With the NFL season just around the corner, it’s time to put those fantasy football muscles to work and make some season-long prop bets. We’ve analyzed the hundreds of props posted at the BetUS sportsbook and came up with the best bets for individual player props for the 2021 season.
Here are the plays for the Dallas Cowboys:
Dak Prescott is a popular and headline-grabbing quarterback. He played only five games last season, so we’re looking at the 2019 season for the best betting guide. He threw for 4,902 yards two seasons ago, so the Las Vegas NFL odds of 4,750½ yards are generous.
Prescott can be an enigmatic quarterback, and 2019 was the only year he came remotely close to posting numbers above the current line. He posted passing yard totals of 3,667, 3,324 and 3,885 before breaking out for 4,902. That’s a concern, but if he’s healthy, Prescott is one of the more dynamic passing QBs. In the five games last season, he threw for nine scores and over 1,800 yards.
Despite playing only five games in 2020, Prescott ran for three touchdowns. It equaled his tally from the previous season when he played all 16 games.
He started his career with three consecutive seasons of six rushing touchdown. Those are impressive numbers, but he needs to take care of his body. We expect him to be more cautious and become a more focused passing quarterback.
The online sportsbook has under 4½ touchdowns at +120, which is worth taking.
Expectations are always a touch too high for the Dallas Cowboys, but as those who bet on NFL know, they can produce the goods at any given moment.
Prescott was superb two years ago and we think he can reproduce those numbers. He threw for 30 touchdowns, which was seven more than his previous high of 23 in 2016.
Due to running back Ezekiel Elliot not being at his best, Prescott was asked to throw the ball. It worked out well for Dallas, so we expect more of the game. We are confident Prescott can light up the touchdown score sheet.
Interceptions are something that comes part and parcel of being a passing quarterback. Prescott has been up and down in the turnaround department, so the current line of 10½ might not be high enough.
He has recorded two seasons of more than 10 interceptions, so we’re backing the numbers and suggesting bettors to take the over.
Best Pick: Over 26½ passing touchdowns (-135)
What to expect from Ezekiel Elliott? NFL predictions have posted the number at 1,275½ rushing yards, but we haven’t been impressed with the running back of late.
He went for only 979 yards in a dismal 2020 season, which didn’t back up his impressive totals of 1,434 and 1,357 in the previous two seasons.
Elliot has not produced the big numbers expected of him after he secured his contract. He also fumbled six times last season, which was the second time he had posted that number throughout his career.
“Just having the year I had last year, you don’t need more motivation than that,” Elliott told ESPN. “I just know the type of player I am. I don’t think I showed that last year. I got a lot to prove. I just made sure I didn’t leave any doubt out there that I didn’t do as much as I needed to do.”
Cowboys’ fans would love to see Elliott at his best, but we’re happy to take the -125 juice for the Under 1,275½.
Even though we think he’ll have another disappointing season, we like the over in rushing touchdown betting markets.
Due to his power, we think the Cowboys will use him as a short-yardage player. He could crash over and score plenty of touchdowns close to the line, so we’re happy with the Over 8½ at -125.
He has hit this number twice from five seasons and he will be used more effectively in touchdown-scoring plays.
Best Pick: Under 1,275½ rushing yards (-125)
Bookmakers have the line at 80½ receptions and it’s spot on. Cooper had 92 receptions last season when Andy Dalton was the primary quarterback.
He should have the services of Prescott this time around, which would see the number rise. Cooper has recorded over 80½ receptions in two of his six seasons, including once with the Oakland Raiders.
He is always around the mark, but we’re predicting a successful season for Cooper, so take the over.
We see excellent value in Amari Cooper receiving yards betting markets. The current total is 1,150½, which he has exceeded twice before.
Cooper went close last season with 1,114 yards, but as we have previously mentioned, we’re expecting a big season. He had 1,189 yards in 2019 and we see this season going in similar fashion.
The line is set only at 6½, so it will be a close-run thing. Cooper has scored a total of 38 touchdowns in his career, but never scored more than eight in one season.
He is better used for getting chunk yardage down the field, but based on our predictions of Prescott throwing plenty of TDs, Cooper should be a primary target.
We see the total going over and Cooper capping off his good work with a six-pointer.
Best Pick: Over 80½ receptions (-115)
Coming off an impressive rookie season is CeeDee Lamb, who caught 74 passes. Bookmakers currently have the line at 77½, so he’s expected to improve on that effort.
Dallas has the makings of a good season and the former Oklahoma wide receiver should be an integral part of its success.
Take Over 77½, which has been confidently backed at -115.
Lamb went for 935 yards last season, but he didn’t have Prescott throwing to him for most of the year. The totals is set at 1,075½ yards, which is quite a rise, so it will be close.
We think Lamb will have a big year and we see the total going over. We’re hoping Lamb and Cooper work well together, so bettors can cash with both players.
He isn’t best used as a touchdown receiver, which is why the line is currently at 5½. That’s a low number, but he scored five touchdowns last year.
We’re not confident with this bet, so it could pay to look for value elsewhere. However, if we had to pick, we would take the over.
Best Pick: Over 77½ receptions (-115)
DeMarcus Lawrence had an incredible two-season stretch in 2017-2018 when notching 25 combined sacks.
His last two seasons haven’t been nearly as fruitful, which is why the NFL betting line is 8½. The Dallas Cowboys defense is excellent, but he’s too inconsistent to warrant taking the over.