NFL Week 11 Predictions: Steelers to Beat Ravens at Home Top Upset Bet
- The Steelers allow only 16.2 points per game.
- The Ravens’ defense has given up an NFL-high 294.9 passing yards per game.
- The Steelers are 3-1 at home this season.
- Find the best Ravens vs Steelers betting lines at BetUS.
As Week 11 rolls in, we’re eyeing the Pittsburgh Steelers as a +3 underdog ready to shock the Baltimore Ravens and pull off an outright win at +150 NFL odds on the moneyline. This AFC North rivalry is always a slugfest, and with playoff implications on the line, both teams will come out swinging.
Aaron Rodgers trash is the Pittsburgh Steelers treasure.
MIKE WILLIAMS JUST DID THAT!!! 😳😳 pic.twitter.com/uizZS6k4lQ
— Emmanuel Acho (@EmmanuelAcho) November 10, 2024
The Ravens may hold a slight edge in the stats, but the Steelers’ gritty home-field advantage and improving offense could be the game-changer.
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Ravens vs Steelers Game Information
- Game: Ravens (7-3) vs Steelers (7-2)
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 1:00 pm
- Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- Ravens vs Steelers Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Before we start, make sure to check the latest Steelers vs Ravens betting trends before placing your wagers.
Ravens vs Steelers Odds and Spreads
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
-175
Money Line Game
+150
-3 -115
Point Spread Game
+3 -105
Over 47½ -110
Total Game
Under 47½ -110
Place Your Bets On Ravens vs Steelers At BetUS Sportsbook!
NFL Week 11 Prediction: 2 Reasons Why You Should Bet on the Ravens
1. Steelers’ Strong Defense and Home-Field Advantage
The Steelers, boasting a 7-2 record and a 3-1 home record, look poised to capitalize on their defensive strengths and take advantage of Baltimore’s soft spots, especially in their pass defense. In the heart of Pittsburgh’s defense, T.J. Watt is set to make a significant impact.
With a defense allowing only 16.2 points per game, the Steelers have proven tough to crack, ranking well against both the run and the pass.
Steelers defense made sure to not let Jayden Daniels get loose on run plays and bootlegs.
Edge defenders ran straight at Daniels on read plays to make him give the ball or they had a scrape defender behind.
Commanders were able to pop some runs because of it, but it did help. pic.twitter.com/zcmXk0ha6V
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) November 11, 2024
In Weeks 2 through 4, the NFL news was dominated by underdogs who scored outright upsets in 23 of 47 games, almost a 50% hit rate, and these underdogs went 28-17-2 against the spread.
While the trend has cooled in recent weeks, the Steelers look primed to reignite it, especially at home, where the AFC North rivalry heats up even further.
2. Russell Wilson, Najee Harris, and George Pickens
Pittsburgh has turned to Russell Wilson at the right time to add some much-needed dynamism to their offense. Wilson, known for his deep-ball accuracy, has been targeting George Pickens effectively, using his strong arm to spread the field and create opportunities downfield. Against Baltimore’s pass defense, which has been softer than their record suggests, Wilson’s aggressive passing approach could pay dividends. NFL betting fans should expect Pickens to make some big plays, especially in short-to-intermediate routes.
Why is the narrative still that the #Steelers offense under Russ hasn’t played a legit defense yet?
Here’s where their last 3 opponents rank in scoring D: ⬇️
NYJ: 10th
NYG: 15th
WAS: 12thAll top half scoring defenses.
Maybe Russ and the Steelers are just good?#HereWeGo pic.twitter.com/TGDt56g7g3
— Jack Sperry (@jack_sperry) November 11, 2024
Meanwhile, Najee Harris is expected to be a workhorse in the run game, with projections for him to push over 50 rushing yards against a Ravens defense that’s only allowing 73.0 rushing yards per game. Pittsburgh’s balanced approach on offense keeps Baltimore’s defense on their toes, allowing Harris to grind out yards in critical situations. The combination of Wilson’s leadership, Harris’ hard-nosed running, and Pickens’ big-play ability could be enough to put Pittsburgh over the top.
This AFC North showdown is set to be a nail-biter, with the Steelers clawing out a narrow victory in front of their home crowd.
My best NFL expert pick today is sprinkling a bet on the +150 moneyline for a Steelers’ outright win. Expect a close, physical game, with Pittsburgh ultimately getting the win and reasserting themselves in the AFC North race.
Bet This Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +150 vs Baltimore Ravens
Questions of the Day
What are the Week 11 NFL odds for the Steelers vs Ravens?
The Steelers are +3 underdogs with NFL odds of +150 to pull off an outright upset.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
