Lions vs Cowboys Predictions for Week 6: Detroit Destined to Destroy Dallas 10/13
- Jared Goff is 26-9 ATS in his last 35 indoor games and has covered 13 of his last 16 road games.
- Dak Prescott is 2-7 ATS in his last nine games against non-NFC East teams.
- Totals of 50+ are 16-4 to the under over the past two seasons.
- Get the best Week 6 NFL odds at BetUS Sportsbook.
Lions vs Cowboys Game Information
- Game: Detroit Lions (3-1) at Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- Date/Time: Oct 13, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Lions vs Cowboys Live Stream: FOX
It’s Week 6, and the Detroit Lions are marching into Dallas to face the Cowboys, who are still riding the fumes of their narrow escape against the Steelers. But let’s be real: the Cowboys’ time is up, and they’re about to get bulldozed by a Lions team that’s not messing around. With the Lions favored by 3 points, it’s time to take a hard look at why Detroit is ready to cover that spread, cash our NFL predictions and leave the Cowboys licking their wounds.
Dan Campbell was asked if he still has “controlled fury” for how the Cowboys game played out last year.
He said it never really leaves, and he’s excited for this “special” game.
— Jeremy Reisman (@DetroitOnLion) October 7, 2024
Lions vs Cowboys Game Odds and Spread
Lions vs Cowboys Week 6 Betting Preview
Lions Ready to Maul
First, Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions are coming off a well-timed bye week. Rested and ready, they’re bringing the third-best total offense in the NFL into a game where they’ll face a Cowboys defense that’s 24th in expected points allowed per play. Do you want to talk about explosive plays? The Lions rank fourth in explosive play rate, while the Cowboys? A miserable 27th. This matchup is a recipe for disaster for Dallas, and they know it.
JARED GOFF COULDN’T MISS ON MONDAY NIGHT 🎯
He had more receiving touchdowns than incompletions 😅 pic.twitter.com/MPva5xFYFs
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 1, 2024
Dan Campbell’s team is built to dominate the trenches, and with a rushing attack led by David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, the Lions will shove the ball down the Cowboys’ throats. Detroit’s offensive line is one of the best in the league, and they’re going up against a Cowboys defense that ranks dead last in rushing expected points added. Translation: Dallas is about to get steamrolled.
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Dak Prescott Is Not Him
Dak Prescott’s struggles against competent teams are well-documented, and here’s a fun fact: he’s 3-8 ATS since the start of last year against teams with a winning record. And guess what? The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against bottom-tier defenses such as Dallas. Prescott may be able to pad his stats against the NFC East (where he’s 29-12 ATS), but it’s a different story when he steps outside his comfort zone. He’s 2-7 ATS in his last nine games against non-NFC East teams. Ouch.
Dak Prescott breaking Steelers fans’ hearts with that late touchdown like pic.twitter.com/WUTEZ5G2ht
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 7, 2024
Dallas’ offense is painfully one-dimensional. Their run game is about as explosive as a wet firecracker, and with the Lions boasting the second-best rushing success rate in the league, good luck moving the chains, Cowboys. Detroit’s defense will keep Prescott in check, and without a running game to fall back on, he’s going to struggle mightily. Expect a few desperate passes into tight coverage and maybe even a back-breaking turnover or two.
Jared Goff: The Quiet Assassin
While Dak crumbles under pressure, Jared Goff is quietly putting together an impressive season. People forget that Goff thrives in dome environments, and his 26-9 ATS record in indoor games speaks for itself. The Lions aren’t just winning games – they’re covering spreads like it’s nobody’s business. Goff has been an absolute machine on extended rest, going 14-4 ATS since 2020, and he’s covered the spread in seven straight games with extra days to prepare.
Oh, and let’s not forget: Goff has covered 13 of his last 16 road games. Whether it’s a hostile crowd or not, Goff is money on the road, and his Lions are 6-1 ATS when favored on the road since last season. So if you’re worried about Detroit covering as a road favorite, don’t be. The numbers are all in their favor.
Betting Trends Favor Detroit
Look, the trends don’t lie. The Lions are 16-8 ATS off a straight-up win since 2022 against the NFL odds, and they’re 12-2 ATS after a win by 7 or more points. The Dallas Cowboys, on the other hand, have struggled mightily in recent years when facing teams above .500, with Dak sporting a miserable 19-33 ATS record in those situations. That’s 263rd out of 266 quarterbacks since 2003.
Even the total for this game screams Under. Totals of 50+ are 16-4 to the under over the past two seasons, and when Dan Campbell’s teams see a total of 50 or more, the under hits 11-5, staying under by an average of 4.9 points per game. So while this game has the potential for points, don’t be surprised if it turns into a defensive slugfest.
Final Prediction: Lions -3 All Day
The Cowboys may have history on their side, but history doesn’t score points. Detroit’s offense is too potent, their defense too solid, and their coaching too smart for this Cowboys team to handle. Dallas is soft in the trenches and relies too much on Dak to bail them out, and that’s just not going to fly against a well-rested Lions squad that’s ready to make a statement.
Take the Lions to cover -3 against the NFL spread and enjoy watching Dallas struggle their way to another loss.
Bet on Lions -3 vs Cowboys (-116)
Question of the Day
What are the NFL odds for the Lions vs Cowboys?
The Lions are favored by 3 points to beat the Cowboys. Detroit is -165 on the moneyline while Dallas is +142.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.