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NFL Trap Game of the Week: Titans vs Bills

Avoid the MNF Pitfall

NFL odds and lines for Week 2 are in full swing, and there are several trap games that may leap off the page as intriguing bets but should be avoided at all costs.

One such potential trap game is the Monday Night Football showdown between the Tennessee Titans and Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.

NFL Trap Game of the Week: Titans vs Bills
Andy Lyons / Getty Images North America / Getty Images Via Afp

Why is it a trap? Read on for the Titans vs Bills game preview and NFL predictions below, including the latest stats, injury reports and NFL odds before we round out with the choice NFL picks for your consideration.

Titans vs Bills Betting Preview

  • Spread: Bills -10
  • Moneyline: Bills -460 | Titans +360
  • Over/under: O 48 (-110) | U 49 (-110

It’s A Trap!

The Bills will face the Titans in their home opener at Highmark Stadium on Monday Night Football (MNF), all the while carrying a hefty double-digit point spread into this marquee AFC billing.

Lookahead NFL lines projected the Bills as touchdown favorites against the spread before Week 1. But by the time the first week came to an end, the NFL line ticked up to Bills -10 at the sportsbook exchange.

The Bills did their part, asserting their dominance over the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams with a 31-10 win at SoFi Stadium in Thursday Night Football. Whereas the Titans dropped the ball in a narrow 21-20 loss to the New York Giants at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, becoming one of several top favorites to succumb to the dreaded Week 1 upset.

It’s these contrasting fortunes that are not only shaping the lopsided NFL betting market for this MNF clash but also the public betting trends. And everyone is buying what the Bills are selling, believing they are as good as they played in their opening-night win, and the Titans are just as unconvincing as their Week 1 losing account suggests.

But the Titans will be looking to bounce back in Week 2 when they descend on Orchard Park, and that makes them an unpredictable team to beat against.

Put it another way: One can’t overlook Tennessee’s potential to turn the tables on the highly fancied Bills.

Titans Aim to Bounce Back

The Titans have dominated the head-to-head. They have a 7-3-0 record in the last 10 meetings with Buffalo, which includes winning the last two consecutive meetings in Nashville.

The Titans stunned the Bills 42-16 at Nissan Stadium on Oct. 13, 2020. They then beat Buffalo 34-31 at home on Oct. 18, 2021 – a week after Josh Allen and the Bills recorded their first-ever win over the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.

Losing to the G-men last week wasn’t straightforward. On the contrary, the Titans probably should have won. The DUB was there for the taking, especially after Ryan Tannehill set up his side for a game-winning field goal in the dying seconds of the game, only for Randy Bullock to miss the 47-yarder.

Arguably, one could look at other possessions in the fourth quarter for more missed opportunities that contributed to the defeat. For instance, on the second-to-last possession and facing a third-and-1, the Titans called a play that gave the ball to TE Chig Okonkwo instead of RB Derrick Henry. True story.

The Titans didn’t get the precious down and were forced to punt the ball instead. Why didn’t they give the ball to their best player? That was a question coach Mike Vrabel was made to answer in his postgame presser, explaining that it was a play in the playbook that just didn’t work out.

Bills Impress, Rams Disappoint?

Were the Bills impressive? Or was it a case of the Rams failing to show up?

The answer: it’s debatable, really. A bit of both?

It was the first game of the 2022 season and rust was a big factor as neither team put in a polished performance. Moreover, both quarterbacks were guilty of some errant plays that combined for five interceptions between them in the game.

Allen went 26 of 31 for 297 passing yards and three touchdowns. He added a rushing score to his credit on10 carries and 56 rushing yards, but he also tossed two interceptions and took two sacks. Similarly, Matthew Stafford wasn’t sharp at all. He threw three interceptions and was sacked seven times, raising questions about his fitness.

Fade the Bills

There’s a lot to like about Buffalo in the wider spectrum of the season, but they don’t quite deserve the praise they’re getting for beating the Rams. Or the hefty point spread, which frankly makes it that much harder to cover after moving from -7 to -10 for NFL picks against the spread.

For that reason, it might be best to fade the Bills -10 and back the Titans instead to cover. The value certainly seems to be with the visitors, who’ve been – let’s face it – a nightmare matchup for Allen and Co.

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