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NFL Playoff Odds: Bills Finally Top Chiefs

The Buffalo Bills are 2½-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL Divisional Round. The over-under is set at 45½ points as Patrick Mahomes makes his road playoff debut. Let’s take a look at each team’s playoff chances and the best bets for this AFC matchup.

Chiefs vs Bills Game Information

1. Game: Chiefs (12-6) vs Bills (12-6)
2. Date/Time: Sunday, Jan. 21, 6:30 p.m. ET
3. Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
4. Chiefs vs Bills Live Stream: CBS/ NFL Game Pass

NFL Playoff Odds: Bills Finally Top Chiefs
NFL Playoff Odds: Bills Finally Top Chiefs


The Kansas City Chiefs (12-6) are hitting the road for a rare road playoff game against the Buffalo Bills (12-6). The Chiefs are 2½-point underdogs against the Bills with an AFC Championship trip on the line. This Sunday, Jan. 21 matchup kicks off from a freezing cold Orchard Park at 6:30 p.m. ET. Fans can stream Tony Romo and Jim Nantz on the call on CBS.


Chiefs vs Bills Odds and Spreads

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1. The Bills are 8-9-1 ATS in Las Vegas odds.
2. Kansas City is 10-8 ATS.
3. Buffalo is 8-1 at home this season.
4. The Chiefs are 6-2 in road games.
5. The under has hit in 11 of 18 Bills games.
6. Kansas City games are trending heavily toward the under. The over has hit five times compared to the under cashing in 13 games.
7. The under has hit in the Chiefs’ last five games in January.
8. The Chiefs are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.


Chiefs vs Bills Over 45½

I’ve gone back and forth on the total for this matchup. Neither of these offenses has been particularly explosive this season compared to past seasons.

Yet, a lot of the projections are higher than the Vegas number here. Let’s lean on the data here and bet online the over for the next installment in this epic series.


Bills to Cover -2½ (-120)

It is easy to defend either side of this matchup. The Chiefs have had the Bills number in the NFL playoffs but not by a wide margin. Kansas City also will not have the advantage of playing at Arrowhead Stadium.

The deciding factor for me is Buffalo has essentially been playing playoff matchups for the final month of the season. Kansas City closed the season strong but benefited from an easier slate of games.

The Bills enter this matchup a bit more tested and take advantage of a Chiefs offense that never found its footing this season. We’re taking Buffalo to cover at our BetUS sportsbook.


Best Prop Bet: James Cook Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

The Chiefs may be a bit susceptible against the run in this matchup. I like the overs for both James Cook and Josh Allen in rushing yards.

Given the Bills leaned heavily on Cook to close out the season, the running back’s NFL betting prop is slightly more solid.

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Chiefs vs Bills Prediction

Buffalo Bills 30, Kansas City Chiefs 24

Here’s a look at some  NFL odds and NFL lines to consider!


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