The Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars have a rematch but with higher stakes in Saturday’s NFL Divisional Round. The NFL lines favor the Chiefs by 10 – nearly the same spread as Week 10.
Kansas City just covered 9½ points with a 27-17 win in the first matchup. But Jacksonville will prove to be another tough out despite what the odds suggest. Some NFL props outline how this game will play out.
Let’s check the latest NFL news, stats, injury reports, and NFL lines for Jaguars vs Chiefs. We’ve got plenty of Vegas NFL picks for NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Games.
Jaguars-Chiefs Odds: Top Six Props
- Trevor Lawrence Total Passing Attempts
- Player To Score Two or More Touchdowns in the Game
- Total Sacks in the Game
- First Score of the Game
- Largest Lead of the Game
- Race to 30 Points
Trevor Lawrence Total Passing Attempts
Whether he will be the game’s best player or a liability, Trevor Lawrence will play a large part. Jacksonville’s quarterback will be throwing the ball a lot. In fact, he could equal or surpass the 40 pass attempts he had in Week 10. Jacksonville typically starts slow and Kansas City could build a lead, which will prompt him to keep airing the rock. Bet online on the over.
Pick: Over 39½ Passing Attempts (+115)
Player To Score Two or More Touchdowns in the Game
Kansas City has stayed dominant on offense thanks to the superstar tight end that is Travis Kelce. Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target caught six of seven passes for 81 yards and a touchdown against Jacksonville. Not having scored since Week 12, Kelce may be due for a big game here. Ten of his 12 touchdowns occurred in the red zone, which is also an area of weakness for Jacksonville’s D.
- Pick: Travis Kelce +200
How did KC’s offense produce without Tyreek Hill? With a whole lotta Travis Kelce 🙌@tkelce saw career-highs in catches (110) & TDs (12), proving to be ol’ reliable for @PatrickMahomes.pic.twitter.com/KjZDlDVKq8
— NFL (@NFL) January 18, 2023
Total Sacks in the Game
One area of strength for both teams is their pass protection. Kansas City and Jacksonville surrendered the third-fewest (26) and fifth-fewest (28) sacks. The Jaguars failed to sack Mahomes in their first meeting and, while the Chiefs did sack Lawrence five times, the O-line has just given up six total sacks in the Jaguars’ last six games.
- Pick: Under 4½ Sacks (-130)
First Score of the Game
Going back to the leaky red zone defenses, it applies to both teams here. Kansas City’s defense allows 67.3 percent of opponents to score a touchdown when in the red zone. Jacksonville doesn’t do better at 59.7 percent. Both are ranked 31st and 24th in the NFL. That’s why there is a great chance the first score of this game is a touchdown as the online gambling line indicates.
- Pick: Touchdown -190
Largest Lead of the Game
The Chiefs are only 3-5 as an NFL pick against the spread (ATS) at home. We can blame their mediocre defense, but it’s their offense that tends to slow down a bit. The Chiefs score just 25.1 points at home, which is down from their overall average of 29. In contrast, Jacksonville scores the fifth-most points (25 a game) on the road. KC won’t be running away as much as the line suggests.
- Pick: Under 16½ Points (-105)
Race to 30 Points
Just like their last game, we don’t envision either team scoring plenty of points here. The winning team could have no more than 27 points. Kansas City allows just 19.3 points at home and Jacksonville allows 21.9 on the road. This one will be a low-scoring affair where the defenses will have just as many, if not more, moments than the offense.
- Pick: Neither +150
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
