At first glance, the 12-1 Philadelphia Eagles and 3-10 Chicago Bears don’t appear to have anything in common other than animal-themed team names. But, dig deeper and the comparability of these offenses begins to take shape.
This is because both teams rely heavily on their rushing attacks. So much so that Jalen Hurts and Justin Fields are among the league leaders in rushing yards from a QB.
Fields leads the NFL in rushing yards by a quarterback with 905 while Hurts is third with 686. With Lamar Jackson injured, Hurts should move up a spot to second place before the end of the season. While Fields has the edge in yards, Hurts has 10 rushing touchdowns to “just” eight from his rival.
This got me thinking about their head-to-head matchup in Week 15 when the Eagles and Bears battle at Soldier Field.
Thanks to the NFL props from BetUS Sportsbook, we can have a little competition of our own. We can predict who outperforms who and which QB is a better bet to go over their prop totals.
Jalen Hurts O/U 234 ½ Passing Yards & 49½ Rushing Yards
Hurts is a more proficient passer than Fields, so we’ll start there first. The Eagles’ star is coming off a 217-yard performance against the New York Giants with 77 yards rushing and three total touchdowns.
As strong as that performance was, Hurts did not go over his passing yards total. In contrast, Hurts went way over in Week 13 with 380 yards against the Tennessee Titans.
Which game is the outlier, and which is the norm? The Titans game was his best of the season, and maybe his career, in terms of passing. So, let’s not expect a repeat.
Hurts has gone under 234½ yards passing in all but one of his previous five games and is inconsistent in games in which he breaks out. They are hard to predict, and I don’t have a good enough feel for this game to bet him over on passing yards.
Rushing yards are a different story.
Much like the Eagles, the Bears have a terrible rushing defense. That is not a good mix when playing against an opponent that rushes more than all but three other teams.
While Hurts’ passing props have been falling under the total, he has gone Over 49½ rushing yards in three of his last four starts.
Take Hurts Over on his rushing prop and Under on his passing yards total. Not bad for a same-game parlay.
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Justin Fields O/U 170½ Passing Yards & 70½ Rushing Yards
Fields’ rushing total may be nearly double that of Hurts’, but the Bears’ signal-caller is a lot busier on the ground week-to-week. So much so that not only does he lead the league in rushing yards from a QB, he ranks eighth overall among all players. Guys like Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey are being left in the dust behind Fields in rushing yardage.
I have to say I’m shocked that this total is so low in a game against the Eagles.
Philly has the 24th-ranked rushing defense in terms of yards per carry. And the Bears carry more than any other team in the league.
Meanwhile, Fields has gone over 70½ yards rushing in four straight games and six of his previous seven.
Fields went way over his passing yards total last week with 254 yards on 20-of-25 against the Green Bay Packers.
But don’t be fooled by this into betting on a repeat performance against the Eagles.
Philadelphia may struggle to stop the run, but that is partly because its passing defense is so good everyone is forced to rush against them.
Take Fields to go Over his low rushing yards total and leave the passing prop for another day.