The battle of the AFC North between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns features on the primetime menu, kicking off Week 3 on Amazon Prime’s Thursday Night Football.
To maximize NFL betting thrills. we’ve put together a same-game parlay outlined below. Find out how we’re slicing our bets for this much anticipated AFC North tilt between 1-1 SU teams.
Steelers vs Browns Same-Game Parlay
Steelers +4½ (-110)
After a heroic comeback in Week 1 against the Cincinnati Bengals, the Pittsburgh Steelers’ offense fell flat on its face in a 17-14 loss to the New England Patriots at home and a cacophony of calls for Mitch Trubisky to be replaced by rookie Kenny Pickett could be heard.
— BlitzburghUSAVideos (@sdextrasmedia) September 18, 2022
The Cleveland Browns, by contrast, frittered away a 13-point lead to the New York Jets in the final 90 seconds of the game, losing 31-30 at First Energy Stadium with boos raining down on them from their disgruntled home fans.
Clearly, both sides suffered similar fates in Week 2 and equally faced the wrath of fans, but the Browns’ spectacular collapse was the more worrying defeat. Conceding two touchdowns in the blink of an eye has to be some kind of a record, no? And yet, NFL betting markets went to press with the Browns as the firm home favorites across the board
What’s more, the NFL line has moved further toward Cleveland during the week, moving up from a field goal to 4½ points in spread betting.
Laying 4½ points with the Browns would mean that we’re ready to buy a team that just blew a 13-point lead to the Joe-Flacco-inspired Jets? Are we really ready to do that?
The Steelers might not be inspiring much confidence either, but taking the points with them feels like the right thing to do here.
The Steelers have kept both their games close. They beat the Bengals by three points and lost to the Patriots by three points.
Take the points with the Steelers in what should at the very least be a close game against a division rival in the battle for first place in the AFC North.
PICK: Steelers +4½ (-110)
Awesome view of the game-sealing INT.
Robert Saleh mentioned postgame Ashtyn Davis did a great job reading Jacoby Brissett’s eyes and you can see it here. pic.twitter.com/qB7AFuTB0W
— Ethan Greenberg (@EGreenbergJets) September 19, 2022
Over 38½ (-110)
At first glance, the total betting line for this game looks way too low. The Browns have averaged 28 points per game while the Steelers have averaged 18.5 points.
On the flip side, the Browns’ defense has conceded an average of 27.5 points while the Steelers have allowed 18.5 points per game.
Trubisky is under pressure to perform, not least because Pickett is looking over his shoulder and you can bet Mike Tomlin isn’t going to suffer another anemic performance from his offense. Especially not in a nationally televised game.
The Steelers’ quarterback controversy was stirred by fans as boos rained down on Trubisky and simultaneously calls for Pickett were heard in last week’s loss to the Patriots. At one point, Acriscure Stadium was literally echoing with “Kenny, Kenny, Kenny” chants.
With a short week, a quarterback switch is unlikely. Well, at least not at the start of the game. One hopes Trubisky, who is likely playing for his career as a starter on Thursday Night Football, will rise to the occasion. Should he falter, his position as a starter could be untenable. This could happen one of two ways – he gets benched in TNF or finds himself replaced next week by the rookie.
The Browns can certainly score as evinced by the stats. If the Steelers’ offense perks up, this game could push the total over the projected line.
PICK: Over 38½ (-110)
Same-Game Parlay Prediction
The same-game parlay, therefore, is combining the Steelers at +4½ and the Over 38½, which yields odds of +264 as per the BetUS parlay calculator.
Parlay: Pittsburgh Steelers +4½ and Over 38½