Lions vs Packers Week 9 Predictions: Bet Under with Love Iffy 11/3
- The Lions are 6-1 ATS in NFL lines this season.
- Jard Goff-led teams are 36-35-2 ATS when playing outdoors
- The Packers are 2-1 ATS and cover 69% of the time as underdogs under Matt LaFleur
- Get the best NFL Week 9 odds at BetUS Sportsbook.
In a big NFC North showdown, the Detroit Lions head to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers this Sunday. The NFL odds list the Lions as a 3-point favorite, with the Over/Under at 48
Detroit’s rolling into this game with a five-game winning streak and the Packers, not far behind, are winners of four straight. The catch? Packers quarterback Jordan Love has been dodging injuries left and right, most recently a groin strain that had him limping off the field against Jacksonville a week ago.
With Green Bay’s QB situation shaky, betting the under feels like the winning play on Sunday.
Game Information
- Game: Detroit Lions (6-1) vs Green Bay Packers (6-2)
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
- Day/Time: Sunday, Nov 3, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Lions vs Packers Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Lions vs Packers Odds and Spread
Place your Bets on Lions vs Packers at BetUS Sportsbook!
2 Things to Consider When Betting Lions vs Packers
1. Green Bay’s Game Plan
With Love’s groin injury casting doubt on his effectiveness, the Packers will likely lean on the run game to ease the load. When you’re facing a red-hot Lions offense that’s racking up 33.4 points per game, the best way to contain them is to hog the ball, chew the clock and keep Jared Goff and his high-flying offense parked on the sideline.
Expect Matt LaFleur to go old-school, dialing up handoffs and short passes to control things. Green Bay has proven it can grind out games, and the Packers will need every bit of that ground game this Sunday.
If Love can’t play, cue Malik Willis – the guy who stepped in, threw for 202 yards, a TD and even ran for 73 yards last week. LaFleur knows he has to control the pace to avoid a shootout, and the run-heavy approach practically screams “under” in NFL picks.
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2. Jared Goff vs. the Outdoors
The NFL news has been good lately for Jared Goff, who’s been lights-out, but all that recent production has been in the cozy comfort of domes. When Goff plays outside, the difference is night and day.
In his career, Goff’s interception rate jumps by 38% outdoors, his passer rating dips by 10%, and he throws 18% fewer touchdowns per attempt. Lambeau’s cold and potentially rainy conditions aren’t exactly “Goff-friendly,” either.
Per Packers vs Lions stats, Goff has averaged 217 passing yards and barely one touchdown in his past two trips to Green Bay. Last season, his first outdoor game saw him held to a dismal 161 yards against Chicago. As elite as Goff has been this season, his numbers in the open air (and in colder temperatures) suggest a dip in production on Sunday.
Best Bet for Lions vs Packers: Under 48
With Love’s iffy status, Green Bay will likely lean heavily on the run game to keep the clock moving and limit Detroit’s possessions. The Packers’ need to slow the game down, coupled with Goff’s historical struggles outdoors, gives us a clear betting edge on the under.
The forecast also plays into the under. With temperatures dipping below 60 degrees and rain in the mix, we can expect both teams to take a cautious approach. Goff will look to protect the ball while the Packers will prioritize keeping Detroit’s offense off the field.
With all that in mind, my NFL prediction for the Lions vs Packers is to take the under 48, which is a bit of a contrarian play considering the offensive potential each team offers.
Question of the Day
Which team leads the NFL in scoring defense?
The Los Angeles Chargers allow the fewest points per game in the NFL, with an average of 13.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
