The Kansas City Chiefs are set to take on the winless Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, in a game that is cornered with the visiting team wholeheartedly.
As per the sportsbook, the Chiefs are the runaway favorites in Moneyline markets, tipped at -240 to win outright while the Colts are +200 underdogs to deliver the upset. As well, the Chiefs are laying six points to the Colts and the total is projected to a lofty 50½ points.
It’s no secret that both these teams are headed in opposite directions right now, but does that mean the Chiefs are a lock bet to win and cover?
Chiefs vs Colts Odds
- Spread: Chiefs -6(-110)
- Moneyline: Chiefs -240 | Colts +200
- Over/Under: O50½ (-110) | U50½ (-110)
Chiefs Rolling In September
Kansas City Chiefs are rolling through September, picking up back-to-back wins at the expense of the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Chargers and improving to a 1-1-0 ATS at the same time.
The Chiefs opened their season with a dominant win in Arizona, beating the Cardinals 44-21 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale to come through as the six-point road chalk quite convincingly.
In Week 2, the Chiefs welcomed Justin Herbert and the Chargers to Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday Night Football. While the Chiefs clinched the 27-24 win, they failed to cover the four-point closing spread thanks to a Chargers touchdown in garbage time.
Overall, the Chiefs are 2-0-0 SU and 1-1-0 ATS, a run of form that includes a 13-point average winning margin.
Mahomes leads the league with seven touchdowns, alongside Carson Wentz, Tua Tagovailoa, and Josh Allen. He’s sixth in the standings with 595 passing yards and one of three current starters to have zero interceptions through the first two weeks.
Patrick Mahomes’ stats in September are the best by any QB in any month since the 1970 merger (minimum 10 QB starts in that month over their career)
Is that good? 👇👇👇👇👇👇👇 pic.twitter.com/seKpGKE92Z
— James Palmer (@JamesPalmerTV) September 22, 2022
The Matt Ryan era is off to an abysmal start, to put it mildly. Indianapolis Colts opened the season with a head-scratching 20-20 tie with the Houston Texans – a team that is expected to finish among the worst in 2022. They then suffered a humiliating 24-0 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars – another team that has modest expectations attached to its 2022 campaign.
Ryan is struggling to find his feet in Frank Reich’s offense. He’s second in the league with four interceptions after two weeks. As well, he has only one passing touchdown to his credit.
On a personal level, Ryan crossed a career milestone – the 60,000 passing yard club – joining the likes of Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Peyton Manning on that score.
Chiefs vs Colts Betting Prediction
It might be way too early in the season to write off teams, but that’s not lessening the feeling of panic gripping Colts nation.
It wasn’t supposed to be like this. A 2-0 start? That was the expectation with opponents in the form of the Texans and Jaguars scheduled in the first two weeks.
The high hopes that preceded the Colts since signing Ryan were mirrored by the sportsbook betting exchange, where the Colts were installed as the team to beat in the AFC South at the start of the season. The Colts’ odds haven’t shifted dramatically, but that’s only because the AFC South is one of the weakest divisions and the Colts are technically in it still, even though they’re not inspiring much confidence.
At some point, the Colts are going to have to perk up offensively and defensively or heads will roll. But it’s hard to see that happening against one of the best teams in the AFC.
Thus, the Chiefs are the lock bet of the week to both win and cover. In fact, the six-point spread is an absolute basement bargain for NFL picks against the spread and bettors should grab it before it moves up to a touchdown.