Tom Brady and Co. will be desperate to get back into the win column at the expense of the mercurial Baltimore Ravens in Thursday Night Football at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
The NFL betting markets tip the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the slight disadvantage to the visitors. The Bucs are the notional +105 underdogs on the moneyline and they’re catching a point in spread betting. In addition, the game is projected to a modest total of 45 points.
Below, we have four proposition bets to top up your betting thrills. We look at several players from both camps that could have an impact on how this Thursday Night Football tilt unfolds.As well, we examine the latest NFL news, injury reports and stats to help with our NFL predictions and picks.
TNF Odds: Ravens vs Buccaneers Props
- Lamar Jackson’s Passing Yards O/U 206½
- Lamar Jackson Touchdown Passes O/U 1½
- Tom Brady Passing Yards O/U 281½
- Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards O/U 206½
Lamar Jackson started the year hot, averaging 249.7 passing yards per game in the first three weeks. He also tossed for 10 touchdowns and just one interception. Since Week 4, however, he’s come crashing back down to earth, averaging a modest 162 passing yards while tossing three touchdowns and four interceptions.
Jackson isn’t a natural passer (respectfully). While he has improved that aspect of his game since his NFL debut five years ago, it’s still prone to breaking down on occasion. Especially when he’s put under pressure in the pocket.
The Cleveland Browns’ 14th-ranked passing defense provided the most recent blueprint for Tampa Bay after limiting Jackson to just 120 passing yards (his lowest tally this season) and zero touchdowns in last Sunday’s 23-20 win for Baltimore. They also got after him for three sacks and five QB hits.
The Buccaneers’ sixth-ranked passing defense (190 passing yards per game) is likely to challenge and limit Jackson on a short week. Another factor to keep in mind is Jackson’s hip injury, which he’s been nursing since last Wednesday. It wasn’t serious enough to sideline him, but it appears to have impacted his ability to throw efficiently.
- Pick: Under 206½ (-115)
Lamar Jackson didn’t just tell us how his hip feels. He showed us 🤣 pic.twitter.com/l8WTaYvvH7
— Sarah Ellison (@sgellison) October 24, 2022
Lamar Jackson Passing Touchdowns O/U 1½
On a good day, Jackson would have his work cut out against a Buccaneers defense that is conceding just 17.7 points per game and ranks in the top 10 against the pass. So, it’s only going to be that much harder if he is limited in any way.
Besides, the temptation to instead test the Buccaneers’ 16th-ranked rushing defense is likely to be hard to resist. Particularly by a team that puts a lot of stock in the run like the Ravens do. Nobody likes to run the ball as much as John Harbaugh’s Ravens.
Moreover, since Jackson’s two interceptions in a 23-20 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 4, the Ravens appear to have reverted back to their tried and trusted run-heavy offense.
For all the mentioned reasons, Jackson’s yardage and touchdown production through the air is likely to be modest at best.
- Pick: Under 1½ (-150)
Tom Brady Passing Yards O/U 281½
In spite of Tampa Bay’s 3-4-0 record, Brady is still among the top passers in the league with 1,942 passing yards through seven games. Where his production has faltered is in scoring – he only has eight touchdowns during this period, which is a career low for the veteran.
The Ravens’ defense ranks 25th against the pass, conceding 261.3 yards per game. If Jacoby Brissett is able to put up 258 yards through the air against this defense, then Brady might fancy his chances. Especially under the lights in a so-called get-right spot. He’s averaging 277.4 yards per game this season and over 300 yards in the last four weeks.
- Pick: Over 281½ (-115)
Mike Evans, oh no.pic.twitter.com/Uj78hK0zpA
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) October 23, 2022
Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown Scorer
A wide-open Mike Evans botched an opportunity to score a touchdown when he boggled a pass from Brady on Sunday. It was an uncharacteristic sloppy mistake by the star wide receiver and symptomatic of all that’s going wrong for Tampa Bay right now.
One has to think that Evans will be eager to atone for letting a sure-fire touchdown slip through his fingers. Evans has caught 30 TD passes from Brady since 2020. Back him to get No. 31 under the lights in Thursday Night Football.
- Pick: Evans Anytime Touchdown (+135)