I’m back with another primetime, same-game parlay to lock in for Monday Night Football in Week 13. The good thing about Monday night action is we can right all of our wrongs from the Sunday slate with the best NFL bets today.
Every primetime game provides an opportunity to jump on NFL prop betting. You probably know me as the anytime touchdown bet guy, but I’ve constructed a special parlay for Monday Night Football. I’m rolling out a massive parlay for the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals AFC showdown with a 3-leg player prop parlay. You can always do a ton of your own research, but the trick is I’ve already done that work for you. Let’s get into the best NFL parlay and props for Monday night.
This matchup has one of the lower projected totals of Week 13, being set at an over/under of 38 ½ points. The NFL point spread has the Jaguars as 9-point favorites at home. When this game was originally on the NFL schedule, I was excited to see the up-and-coming Jaguars take on one of the top AFC contenders, but the Bengals have fallen out of that position as we enter Week 13.
The Bengals‘ playoff aspirations are in serious doubt. Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending wrist injury two weeks ago against the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football. Cincinnati has lost three games in a row and has a 5-6 record entering this matchup. Jake Browning has taken over as the starting quarterback for the Bengals, and he has some big shoes to fill.
Cincinnati may struggle again, as the Jaguars have been one of the best teams in the NFL dating back to last season. The Jaguars have only lost five of their last twenty games overall on their way to quietly becoming one of the best teams in the AFC. Meanwhile, the Bengals have lost nine straight games on Monday Night Football. Still, the Bengals have a talented roster from top to bottom and won’t be a pushover for most games, even without Burrow at the helm.
— Up & Adams (@UpAndAdamsShow) December 1, 2023
The NFL is always consistently inconsistent, but the good news is I’ve done the digging and have figured out the best spots to attack in your parlays. I’m eyeing three different player props for our Monday Night Football same-game parlay. Let’s get into our NFL expert picks for the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals.
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MNF Same-Game Parlay Picks
Evan Engram Over 4.5 Receptions
When I saw this line, I was a bit surprised to see the odds favoring the under. The Jaguars’ tight end is in the best spot of any Jacksonville receiver this week. First and foremost, Engram has hit this line in 8 of 11 games this season.
The Bengals have struggled all season long, defending opposing tight ends. They have given up the third-most receptions to the position so far this season, and Engram ranks third among all tight ends in targets. Last week, Steeler tight end Pat Freiermuth caught 9 passes for 120 yards against this same Bengals defense. I expect Engram to have a monster night.
Christian Kirk Over 3.5 Receptions
This was another shocking line. The veteran slot receiver for Jacksonville has also exceeded this number in 8 of 11 games. The Bengals defense primarily runs a single-high safety with man-to-man on the receivers. Trevor Lawrence keys in on Kirk when facing this defensive scheme, as Kirk has a team-high 31% target rate against this type of coverage.
Kirk leads all Jaguars receivers in receptions as we enter Week 13, and I expect him to hit this line fairly easily on Monday night. Lawrence has been heavily ridiculed, as many people have suggested he hasn’t lived up to the expectations of the number one overall pick when he came out of Clemson. He is putting the doubters to rest of late, and the matchup against a struggling Bengals secondary will only help his case.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 57.5 Receiving Yards
This appears to be some low hanging fruit, and I’m willing to snag it. Chase is still one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. Even with Browning under center, I expect Chase to get a ton of looks. Last week, in Browning’s first start the Bengals had the second-highest neutral passing rate in the NFL. This shows that Zac Taylor has the confidence in Browning to drop back and throw. Browning finished fourth in yards per attempt, and Chase finished the game with 81 yards.
It sounds like the Bengals will get back Tee Higgins this week, opening up the field even more for Chase. Defenses have been able to double Chase with Higgins out, but if he is indeed back out on the field, they will no longer be able to afford to do that.
Ja’Marr Chase on what Tee Higgins return for MNF at Jacksonville means for the Bengals offense: pic.twitter.com/Pb18ZipQ8B
— Charlie Clifford (@char_cliff) December 1, 2023
The Jaguars secondary has been beatable this season through the air. They have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game. They have allowed at least one perimeter receiver to surpass this number in 8 of 11 games this season. Trusting Jake Browning is risky business, but the Bengals are nearly double-digit underdogs on the road. I expect them to be passing to keep pace, which will lead to Chase hitting this line.
Questions Of The Day
Which teams are the most and least profitable to bet on in MNF primetime parlays and props?
The teams that are most profitable to bet on MNF primetime parlays and props are the Eagles, Jaguars, Cowboys, and Ravens. The least profitable teams to bet are the Panthers, Saints, and Patriots.
What is the average total score for MNF primetime games this season?
The average total score for MNF this season is just 36.07 points.