Jaguars vs Lions NFL Predictions: Bet Detroit to Cover Massive Spread at Home 11/17
- Get the best Jaguars vs Lions betting lines at BetUS.
- Jared Goff is 33-19-2 ATS (64%) at home since 2018, the best of any NFL quarterback.
- Jacksonville’s defense ranks 32nd in the league, allowing 30 touchdowns this season.
- Detroit’s last two home wins have come by an average margin of 20.5 points.
- Find the best NFL odds at BetUS.
This one feels like a setup: the Detroit Lions, red-hot with seven straight wins, face a Jacksonville Jaguars team in turmoil. With Detroit listed as a whopping 14-point favorite, the biggest spread they’ve seen in nearly three decades, it’s clear oddsmakers aren’t giving Jacksonville much of a chance. Even after Jared Goff forgot what team he played for with 5 interceptions against Houston last week.
Jared Goff when he sees an open Texans defender: pic.twitter.com/51ycXG5205
— GhettoGronk (@TheGhettoGronk) November 11, 2024
While a two-touchdown spread is much to cover in the NFL, this matchup feels like a one-way ticket to a blowout.
Here’s why betting on the Lions is one of my top NFL predictions for Week 11.
Jaguars vs Lions Game Information
- Game: Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) vs Detroit Lions (8-1)
- Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
- Day/Time: Sunday, Nov. 17, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Jaguars vs Lions Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Check the latest Jaguars vs Lions betting trends here.
Jaguars vs Lions Odds And Spread
Place your Bets on Jaguars vs Lions at BetUS Sportsbook!
2 Reasons Why You Should Bet on the Lions
1. Jared Goff Bounces Back at Home
Let’s start with the elephant in the room: Jared Goff’s five-interception fiasco in Houston last week. Somehow, Goff and the Lions still managed to pull off a miraculous comeback, scoring the game’s final 19 points and eking out a 26-23 win.
A lot of teams fall apart after a performance like that, but not Detroit. The Lions showed resilience, and if history is any indication, Goff is primed to bounce back. Goff has a stellar ATS (against the spread) record at home, going 33-19-2 (64%) since 2018 — the best mark of any quarterback in that span. This year, he’s 3-1 ATS at home and can shake off rough games, particularly when the Lions fail to cover the previous week (where he’s 14-4 ATS with Detroit and 9-2 ATS at home).
INTERESTING 👀
This is now Jared Goff’s 7TH career game with at least 4 interceptions.
His record in those games?
6-0.
Does Goff have the Texans right where he wants them? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/Dk4uCwNc6s
— Civ (@MisterCiv) November 11, 2024
Goff’s teams have a strong track record as big favorites, too. He’s closed as a double-digit favorite 11 times in his career, and his teams have gone 9-2 straight-up (SU) and 7-4 ATS. Given the mismatch against Jacksonville’s weak defense, NFL betting fans shouldn’t be surprised to see Goff clean up his mistakes and exploit the Jags on all fronts.
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2. Jaguars’ Offense and Defense Are in Shambles
The NFL news is not good for the Jaguars. They are a mess on both sides of the ball. On offense, Jacksonville ranks 30th in the league, with Trevor Lawrence under center. Lawrence, who hasn’t lived up to his billing as the “next big thing,” is sidelined with a shoulder injury, leaving the offense in the hands of Mac Jones, who barely managed to muster 7 points in last week’s game. While the Jaguars’ defense did a commendable job keeping the Vikings out of the end zone, it’s only a matter of time before their “bend, don’t break” luck runs out.
Jacksonville’s defensive struggles are even more glaring. Ranked dead last (32nd) in defense, they’ve given up 30 touchdowns this season, just behind Carolina, who leads the league in that dubious category. In fact, the Jaguars haven’t just been losing — they’ve been getting steamrolled.
Jacksonville has three one-score losses on the road, but they’ve also been blown out, most recently in a 47-10 drubbing by the Bills. Facing a Lions team that’s scored at least 26 points in each of its last seven games, Jacksonville’s defense is in for a long afternoon. Expect Detroit to capitalize on this porous defense early and often.
INTERESTING 👀
This is now Jared Goff’s 7TH career game with at least 4 interceptions.
His record in those games?
6-0.
Does Goff have the Texans right where he wants them? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/Dk4uCwNc6s
— Civ (@MisterCiv) November 11, 2024
Doug Pederson’s record as an underdog of a touchdown or more is less than encouraging, standing at 3-5 straight up (SU) with the Eagles and 0-4 SU with the Jaguars. Pederson’s Achilles heel has been road games, with a career 24-38 SU record on the road compared to a solid 38-24-1 at home. Jacksonville’s road struggles have been harrowing under Pederson, with the Jags dropping their last seven road games outright.
The Lions, meanwhile, are riding high. Detroit has won its last two home games by an average margin of 20.5 points, and the favorite in games with a double-digit spread this season has gone 3-1 ATS. The odds, trends, and momentum all align to make the Lions the .
Jaguars vs Lions NFL Prediction: Bet Detroit -14
It’s hard to see any outcome other than a Detroit blowout in a matchup as lopsided as this. The Lions have momentum, home-field advantage, and a solid quarterback who’s proven he can handle being the favorite and beat the NFL odds.
With seven consecutive wins and a knack for covering at home, Detroit should have no problem taking advantage of Jacksonville’s anemic offense and porous defense. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are dealing with injuries, a struggling quarterback, and a defense that can’t seem to keep anyone out of the end zone.
Bet This Pick: Detroit Lions -14
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
Question Of The Day
Who is the biggest betting underdogs of Week 11?
The Jaguars are the biggest underdogs this weekend and are tied for the biggest of the season at +14 vs the Lions.
