee Could Edge Indianapolis Given QB Status
The Colts’ QB situation may impact the spread/moneyline more than the total. Flacco has significantly been better than Richardson so it’s worth waiting on NFL news to see who starts. If it’s the former, we’re taking Indianapolis to win. But if it’s Richardson, the Titans could win.
Richardson practiced fully on Thursday for the first time since hurting his hip and it resulted in a huge line shift. The Colts opened at -1 but the line shifted to Indianapolis +3 on Thursday afternoon.
Joe Flacco has the best passer rating (115.6) in the NFL this season.
Anthony Richardson has the 2nd worst passer rating (60.2) in the NFL this season. pic.twitter.com/dkxUiliVoM
— WTF Stats (@WTFstats) October 8, 2024
Tennessee has the edge against Indianapolis in almost every position but the offensive line and quarterback. Jonathan Taylor, the Colts’ star running back, is banged up and not practicing. The Colts will need to run the ball against Tennessee as the Titans have one of the best passing defenses. Tennessee is not picking off passes but it has held opposing QBs to a passer rating of 84.9 Having Jeffrey Simmons back at defensive tackle also helps its pass rush.
Tennessee is just 1-5 ATS in its last six division games and 1-5 in its last six home games. But it is also 5-2 both ATS and straight-up in the last seven meetings with Indianapolis. And as great as Flacco has been, he can’t carry Indy to a win.
Jacksonville notched its first win and we’ll say Tennessee is just as good if not better than the previously winless team. Bet the Titans for the outright win.
Bet on Tennessee Titans (-145)
Questions of the Day
Which AFC South team has the best odds to win the Super Bowl?
The Houston Texans have the shortest Super Bowl odds per BetUS at 12/1 (+1200).
How many points does Indianapolis score?
The Indianapolis Colts average 23.8 points per game in 2024. This is ranked 13th in the NFL.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.