There are several teams to consider for this week’s NFL Teaser as highlighted in the Teaser Basket below. As ever, we’ll select the best of these teaser-worthy games for a two-team teaser, complete with the latest sportsbook odds.
NFL Week 4 Teaser Basket (6-pt Teasers)
- Team Line Teaser Leg
- Philadelphia Eagles -6½ -½
- Atlanta Falcons +1 +7
- Arizona Cardinals +1 +7
- Denver Broncos +2½ +8½
- Los Angeles Rams +1 +7
Browns vs Falcons (+1) – Tease Falcons up to +7
Three teams are a perfect 3-0-0 against the spread (ATS) and the Falcons are one of them. Despite this fact, the NFL betting markets favor the Browns on the road here.
The Cleveland Browns are the better team according to the pundits, even though they’re playing with backup Jacoby Brisset until Deshaun Watson’s suspension ends. Things are going well, so far. The Browns are 2-1 straight up (SU) and ATS with a 4.3 winning margin on average.
But a deep dive into their box scores reveals that their wins are somewhat misleading. The Browns barely took care of a really bad Carolina Panthers team in a 26-24 win in Week 1. Immediately afterward, they suffered an epic collapse against the Joe Flacco-led New York Jets, losing 31-30 in the last 90 seconds of the game.
In Week 3, they took the 29-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Thursday Night Football. However, with Mitch Trubisky leading the Steelers’ offense, there’s a big grain of salt in there somewhere.
The Browns were recently dealt with a big blow following Myles Garrett’s car accident. The defensive end hasn’t been ruled out of this Sunday’s game, but it’s very possible he won’t feature in it. If he does, it’s hard to imagine him being very effective after such a horrific ordeal.
Marcus Mariota takes it himself for the touchdown!
— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) September 25, 2022
The Atlanta Falcons will be buoyed by their recent win over the Seattle Seahawks on the road, winning 27-23 and coming through for side bettors as the one-point road underdogs with the outright win. Marcus Mariota completed 65% of his passes for 229 yards with one touchdown and one interception.
Previously, the Falcons were successful against the Los Angeles Rams, covering as the 10½-point road underdogs in a 31-27 loss at SoFi Stadium in Week 2. As well, they very nearly upset the New Orleans Saints in a narrow 27-26 loss in their season home opener. They did cover as the 5½-point home underdogs, though.
Mariota hasn’t been perfect, but he’s not the Achilles heel that some thought he might be. Some allowances can be made for the fact that this is his first year in Atlanta and in Arthur Smith’s system. He is completing 63.3% of his passes and has three touchdowns to three interceptions on the season.
That said, the Falcons are clearly playing better than the betting online markets’ expectations. They’ve been in every single game and that’s underpinned by their 100% winning ATS record. Don’t be surprised if they keep this game close or pull off the outright upset too.
- PICK: Falcons +7
Cardinals (+1) vs Panthers – Tease Cardinals up to +7
How is it that the Arizona Cardinals are tipped as the +1 road underdogs against a Panthers team that leaves a lot to be desired?
Yes, the Panthers are coming off a win over the New Orleans Saints – their first win of the season, mind you – after beating the Saints 22-14 at home to come through as the +2 home underdogs for NFLpicks against the spread. But the Saints’ poor play and Jameis Winston’s erratic quarterbacking played a big factor in Carolina’s win.
Simply put, it’s hard to buy what the Panthers are selling right now. Baker Mayfield isn’t looking like the savior he’d hoped to be and the team had banked on. But, arguably, Matt Rhule is this team’s biggest liability. The fact that he’s held on to his job – when others have been fired for a lot less – is the biggest head-scratcher of all.
“We definitely see the light at the end of tunnel.”
Kyler Murray on the Arizona Cardinals facing early adversity this season. pic.twitter.com/i4C4bBDC7N
— PHNX Cardinals (@PHNX_Cardinals) September 28, 2022
The Cardinals are 1-2 SU and ATS through three weeks. By the stats, they appear to be underperforming against preseason expectations. That’s further underpinned by the fact that they’ve played just two good quarters out of a possible 12.
But it’s not as simple as counting numbers. The Cardinals have had a tougher schedule than most to start – with dates against the Kansas City Chiefs, Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Rams. Let’s also not forget that they’re dealing with several absentees, namely DeAndre Hopkins.
This is the first game that is infinitely more winnable than their previous ones. In the past, the Panthers have been a thorn in the Cardinals’ side, but if there’s ever a time to flip the script, now would be that time.
- PICK: Cardinals +7