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NFL Week 14 Trap Game – Jets vs Bills

Will Buffalo Be Victimized Again by AFC East Rival?

The New York Jets are in a unique position to complete the series sweep over the Buffalo Bills as these fierce division rivals reprise hostilities at Orchard Park. But the NFL betting markets aren’t backing the Jets to pull it off. On the contrary, bookmakers have installed the Bills as the runaway home favorites in this Week 14 AFC East clash.

Buffalo registers as the whopping -525 favorite on the moneyline while New York is pegged at +405 in the same market. The Bills are also laying 10 points to the Jets in point spread betting and the total is projected to 43 points as we look at the latest betting online odds.

Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills throws during a game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium
Billie Weiss - Getty Images - AFP

It’s easy to understand why this game is cornered with the Bills. They began the season as the top Super Bowl favorites, and so far they’ve underscored their favorable championship odds with a solid 9-3-0 run through the first 13 weeks. If the season were to end today, the Bills would be the No.1 seed in the AFC.

But the fact remains that the Jets are among the few teams to have taken the measure of the Bills this season. At the very least that should afford them better consideration than they’re currently getting, surely? That fact they aren’t begs the question: Whether this is a trap game that bettors should be wary of ahead of placing their wagers?

Read on for a preview of this pivotal AFC East clash between the Jets and Bills along with predictions for your NFL picks against the spread.

Let’s check the latest NFL odds, stats, injury reports, and NFL lines for Jets vs Bills. We’ve plenty of Vegas NFL odds for you to consider.

Jets vs Bills Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bills -10 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Jets +405 | Bills -525
  • Total: O 43 (-110) | U 43 (-110)

From NFL Lookaheads To Week 14 NFL Odds

Preseason lookaheads projected this game on a hefty line with Buffalo tipped at -9½. In a somewhat surprising move, last week’s sneak peek preview saw Bills remain as the 9½-point home chalk, even though the Jets have proven to be better than many first thought ahead of the 2022 NFL season. And, lest everyone’s forgotten, they have already beaten the Bills 20-17 earlier this season.

Since markets went to press at the start of Week 14, the line has moved to Bills -10, where it currently sits.

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Jets Give White Third Start in a Row

Robert Saleh made the bold decision to switch quarterbacks three weeks ago, benching Zach Wilson, the No. 2 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, for backup Mike White, a fifth-rounder in 2018. And he’s sticking with that decision, giving White a third straight start after the 27-year-old split his first two 1-1 straight up.

White’s 2022 debut saw him fire up the offense in a way that Wilson didn’t in his seven starts. White threw for 315 yards and three touchdowns while completing 22 of 28 passes in the Jets’ 31-10 win over the Chicago Bears in Week 12.

Things didn’t get off to an auspicious start in White’s second start as the Jets found themselves down 20-6 at halftime to the Minnesota Vikings. To his credit, however, White rallied his side and cut the deficit to five points late in the fourth quarter. He even carved out back-to-back opportunities to give New York the lead on its last two possessions, but both went begging. The first resulted in a failed fourth-and-goal attempt and the second led to an interception.

White didn’t preside over the offense when the Jets served up the 20-17 upset over the Bills in Week 9. But most wouldn’t attribute the win to Wilson’s play, anyway. Instead, it was the defense that did most of the heavy lifting, and it is sure to do so again as the Jets attempt to pull off the series sweep over Buffalo for the first time since the 2016-2017 season.

Bills Back on Top

After briefly being usurped from their perch atop the AFC standings, the Bills are back in first place behind a 9-3-0 record. A three-game winning streak – beating the Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions and New England Patriots – saw the Bills reclaim the top spot along with some outside help, with their biggest rivals (the Chiefs and Dolphins) suffering costly setbacks in Week 13.

Josh Allen is having a solid season, ranking inside the top five passing leaders with over 3,000 passing yards and 25 touchdowns to his credit. The Bills’ offense and defense rank among the top in their respective categories, too.

That said, there is one knock-back against Allen, which has followed him throughout his career. That is his propensity to turn over the ball. Allen has 11 interceptions through 13 weeks, tying him in second place with Houston Texans quarterback Davis Mills.

Allen threw two interceptions in back-to-back losses to the Jets and then the Vikings – the last two games that Buffalo lost.

During the Bills’ 3-0 run, Allen has thrown just one interception. It came versus the Lions on the way to the narrow 28-25 win on Thanksgiving Day. Last week, Allen managed to keep it clean on the interception front versus the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football, but he did fumble the ball.

Jets vs Bills Picks & Prediction

It comes as no surprise to see the Bills pegged as the firm home favorites in this game, but the 10-point spread is. To put it simply, laying 10 points with a team that lost to the Jets only last month is asking a lot of them in a game that they could technically lose. Thus, it may well be a trap bet.

Having beaten the Bills once, the Jets will have a measure of confidence going into this game. It might take a bold bettor to go the whole hog and back the Jets to pull off the second straight upset, but placing a wager on them to stay within the 10 points currently on offer at the sportsbook exchange isn’t unreasonable at all. Quite the opposite, it might be the smart play in the end.

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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