I’m back with another primetime, same-game parlay to lock in for Monday Night Football in Week 14. The good thing about Monday night action is we can right all of our wrongs from the Sunday slate, and I’m here to give you my best NFL predictions for today.
Every primetime game provides an opportunity to jump on NFL prop bets. You probably know me as the anytime touchdown bet guy, but I’ve constructed another special parlay for Monday Night Football.
I’m rolling out a massive parlay for the New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers and the Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans. With two games to select our picks from, I’m loading up a 4-leg player prop parlay. You can always do a ton of your own research, but the trick is I’ve already done that work for you. Let’s get into the best NFL parlay and props for Monday night.
The Packers will head to MetLife and look to stay hot, as they have won four of their last five games. Green Bay is in the thick of the NFC Wild-Card hunt, and Jordan Love has been playing lights out of late.
Meanwhile, down in Miami, the Dolphins will look to make easy work of the Titans, where they are 13-point favorites entering their Week 14 matchup.
The NFL is consistently inconsistent, but the good news is I’ve done the digging and have figured out the best spots to attack in your parlays. I’m eyeing four-player props for our Monday Night Football same-game parlay. Let’s get into our NFL expert picks for the New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans.
MNF Same-Game Parlay Picks
De’Von Achane Over 54.5 Rushing Yards
We will pick on the Titans with our first same-game parlay pick. The Dolphins have the highest implied team total of Week 14 at 30 points, so we can expect them to score in bunches.
We saw in last week’s blowout win over the Washington Commanders that Achane dominated touches out of the Dolphin’s backfield. The rookie is set up for another big day as he ranks inside the top two in missed tackles forced, yards after contact, and explosive run rate. Over the last month, the Titans have allowed the 14th most explosive runs.
Tennessee will be without All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffrey Simmons, who suffered an injury in Week 13. He will be missed in the trenches as Miami leads the NFL in yards per rush.
Achane has soared over this number in his four healthy games this season. I expect him to lead the Dolphins backfield again, with Raheem Mostert taking a back seat in this matchup.
PlayerProfiler Stat of the Day🤖
In the games De’Von Achane has had more than 5 snaps:
👀233 yards & 4 TDs
😮120 yards & 2 TDs
😱165 yards & 1 TD
🤯103 yards & 2 TDs
— PlayerProfiler (@rotounderworld) December 7, 2023
Tyjae Spears Over 2.5 Receptions
Staying in South Beach, I’m rolling with Tyjae Spears. Derrick Henry was extremely banged up last week, and he left the game and didn’t return. He doesn’t have an injury designation coming in Monday night, but I expect Spears to see enough work to hit this line.
Spears has already been the passing down back on numerous occasions, and he ranks seventh in targets per route run among running backs. The game script would suggest that Spears will have plenty of opportunities in a blowout loss to Miami. Last week, I rode Antonio Gibson to go over his receptions total in a blowout, and this week, it’s Spears’ turn. He has hit this line in 7 of 12 games, and I expect him to do it again this week.
Jaylen Waddle Anytime Touchdown
One more from Miami. How can we not back this passing game led by Tua Tagovailoa? I’m all in on Waddle this week against the Titans secondary that is getting torched by wide receivers. Waddle has scored three touchdowns, but that will change after Week 14 wraps up.
Waddle has taken a clear backseat to Tyreek Hill as The Cheetahl is on a chase to break the all-time single-season receiving yards record. Waddle is set to explode in this matchup against Kristian Fulton on the outside. The Titans have allowed the third-most receptions and the sixth-most scores to opposing wide receivers. Tua is tied with Josh Allen with the second-most touchdown passes in the NFL. I expect to see the best touchdown dance in the NFL on Monday night!
Saquon Barkley Over 67.5 Rushing Yards
No matter how badly I want to, we can’t completely ignore the other Monday night game between my pathetic Giants and the Packers. It hasn’t been fun backing any member of Big Blue this season, but we’re rolling the dice with their most trustworthy asset, Saquon Barkley. The Giants are coming out of their bye, and Barkley should be well-rested. He ranks in the top three in opportunity share, and I expect the Giants to lean on him heavily here down the final stretch of the regular season.
“We’re in this (expletive). I’m gonna keep it real… if we take care of what we’ve gotta take care of, everyone can say what they want about the season, but it’s week whatever and everything we want is still there.”
– Saquon Barkley pic.twitter.com/Au6rjtGiQH
— Giants Videos (@SNYGiants) December 8, 2023
He has an excellent matchup on the ground against the Packers defense that has allowed the fifth-most yards after contact and the seventh-highest explosive run rate. He has exceeded this number in 5 of 9 healthy games this season, and Green Bay has allowed an opposing running back to go over this number in three of its last four games. No one will like this, but Barkley could go bananas this week. Let’s cash this same-game parlay ticket on Monday night!
Questions of the Day
Which teams are the least profitable to bet on in MNF?
The least profitable teams to bet on MNF have been the Panthers and Saints in 2023.
What are some matchup-specific factors to consider when betting on props for Monday Night Football primetime games?
Some matchup-specific factors to consider when betting on props for Monday Night Football include defensive play-calling and schemes.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.