The NFL lines this week for NFC South teams are quite challenging. The good news is that player props give you a few alternative betting options without the outcome of the game mattering.
We are leaning on several Saints and Buccaneers player prop bets to cash tickets for Week 12. Let’s take a look at my NFL predictions for the best NFC South player prop bets.
Demario Davis Keeps Sack Streak Alive
Saints linebacker Demario Davis has a two-game sack streak. Davis should be able to take advantage of a Falcons offensive line that has struggled.
Despite the hot streak, the Vegas odds offer a nice return on Davis’ sack prop bet. We’re betting on Davis to get to Desmon Ridder in the rivalry matchup.
NFL Player Prop Pick: Demario Davis over .5 sacks (+309)
Chris Olave Held in Check by Falcons Defense
The Falcons have plenty of holes, but one thing the team has done well is defend the pass. Atlanta has a top-10 unit in the NFL allowing 200.4 yards per game.
Meanwhile, the Saints have been dealing with Derek Carr being on and off the field with injuries. Carr has cleared concussion protocol for Week 12, but that does not mean the quarterback will look like his normal self. The sportsbooks have set Saints star receiver Chris Olave’s receiving prop number too high at 71.5 receiving yards.
NFL Player Prop Pick: Chris Olave under 71.5 receiving yards
Trey Palmer Emerging as a Receiving Threat for the Bucs
If you look at Trey Palmer’s targets, the rookie’s usage is trending up in recent weeks. Palmer had six targets against the 49ers in Week 11 finishing with 4 receptions for 22 yards. We’re expecting Palmer to at least snag three catches against the Colts.
NFL Player Prop Pick: Trey Palmer over 2.5 receptions.
Baker Mayfield Shines Against Colts
Baker Mayfield continues to be solid as the Bucs QB1. Prior to a challenging matchup against the Niners, Mayfield had three straight games with two passing touchdowns. Mayfield gets back on track against Indy.
Bet online Mayfield to have over 1.5 passing TDs versust the Colts in Week 12.
NFL Player Prop Pick: Baker Mayfield over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Bijan Robinson Finds the End Zone
As Desmond Ridder returns to the lineup, the Falcons are going to need to once again lean on Bijan Robinson to take the pressure off their quarterback. Robinson is coming off a career-high 22 carries against the Cardinals.
The rookie playmaker should have plenty of opportunities to get in the end zone against the Saints. Robinson has scored a touchdown in two of the last three games.
NFL Player Prop Pick: Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown
Mike Evans Has Been a Touchdown Machine
Mike Evans has scored a touchdown in three of the last four games. There is nothing about the Colts defense that should scare you away from Evans continuing his hot streak.
Look for Evans to score his eighth touchdown of the season in Week 12.
NFL Player Prop Pick: Mike Evans anytime touchdown
Questions of the Day
Which NFC South team will score the most points in Week 12?
Look for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to have the most points of any NFC South team.
Is there any injury that could affect the betting lines for the NFC South teams this week?
New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr was just cleared from concussion protocol, but his effectiveness heading into Atlanta remains a question mark.