Dolphins vs Patriots Picks for Week 12: Bet Miami to Cover Spread 11/24
- Miami is 11-4 ATS when favored by six or more points in Tua Tagoviloa’s starts.
- The Dolphins thrive against losing teams, going 21-10 straight up since 2021.
- The Patriots vs Dolphins betting lines favor the home team by 7 points.
- Get the best Monday Night Football odds at BetUS Sportsbook.
Week 12 brings us an AFC East clash between the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins. The Patriots are trudging through the ruins of a lost season while the Dolphins are still dreaming of postseason glory.

8 minutes and 6 seconds of Mike McDaniel mic’d up. You’re welcome 😌 pic.twitter.com/XD1RVOlv9b
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 20, 2024
With Miami favored by a touchdown (-7) and the total set at 46, this feels like the perfect spot to back Tua Tagovailoa and his high-flying offense.
Spoiler alert: My NFL predictions are that the Dolphins will win and cover. Let’s get into why.
Patriots vs Dolphins Game Information
- Game: New England Patriots (3-8) vs Miami Dolphins (4-6)
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- Day/Time: Sunday, Nov. 24, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Patriots vs Dolphins Live Streams: CBS
Check NFL news for any injury updates before placing bets on Sunday’s AFC East matchup.
Patriots vs Dolphins Odds and Spread
Place your Bets on Patriots vs Dolphins at BetUS Sportsbook!
2 Reasons to Bet Dolphins Against Patriots
1. Miami’s Offense is Firing Again
The Dolphins just hung 35 points on the Las Vegas Raiders, and their offense is finally finding its rhythm. Tua Tagovailoa has been on a heater since returning, throwing seven touchdowns to just one pick. Add in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who are essentially the NFL’s version of a cheat code, and it’s hard to see how the Pats’ battered secondary survives.
TYREEK HILL GOT THIS IN THE MAIL
💀💀💀
(h/t @FinsXtra) pic.twitter.com/2cBPFohXei
— MLFootball (@_MLFootball) November 20, 2024
New England just got roasted by Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, and Hill’s speed will be too much to handle. The -7 line won’t be easy to beat, but the Fins have the chops to do it and cash your online bet.
2. The Patriots Can’t Hang as Underdogs
Since Tom Brady left, New England has been allergic to being the underdog. They’re 9-29 straight up as dogs since 2021, ranking among the NFL’s least profitable teams in this spot.
Per Patriots at Dolphins betting trends, New England is 3-6 against the spread in its last nine games and 4-11 ATS
Drake Maye is leading quarterbacks with a 91.9% accuracy percentage in 2024 per @FTNFantasy pic.twitter.com/JsxBTTzXwN
— Scott Spratt (@Scott_Spratt) November 20, 2024
Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential stardom, but the rookie QB is 2-4 as an underdog and will face constant pressure from a Dolphins defense hungry for turnovers. Miami’s defense has enough juice to frustrate Maye into mistakes, especially if the players can pin their ears back with a lead.
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The Betting Pick is ….
This is a game where Miami should dominate both sides of the ball. Expect the Patriots to keep it close early before the Dolphins’ offense and defense wear them down.
Miami has covered the NFL spread in eight straight matchups against New England, and there’s no reason to believe the streak ends here with my NFL picks. Fins up!
Bet on Dolphins vs Patriots at BetUS Sportsbook Online!
Question Of The Day
What is the Dolphins’ record against the Patriots when playing at home?
The Patriots have a dreadful 14-42 record in road games against the Dolphins.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets