NFL Player Props Picks for Chiefs vs Broncos Week 18: Bet on Nik Bonitto, Bo Nix January 05

· Jan 03 - 4 minutes read

Get the best Chiefs vs Broncos NFL Week 18 odds at BetUS.
Nik Bonitto leads the Broncos with 11.5 sacks
Bo Nix has gone Over 223 passing yards in 6 of his last 9 games
Read on to get my best Chiefs vs Broncos prop picks.

Week 18 is here, and the Chiefs are sipping piña coladas while watching the rest of the AFC scramble for scraps. With the No. 1 seed locked up, Kansas City is expected to give their starters a well-earned rest. Enter the Denver Broncos, a team clinging to playoff hopes.

Chiefs vs Broncos Week 18 Best Props: Bet on Nik Bonitto, Bo Nix for Jan 5 — Nik Bonitto #15 of the Denver Broncos - Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

For Denver, this game means everything—they need a win to secure the AFC’s final playoff spot. For the Chiefs, it’s basically preseason with better snacks.

Let’s break down the best NFL predictions today for this oddly fascinating matchup.

Chiefs vs Broncos Game Information

Game: Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) vs Denver Broncos (9-7)
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver
Date/Time: Jan 5, 4:25 p.m. ET
Chiefs vs. Broncos Live Stream: CBS

Check for the latest Chiefs vs Broncos injuries here.

Touchdown Profits! Bet $200, Get $450 Bonus on first time deposit.

Top 2 NFL Props to Bet for Chiefs vs Broncos on Jan 5

1. Nik Bonitto Over 0.5 Sacks (-114)

My first NFL expert pick is Nik Bonitto. He has been living in opposing backfields all season, and now he’s set to feast on a Chiefs offensive line protecting Carson Wentz, who’s about as quick to escape the pocket as molasses in January.

Nik Bonitto for DPOY pic.twitter.com/pZU1XUhG5n

— The Analyst (@analyst4sports_) December 16, 2024

Wentz’s return to starting duties for Kansas City is the NFL’s version of a soap opera reboot—nostalgic, messy, and doomed. In his last seven starts, he’s been sacked eight times, thanks to a habit of holding the ball longer than a TSA line holds your patience. His average pocket time of 3.2 seconds since the start of 2022 screams “sack me,” and Bonitto is just the man for the job.

Bonitto’s season stats are a thing of beauty: 11.5 sacks, 22 quarterback hits, and enough tackles for loss to make opposing QBs reconsider their life choices. With Kansas City likely resting their starting O-line, Bonitto will have a field day against backups. Take Bonnito to beat the NFL odds here, and prepare for Wentz’s return to end with more turf stains than passing highlights.

Bet This Pick: Nik Bonitto Over 0.5 Sacks (-114)

2. Bo Nix Over 223.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Bo Nix has quietly been the Broncos’ MVP, throwing for 3,454 yards and keeping Denver’s playoff dreams alive. Now, with everything on the line, he faces a Chiefs defense that’s going to be resting starters at some point during the game.

HISTORY: If Bo Nix has 31 touchdown passes against the Chiefs on Sunday, he’ll beat Peyton Manning’s single-season record for touchdown passes in a year.

Would truly be a remarkable accomplishment as a rookie. pic.twitter.com/Zh2xFIEihL

— Zac Stevens (@ZacStevensDNVR) January 3, 2025

Recent NFL news has been solid for the rookie. Nix has gone over 223 passing yards in six of his last nine games, and he’s been hotter than your car’s steering wheel in July. In Week 17, he racked up 219 passing yards and three touchdowns against Cincinnati, proving he thrives under pressure. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have allowed an average of 212.4 passing yards this season, and with backups likely playing on defense, that number could rise faster than Taylor Swift’s ticket prices.

Denver’s game plan will put the ball in Nix’s hands, especially with the Chiefs’ offense running a skeleton crew. Expect a high-volume passing attack and plenty of opportunities for Nix to hit the over in this NFL player prop line.

Bet This Pick: Bo Nix Over 223.5 Passing Yards (-113)