We’ve made it to another Monday night. This game will mark one month into the 2023 NFL season. It’s unbelievable how quickly it has gone by. The touchdown train is looking to climb back units of profit to close out the first month. At this point, you’re likely not a new reader of the touchdown train, but if you are, you should know I don’t pick touchdown scorers blindly.
My research will always back up the reasoning behind my anytime touchdown scorer picks. I’ve narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here for the New York Giants vs. Seattle Seahawks. Let’s get to the best MNF anytime touchdown prop bets for Monday Night Football in Week 4. Best of luck if you tail!
This game has a modest total projected at 47 points, good for the third-highest in Week 4, but it projects to have one of the slower paces of play this week. This typically results in fewer plays and scoring opportunities, but let’s hope that’s not the case.
Last season, when these two teams squared off, the Seahawks won 27-13 in Seattle. Both offenses have had their ups and downs through the first few weeks, but they will look to find their stride against defenses that, quite frankly, have been poor to start the season.
Seattle is 2-1 entering Monday night and looking to keep pace with the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC West. Seattle is coming off back-to-back wins. Unfortunately for Big Blue, the Seahawks are 5-0 playing at MetLife Stadium and, as a franchise, are 28-12 on Monday nights, the best winning percentage of any team.
The Giants are 1-2 and have been desperately searching for answers. They need to figure out those answers in a hurry because their schedule gets more challenging with the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills on deck.
At the time of writing, it’s still being determined if the Giants will have star running back Saquon Barkley on the field. He suffered an ankle sprain in the Week 2 come-from-behind win in Arizona, and he’s been questionable all week for Monday Night Football. The Giants would also be ecstatic if they get All-Pro left tackle Andrew Thomas back in the lineup, but he remains questionable.
Now that the stage is set let’s get to our MNF anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
Giants vs Seahawks Best Anytime TD Bets
DK Metcalf +129
The Giants have allowed 32.7 points per game, good for the third-most in the NFL. Seattle and Geno Smith have been clicking on all cylinders since their Week 1 dud against the Rams. They’ve put up 37 points in back-to-back weeks. DK Metcalf is the ultimate mismatch against the Giants secondary that will send out rookies at cornerback. The Giants have switched between zone and man defense about evenly so far, but they blitz a ton with Wink Martindale as their defensive coordinator. Smith has the seventh-best passing grade in the NFL against the blitz. Smith and Metcalf can get anything they want when DK is one-on-one with the rookie corners. If this were a home game for Seattle, I would have a “banker” on Metcalf.
Zach Charbonnet +250
Despite Kenneth Walker flat-out dominating in Week 3, rookie running back Charbonnet received a season-high snap share of 44% and a 42% route participation. Yes, I expect Walker to continue to do his thing and be the goal-line back for Seattle, but I also expect the rookie to continue to be involved. The Giants’ defense stunk at stopping the run last season and it’s no better in 2023. So far, they’ve allowed the fourth-most yards to running backs and at least one running back to score through the first three weeks. They also own the sixth-highest explosive run rate allowed. I expect a high-scoring game so, hopefully, the rookie will contribute with his first NFL touchdown on Monday night.
When you win 😡ANGRY RUNS😡 you do ANGRY CHATS
Seahawks rookie Zach Charbonnet trucked a man and told the tale, full ep on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/2nunOgPzIg
— Kyle Brandt (@KyleBrandt) September 27, 2023
Darren Waller +220
The Seattle secondary will get safety Jamal Adams back on Monday night, and they’ll need his services to help its defense that has allowed the second-most explosive passing plays in the NFL through the first three weeks. For what it’s worth, rookie Jalin Hyatt will put his stamp on this game as the Giants’ best deep threat. Darren Waller is the Giants’ big offseason acquisition intended to catapult the New York passing game. The tight end has yet to have a breakout game for Big Blue, but that changes in primetime. Waller leads the Giants in target share, and Seattle’s defense is again friendly to opposing tight ends. Last season, they allowed the second-most yards per game, and so far in 2023, the Seahawks have allowed the fifth-most per game to tight ends.